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PNR vs RL · data through Oct 2, 2026

PNR and RL clearly differ on 1 of 19 forces. The widest gap is mortgage rates: in weeks when the 30-year mortgage rate rose 0.25 percentage points, PNR typically moved −1.1% and RL +2.1%.

PNRRLBars: 90% ranges. Hollow: could not be told apart from zero.Same figures in the table below.
Economic forcePNRPentairRLRalph Lauren Corporation
Interest ratesIn weeks when the 10-year Treasury yield rose 0.25 percentage points−1.3%−2.2% to −0.28%Tentative−1.4%−3.3% to +0.55%Not distinguishable from zero
Inflation expectationsIn weeks when 10-year inflation expectations rose 0.25 percentage points+2.9%+0.68% to +5.1%Tentative+1.6%−2.9% to +6.2%Not distinguishable from zero
U.S. dollarIn weeks when the trade-weighted U.S. dollar rose 2%+0.58%−0.78% to +1.9%Not distinguishable from zero+0.08%−1.8% to +2.0%Not distinguishable from zero
Oil and energyIn weeks when the price of oil rose 10%−1.6%−2.6% to −0.58%Clear−1.3%−2.1% to −0.44%Tentative
Credit spreadsIn weeks when corporate credit spreads widened 0.25 percentage points−0.37%−2.7% to +2.0%Not distinguishable from zero−0.80%−4.4% to +2.8%Not distinguishable from zero
Short-term ratesIn weeks when the 2-year Treasury yield rose 0.25 percentage points−2.5%−3.9% to −1.1%Tentative−0.88%−3.6% to +1.9%Not distinguishable from zero
Market volatilityIn weeks when market volatility (the VIX) rose 5 points−0.34%−1.1% to +0.45%Not distinguishable from zero−1.1%−2.3% to +0.04%Not distinguishable from zero
Mortgage ratesIn weeks when the 30-year mortgage rate rose 0.25 percentage pointsClear difference−1.1%−2.0% to −0.23%Tentative+2.1%+0.80% to +3.4%Tentative
GoldIn weeks when the price of gold rose 5%+0.12%−0.65% to +0.89%Not distinguishable from zero−0.67%−1.6% to +0.23%Not distinguishable from zero
CopperIn weeks when the price of copper rose 5%−0.45%−0.93% to +0.02%Not distinguishable from zero+0.11%−0.61% to +0.83%Not distinguishable from zero
Natural gasIn weeks when the U.S. natural gas price (Henry Hub) rose 10%+0.02%+0.01% to +0.04%Tentative−0.02%−0.09% to +0.05%Not distinguishable from zero
BitcoinIn weeks when the price of bitcoin rose 10%+0.67%−0.02% to +1.3%Not distinguishable from zero+0.11%−0.69% to +0.90%Not distinguishable from zero
Small vs large companiesIn weeks when small companies beat large ones by 1 percentage point+0.66%+0.34% to +1.0%Clear+0.88%+0.51% to +1.2%Clear
Value vs growthIn weeks when value stocks beat growth stocks by 1 percentage point+0.43%+0.03% to +0.84%Tentative+0.48%+0.11% to +0.86%Tentative
MomentumIn weeks when recent winners beat the stock market by 1 percentage point+0.10%−0.27% to +0.47%Not distinguishable from zero+0.53%+0.20% to +0.87%Tentative
EuroIn weeks when the euro rose 2% against the U.S. dollar−1.4%−3.4% to +0.69%Not distinguishable from zero−3.7%−7.2% to −0.15%Tentative
Japanese yenIn weeks when the yen rose 2% against the U.S. dollar+0.45%−0.76% to +1.7%Not distinguishable from zero+0.48%−0.44% to +1.4%Not distinguishable from zero
Emerging marketsIn weeks when emerging-market stocks beat the S&P 500 by 1 percentage point−0.09%−0.42% to +0.23%Not distinguishable from zero+0.23%−0.14% to +0.60%Not distinguishable from zero
ChinaIn weeks when Chinese stocks beat other emerging markets by 1 percentage point+0.06%−0.14% to +0.25%Not distinguishable from zero+0.08%−0.11% to +0.27%Not distinguishable from zero
Each figure is the stock's typical move in a week when the force moved by the stated amount, after accounting for the stock market, with its 90% range beneath. Grey figures could not be told apart from zero. A row is marked a clear difference only when the two 90% ranges do not overlap.

This describes the past, and it is not a forecast. Relationships change, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

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