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RDDT vs FICO · data through Oct 2, 2026

RDDT and FICO clearly differ on 1 of 19 forces. The widest gap is value vs growth: in weeks when value stocks beat growth stocks by 1 percentage point, RDDT typically moved −1.2% and FICO +0.35%.

RDDTFICOBars: 90% ranges. Hollow: could not be told apart from zero.Same figures in the table below.
Economic forceRDDTRedditFICOFair Isaac
Interest ratesIn weeks when the 10-year Treasury yield rose 0.25 percentage points−2.3%−5.8% to +1.1%Not distinguishable from zero−2.6%−5.5% to +0.38%Not distinguishable from zero
Inflation expectationsIn weeks when 10-year inflation expectations rose 0.25 percentage points+0.09%−10.7% to +10.9%Not distinguishable from zero+0.41%−5.2% to +6.0%Not distinguishable from zero
U.S. dollarIn weeks when the trade-weighted U.S. dollar rose 2%+5.3%+1.7% to +8.9%Tentative+0.89%−2.4% to +4.2%Not distinguishable from zero
Oil and energyIn weeks when the price of oil rose 10%−0.40%−2.3% to +1.5%Not distinguishable from zero−0.33%−1.6% to +1.0%Not distinguishable from zero
Credit spreadsIn weeks when corporate credit spreads widened 0.25 percentage points−8.6%−16.9% to −0.30%Tentative−2.9%−8.8% to +3.0%Not distinguishable from zero
Short-term ratesIn weeks when the 2-year Treasury yield rose 0.25 percentage points−3.4%−9.6% to +2.9%Not distinguishable from zero−0.45%−3.9% to +3.0%Not distinguishable from zero
Market volatilityIn weeks when market volatility (the VIX) rose 5 points+0.73%−1.2% to +2.7%Not distinguishable from zero+0.91%−1.3% to +3.1%Not distinguishable from zero
Mortgage ratesIn weeks when the 30-year mortgage rate rose 0.25 percentage points−1.2%−6.5% to +4.1%Not distinguishable from zero−2.5%−5.6% to +0.64%Not distinguishable from zero
GoldIn weeks when the price of gold rose 5%+0.29%−2.0% to +2.6%Not distinguishable from zero+0.67%−0.70% to +2.0%Not distinguishable from zero
CopperIn weeks when the price of copper rose 5%−2.7%−5.8% to +0.43%Not distinguishable from zero−0.28%−1.8% to +1.3%Not distinguishable from zero
Natural gasIn weeks when the U.S. natural gas price (Henry Hub) rose 10%−0.02%−0.06% to +0.03%Not distinguishable from zero+0.03%−0.03% to +0.09%Not distinguishable from zero
BitcoinIn weeks when the price of bitcoin rose 10%+0.51%−2.3% to +3.4%Not distinguishable from zero−0.09%−1.5% to +1.3%Not distinguishable from zero
Small vs large companiesIn weeks when small companies beat large ones by 1 percentage point−0.05%−0.87% to +0.78%Not distinguishable from zero+0.23%−0.22% to +0.69%Not distinguishable from zero
Value vs growthIn weeks when value stocks beat growth stocks by 1 percentage pointClear difference−1.2%−2.0% to −0.41%Tentative+0.35%−0.20% to +0.90%Not distinguishable from zero
MomentumIn weeks when recent winners beat the stock market by 1 percentage point+0.53%−0.49% to +1.6%Not distinguishable from zero−0.64%−1.4% to +0.15%Not distinguishable from zero
EuroIn weeks when the euro rose 2% against the U.S. dollar+5.6%−0.62% to +11.7%Not distinguishable from zero+3.3%−0.60% to +7.3%Not distinguishable from zero
Japanese yenIn weeks when the yen rose 2% against the U.S. dollar−0.16%−2.4% to +2.1%Not distinguishable from zero+0.10%−1.8% to +2.0%Not distinguishable from zero
Emerging marketsIn weeks when emerging-market stocks beat the S&P 500 by 1 percentage point−0.37%−1.0% to +0.24%Not distinguishable from zero−1.0%−1.6% to −0.39%Tentative
ChinaIn weeks when Chinese stocks beat other emerging markets by 1 percentage point+0.01%−0.47% to +0.48%Not distinguishable from zero−0.02%−0.33% to +0.28%Not distinguishable from zero
Each figure is the stock's typical move in a week when the force moved by the stated amount, after accounting for the stock market, with its 90% range beneath. Grey figures could not be told apart from zero. A row is marked a clear difference only when the two 90% ranges do not overlap.

This describes the past, and it is not a forecast. Relationships change, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

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