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RDDT vs APP · data through Oct 2, 2026

On none of the 19 forces measured do RDDT and APP differ by more than the noise in the readings: their 90% ranges overlap every time.

RDDTAPPBars: 90% ranges. Hollow: could not be told apart from zero.Same figures in the table below.
Economic forceRDDTRedditAPPAppLovin
Interest ratesIn weeks when the 10-year Treasury yield rose 0.25 percentage points−2.3%−5.8% to +1.1%Not distinguishable from zero−0.41%−3.3% to +2.5%Not distinguishable from zero
Inflation expectationsIn weeks when 10-year inflation expectations rose 0.25 percentage points+0.09%−10.7% to +10.9%Not distinguishable from zero+6.5%−1.1% to +14.1%Not distinguishable from zero
U.S. dollarIn weeks when the trade-weighted U.S. dollar rose 2%+5.3%+1.7% to +8.9%Tentative+2.9%−3.0% to +8.8%Not distinguishable from zero
Oil and energyIn weeks when the price of oil rose 10%−0.40%−2.3% to +1.5%Not distinguishable from zero−0.71%−3.1% to +1.7%Not distinguishable from zero
Credit spreadsIn weeks when corporate credit spreads widened 0.25 percentage points−8.6%−16.9% to −0.30%Tentative−4.6%−10.8% to +1.6%Not distinguishable from zero
Short-term ratesIn weeks when the 2-year Treasury yield rose 0.25 percentage points−3.4%−9.6% to +2.9%Not distinguishable from zero+3.2%−2.0% to +8.4%Not distinguishable from zero
Market volatilityIn weeks when market volatility (the VIX) rose 5 points+0.73%−1.2% to +2.7%Not distinguishable from zero−0.12%−3.3% to +3.1%Not distinguishable from zero
Mortgage ratesIn weeks when the 30-year mortgage rate rose 0.25 percentage points−1.2%−6.5% to +4.1%Not distinguishable from zero−0.77%−4.7% to +3.1%Not distinguishable from zero
GoldIn weeks when the price of gold rose 5%+0.29%−2.0% to +2.6%Not distinguishable from zero−0.27%−2.2% to +1.7%Not distinguishable from zero
CopperIn weeks when the price of copper rose 5%−2.7%−5.8% to +0.43%Not distinguishable from zero−1.8%−3.3% to −0.32%Tentative
Natural gasIn weeks when the U.S. natural gas price (Henry Hub) rose 10%−0.02%−0.06% to +0.03%Not distinguishable from zero−0.02%−0.08% to +0.05%Not distinguishable from zero
BitcoinIn weeks when the price of bitcoin rose 10%+0.51%−2.3% to +3.4%Not distinguishable from zero+3.0%+0.77% to +5.2%Tentative
Small vs large companiesIn weeks when small companies beat large ones by 1 percentage point−0.05%−0.87% to +0.78%Not distinguishable from zero+0.14%−1.1% to +1.3%Not distinguishable from zero
Value vs growthIn weeks when value stocks beat growth stocks by 1 percentage point−1.2%−2.0% to −0.41%Tentative−1.4%−2.3% to −0.64%Tentative
MomentumIn weeks when recent winners beat the stock market by 1 percentage point+0.53%−0.49% to +1.6%Not distinguishable from zero+0.57%−0.39% to +1.5%Not distinguishable from zero
EuroIn weeks when the euro rose 2% against the U.S. dollar+5.6%−0.62% to +11.7%Not distinguishable from zero−3.8%−9.2% to +1.6%Not distinguishable from zero
Japanese yenIn weeks when the yen rose 2% against the U.S. dollar−0.16%−2.4% to +2.1%Not distinguishable from zero+1.1%−1.9% to +4.2%Not distinguishable from zero
Emerging marketsIn weeks when emerging-market stocks beat the S&P 500 by 1 percentage point−0.37%−1.0% to +0.24%Not distinguishable from zero−0.88%−1.8% to +0.01%Not distinguishable from zero
ChinaIn weeks when Chinese stocks beat other emerging markets by 1 percentage point+0.01%−0.47% to +0.48%Not distinguishable from zero+0.44%+0.08% to +0.79%Tentative
Each figure is the stock's typical move in a week when the force moved by the stated amount, after accounting for the stock market, with its 90% range beneath. Grey figures could not be told apart from zero. A row is marked a clear difference only when the two 90% ranges do not overlap.

This describes the past, and it is not a forecast. Relationships change, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

Measure RDDT and APP togetherWhat if? Move a force

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Every figure on these pages is one stock at a time. The app measures a whole portfolio: which forces it is exposed to, which holdings cause it, and how sure the reading is. Free, no account for the first report.