Compare two stocks
RCL and GPN clearly differ on 1 of 19 forces. The widest gap is momentum: in weeks when recent winners beat the stock market by 1 percentage point, RCL typically moved +0.26% and GPN −0.83%.
| Economic force | RCLRoyal Caribbean Group | GPNGlobal Payments |
|---|---|---|
| Interest ratesIn weeks when the 10-year Treasury yield rose 0.25 percentage points | −1.6%−3.2% to −0.05%Tentative | −1.0%−2.5% to +0.48%Not distinguishable from zero |
| Inflation expectationsIn weeks when 10-year inflation expectations rose 0.25 percentage points | +5.0%+0.73% to +9.2%Tentative | +5.0%+1.6% to +8.5%Tentative |
| U.S. dollarIn weeks when the trade-weighted U.S. dollar rose 2% | +2.2%−0.36% to +4.7%Not distinguishable from zero | +0.76%−1.4% to +2.9%Not distinguishable from zero |
| Oil and energyIn weeks when the price of oil rose 10% | −1.5%−3.0% to +0.03%Not distinguishable from zero | −1.5%−2.6% to −0.35%Tentative |
| Credit spreadsIn weeks when corporate credit spreads widened 0.25 percentage points | −1.8%−5.9% to +2.3%Not distinguishable from zero | −1.9%−5.4% to +1.7%Not distinguishable from zero |
| Short-term ratesIn weeks when the 2-year Treasury yield rose 0.25 percentage points | −1.8%−4.4% to +0.90%Not distinguishable from zero | −2.7%−5.0% to −0.36%Tentative |
| Market volatilityIn weeks when market volatility (the VIX) rose 5 points | −2.0%−3.3% to −0.80%Tentative | +0.63%−1.7% to +3.0%Not distinguishable from zero |
| Mortgage ratesIn weeks when the 30-year mortgage rate rose 0.25 percentage points | +0.75%−1.5% to +3.0%Not distinguishable from zero | −1.3%−3.5% to +0.85%Not distinguishable from zero |
| GoldIn weeks when the price of gold rose 5% | −1.5%−2.7% to −0.25%Tentative | −0.14%−1.2% to +0.90%Not distinguishable from zero |
| CopperIn weeks when the price of copper rose 5% | +0.28%−0.83% to +1.4%Not distinguishable from zero | −0.50%−1.4% to +0.39%Not distinguishable from zero |
| Natural gasIn weeks when the U.S. natural gas price (Henry Hub) rose 10% | +0.01%−0.05% to +0.07%Not distinguishable from zero | +0.03%0.00% to +0.06%Tentative |
| BitcoinIn weeks when the price of bitcoin rose 10% | −0.55%−1.7% to +0.62%Not distinguishable from zero | 0.00%−0.81% to +0.81%Not distinguishable from zero |
| Small vs large companiesIn weeks when small companies beat large ones by 1 percentage point | +0.83%+0.36% to +1.3%Tentative | +0.68%+0.40% to +1.0%Clear |
| Value vs growthIn weeks when value stocks beat growth stocks by 1 percentage point | +0.69%+0.33% to +1.1%Clear | +0.82%+0.50% to +1.1%Clear |
| MomentumIn weeks when recent winners beat the stock market by 1 percentage pointClear difference | +0.26%−0.32% to +0.84%Not distinguishable from zero | −0.83%−1.3% to −0.38%Tentative |
| EuroIn weeks when the euro rose 2% against the U.S. dollar | −0.55%−3.4% to +2.3%Not distinguishable from zero | +0.73%−1.8% to +3.3%Not distinguishable from zero |
| Japanese yenIn weeks when the yen rose 2% against the U.S. dollar | −0.68%−1.8% to +0.48%Not distinguishable from zero | −0.03%−0.93% to +0.88%Not distinguishable from zero |
| Emerging marketsIn weeks when emerging-market stocks beat the S&P 500 by 1 percentage point | −0.11%−0.53% to +0.30%Not distinguishable from zero | −0.51%−1.0% to −0.06%Tentative |
| ChinaIn weeks when Chinese stocks beat other emerging markets by 1 percentage point | −0.05%−0.28% to +0.18%Not distinguishable from zero | −0.02%−0.33% to +0.29%Not distinguishable from zero |
Each figure is the stock's typical move in a week when the force moved by the stated amount, after accounting for the stock market, with its 90% range beneath. Grey figures could not be told apart from zero. A row is marked a clear difference only when the two 90% ranges do not overlap.
This describes the past, and it is not a forecast. Relationships change, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.