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PPG vs IFF · data through Oct 2, 2026

On none of the 19 forces measured do PPG and IFF differ by more than the noise in the readings: their 90% ranges overlap every time.

PPGIFFBars: 90% ranges. Hollow: could not be told apart from zero.Same figures in the table below.
Economic forcePPGPPG IndustriesIFFInternational Flavors & Fragrances
Interest ratesIn weeks when the 10-year Treasury yield rose 0.25 percentage points−1.0%−1.8% to −0.09%Tentative−1.1%−2.0% to −0.31%Tentative
Inflation expectationsIn weeks when 10-year inflation expectations rose 0.25 percentage points+1.1%−1.3% to +3.4%Not distinguishable from zero−0.06%−2.9% to +2.7%Not distinguishable from zero
U.S. dollarIn weeks when the trade-weighted U.S. dollar rose 2%−2.3%−3.3% to −1.3%Clear−1.7%−3.2% to −0.21%Tentative
Oil and energyIn weeks when the price of oil rose 10%−2.2%−2.8% to −1.7%Clear−1.7%−2.5% to −1.0%Clear
Credit spreadsIn weeks when corporate credit spreads widened 0.25 percentage points−2.9%−4.9% to −0.91%Tentative−2.6%−5.2% to −0.03%Tentative
Short-term ratesIn weeks when the 2-year Treasury yield rose 0.25 percentage points−1.4%−3.0% to +0.25%Not distinguishable from zero−0.78%−3.1% to +1.5%Not distinguishable from zero
Market volatilityIn weeks when market volatility (the VIX) rose 5 points−0.35%−0.92% to +0.22%Not distinguishable from zero+0.13%−0.69% to +1.0%Not distinguishable from zero
Mortgage ratesIn weeks when the 30-year mortgage rate rose 0.25 percentage points+0.64%−0.18% to +1.5%Not distinguishable from zero+1.0%−0.40% to +2.3%Not distinguishable from zero
GoldIn weeks when the price of gold rose 5%−0.18%−1.0% to +0.67%Not distinguishable from zero+1.2%+0.18% to +2.3%Tentative
CopperIn weeks when the price of copper rose 5%+0.62%−0.02% to +1.3%Not distinguishable from zero+1.3%+0.58% to +2.0%Clear
Natural gasIn weeks when the U.S. natural gas price (Henry Hub) rose 10%+0.01%−0.01% to +0.04%Not distinguishable from zero+0.02%0.00% to +0.04%Not distinguishable from zero
BitcoinIn weeks when the price of bitcoin rose 10%−0.52%−1.2% to +0.18%Not distinguishable from zero−0.64%−1.3% to +0.05%Not distinguishable from zero
Small vs large companiesIn weeks when small companies beat large ones by 1 percentage point+0.70%+0.46% to +0.94%Clear+0.39%+0.08% to +0.70%Tentative
Value vs growthIn weeks when value stocks beat growth stocks by 1 percentage point+0.81%+0.56% to +1.1%Clear+0.81%+0.57% to +1.0%Clear
MomentumIn weeks when recent winners beat the stock market by 1 percentage point−0.22%−0.45% to +0.02%Not distinguishable from zero−0.45%−0.86% to −0.04%Tentative
EuroIn weeks when the euro rose 2% against the U.S. dollar−1.3%−3.2% to +0.58%Not distinguishable from zero−0.45%−2.9% to +1.9%Not distinguishable from zero
Japanese yenIn weeks when the yen rose 2% against the U.S. dollar−0.54%−1.2% to +0.08%Not distinguishable from zero−0.41%−1.3% to +0.47%Not distinguishable from zero
Emerging marketsIn weeks when emerging-market stocks beat the S&P 500 by 1 percentage point+0.23%−0.08% to +0.55%Not distinguishable from zero+0.35%−0.13% to +0.84%Not distinguishable from zero
ChinaIn weeks when Chinese stocks beat other emerging markets by 1 percentage point+0.05%−0.09% to +0.18%Not distinguishable from zero+0.03%−0.14% to +0.21%Not distinguishable from zero
Each figure is the stock's typical move in a week when the force moved by the stated amount, after accounting for the stock market, with its 90% range beneath. Grey figures could not be told apart from zero. A row is marked a clear difference only when the two 90% ranges do not overlap.

This describes the past, and it is not a forecast. Relationships change, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

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