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RL vs WSM · data through Oct 2, 2026

On none of the 19 forces measured do RL and WSM differ by more than the noise in the readings: their 90% ranges overlap every time.

RLWSMBars: 90% ranges. Hollow: could not be told apart from zero.Same figures in the table below.
Economic forceRLRalph Lauren CorporationWSMWilliams-Sonoma, Inc.
Interest ratesIn weeks when the 10-year Treasury yield rose 0.25 percentage points−1.4%−3.3% to +0.55%Not distinguishable from zero−1.3%−2.7% to +0.06%Not distinguishable from zero
Inflation expectationsIn weeks when 10-year inflation expectations rose 0.25 percentage points+1.6%−2.9% to +6.2%Not distinguishable from zero+1.7%−2.1% to +5.4%Not distinguishable from zero
U.S. dollarIn weeks when the trade-weighted U.S. dollar rose 2%+0.08%−1.8% to +2.0%Not distinguishable from zero+0.47%−1.6% to +2.6%Not distinguishable from zero
Oil and energyIn weeks when the price of oil rose 10%−1.3%−2.1% to −0.44%Tentative−0.94%−2.2% to +0.27%Not distinguishable from zero
Credit spreadsIn weeks when corporate credit spreads widened 0.25 percentage points−0.80%−4.4% to +2.8%Not distinguishable from zero−1.6%−5.8% to +2.5%Not distinguishable from zero
Short-term ratesIn weeks when the 2-year Treasury yield rose 0.25 percentage points−0.88%−3.6% to +1.9%Not distinguishable from zero−1.8%−4.6% to +1.1%Not distinguishable from zero
Market volatilityIn weeks when market volatility (the VIX) rose 5 points−1.1%−2.3% to +0.04%Not distinguishable from zero+0.14%−1.3% to +1.6%Not distinguishable from zero
Mortgage ratesIn weeks when the 30-year mortgage rate rose 0.25 percentage points+2.1%+0.80% to +3.4%Tentative−0.25%−2.1% to +1.6%Not distinguishable from zero
GoldIn weeks when the price of gold rose 5%−0.67%−1.6% to +0.23%Not distinguishable from zero+0.23%−1.6% to +2.1%Not distinguishable from zero
CopperIn weeks when the price of copper rose 5%+0.11%−0.61% to +0.83%Not distinguishable from zero−0.44%−1.4% to +0.49%Not distinguishable from zero
Natural gasIn weeks when the U.S. natural gas price (Henry Hub) rose 10%−0.02%−0.09% to +0.05%Not distinguishable from zero−0.01%−0.05% to +0.03%Not distinguishable from zero
BitcoinIn weeks when the price of bitcoin rose 10%+0.11%−0.69% to +0.90%Not distinguishable from zero+0.19%−0.95% to +1.3%Not distinguishable from zero
Small vs large companiesIn weeks when small companies beat large ones by 1 percentage point+0.88%+0.51% to +1.2%Clear+1.1%+0.66% to +1.6%Clear
Value vs growthIn weeks when value stocks beat growth stocks by 1 percentage point+0.48%+0.11% to +0.86%Tentative+0.74%+0.31% to +1.2%Tentative
MomentumIn weeks when recent winners beat the stock market by 1 percentage point+0.53%+0.20% to +0.87%Tentative+0.07%−0.39% to +0.54%Not distinguishable from zero
EuroIn weeks when the euro rose 2% against the U.S. dollar−3.7%−7.2% to −0.15%Tentative−3.0%−7.7% to +1.7%Not distinguishable from zero
Japanese yenIn weeks when the yen rose 2% against the U.S. dollar+0.48%−0.44% to +1.4%Not distinguishable from zero0.00%−1.2% to +1.2%Not distinguishable from zero
Emerging marketsIn weeks when emerging-market stocks beat the S&P 500 by 1 percentage point+0.23%−0.14% to +0.60%Not distinguishable from zero+0.34%−0.03% to +0.70%Not distinguishable from zero
ChinaIn weeks when Chinese stocks beat other emerging markets by 1 percentage point+0.08%−0.11% to +0.27%Not distinguishable from zero−0.02%−0.23% to +0.19%Not distinguishable from zero
Each figure is the stock's typical move in a week when the force moved by the stated amount, after accounting for the stock market, with its 90% range beneath. Grey figures could not be told apart from zero. A row is marked a clear difference only when the two 90% ranges do not overlap.

This describes the past, and it is not a forecast. Relationships change, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

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Every figure on these pages is one stock at a time. The app measures a whole portfolio: which forces it is exposed to, which holdings cause it, and how sure the reading is. Free, no account for the first report.