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PPL vs CMS · data through Oct 2, 2026

On none of the 19 forces measured do PPL and CMS differ by more than the noise in the readings: their 90% ranges overlap every time.

PPLCMSBars: 90% ranges. Hollow: could not be told apart from zero.Same figures in the table below.
Economic forcePPLPPL CorporationCMSCMS Energy
Interest ratesIn weeks when the 10-year Treasury yield rose 0.25 percentage points−1.8%−2.6% to −1.0%Clear−1.7%−2.5% to −0.91%Clear
Inflation expectationsIn weeks when 10-year inflation expectations rose 0.25 percentage points+0.37%−1.7% to +2.4%Not distinguishable from zero−0.71%−2.7% to +1.2%Not distinguishable from zero
U.S. dollarIn weeks when the trade-weighted U.S. dollar rose 2%−0.26%−1.4% to +0.86%Not distinguishable from zero+0.29%−0.70% to +1.3%Not distinguishable from zero
Oil and energyIn weeks when the price of oil rose 10%+0.20%−0.33% to +0.72%Not distinguishable from zero+0.18%−0.37% to +0.73%Not distinguishable from zero
Credit spreadsIn weeks when corporate credit spreads widened 0.25 percentage points+0.63%−1.2% to +2.4%Not distinguishable from zero+1.0%−0.53% to +2.6%Not distinguishable from zero
Short-term ratesIn weeks when the 2-year Treasury yield rose 0.25 percentage points+0.41%−0.91% to +1.7%Not distinguishable from zero+0.75%−0.54% to +2.0%Not distinguishable from zero
Market volatilityIn weeks when market volatility (the VIX) rose 5 points−1.3%−1.9% to −0.74%Clear−1.2%−1.8% to −0.61%Clear
Mortgage ratesIn weeks when the 30-year mortgage rate rose 0.25 percentage points+0.54%−0.14% to +1.2%Not distinguishable from zero+0.35%−0.38% to +1.1%Not distinguishable from zero
GoldIn weeks when the price of gold rose 5%+0.52%−0.14% to +1.2%Not distinguishable from zero+0.47%−0.11% to +1.1%Not distinguishable from zero
CopperIn weeks when the price of copper rose 5%+0.50%+0.07% to +0.93%Tentative+0.23%−0.18% to +0.65%Not distinguishable from zero
Natural gasIn weeks when the U.S. natural gas price (Henry Hub) rose 10%−0.03%−0.04% to −0.01%Tentative−0.02%−0.03% to 0.00%Not distinguishable from zero
BitcoinIn weeks when the price of bitcoin rose 10%+0.10%−0.47% to +0.67%Not distinguishable from zero−0.03%−0.44% to +0.37%Not distinguishable from zero
Small vs large companiesIn weeks when small companies beat large ones by 1 percentage point+0.39%+0.24% to +0.54%Clear+0.31%+0.12% to +0.51%Tentative
Value vs growthIn weeks when value stocks beat growth stocks by 1 percentage point+0.61%+0.47% to +0.75%Clear+0.59%+0.45% to +0.74%Clear
MomentumIn weeks when recent winners beat the stock market by 1 percentage point−0.03%−0.26% to +0.19%Not distinguishable from zero−0.05%−0.28% to +0.19%Not distinguishable from zero
EuroIn weeks when the euro rose 2% against the U.S. dollar−2.4%−3.8% to −1.0%Tentative−2.6%−4.0% to −1.2%Tentative
Japanese yenIn weeks when the yen rose 2% against the U.S. dollar0.00%−0.55% to +0.55%Not distinguishable from zero−0.17%−0.69% to +0.35%Not distinguishable from zero
Emerging marketsIn weeks when emerging-market stocks beat the S&P 500 by 1 percentage point−0.01%−0.22% to +0.19%Not distinguishable from zero+0.09%−0.10% to +0.29%Not distinguishable from zero
ChinaIn weeks when Chinese stocks beat other emerging markets by 1 percentage point+0.09%−0.01% to +0.19%Not distinguishable from zero+0.07%−0.04% to +0.18%Not distinguishable from zero
Each figure is the stock's typical move in a week when the force moved by the stated amount, after accounting for the stock market, with its 90% range beneath. Grey figures could not be told apart from zero. A row is marked a clear difference only when the two 90% ranges do not overlap.

This describes the past, and it is not a forecast. Relationships change, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

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