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PNC vs MTB · data through Oct 2, 2026

On none of the 19 forces measured do PNC and MTB differ by more than the noise in the readings: their 90% ranges overlap every time.

PNCMTBBars: 90% ranges. Hollow: could not be told apart from zero.Same figures in the table below.
Economic forcePNCPNC Financial ServicesMTBM&T Bank
Interest ratesIn weeks when the 10-year Treasury yield rose 0.25 percentage points−2.5%−3.6% to −1.3%Clear−2.3%−3.5% to −1.1%Clear
Inflation expectationsIn weeks when 10-year inflation expectations rose 0.25 percentage points+5.8%+3.4% to +8.3%Clear+6.2%+3.3% to +9.1%Clear
U.S. dollarIn weeks when the trade-weighted U.S. dollar rose 2%+0.29%−1.1% to +1.7%Not distinguishable from zero+0.06%−1.5% to +1.6%Not distinguishable from zero
Oil and energyIn weeks when the price of oil rose 10%−0.53%−1.2% to +0.11%Not distinguishable from zero−0.61%−1.4% to +0.17%Not distinguishable from zero
Credit spreadsIn weeks when corporate credit spreads widened 0.25 percentage points−2.3%−4.8% to +0.12%Not distinguishable from zero−2.9%−5.6% to −0.24%Tentative
Short-term ratesIn weeks when the 2-year Treasury yield rose 0.25 percentage points−1.5%−3.5% to +0.44%Not distinguishable from zero−0.67%−2.7% to +1.4%Not distinguishable from zero
Market volatilityIn weeks when market volatility (the VIX) rose 5 points−1.1%−1.8% to −0.38%Tentative−1.0%−1.9% to −0.17%Tentative
Mortgage ratesIn weeks when the 30-year mortgage rate rose 0.25 percentage points+0.37%−0.57% to +1.3%Not distinguishable from zero+0.94%−0.18% to +2.1%Not distinguishable from zero
GoldIn weeks when the price of gold rose 5%−1.4%−2.2% to −0.61%Tentative−1.2%−2.1% to −0.28%Tentative
CopperIn weeks when the price of copper rose 5%−0.23%−0.83% to +0.37%Not distinguishable from zero−0.35%−1.0% to +0.33%Not distinguishable from zero
Natural gasIn weeks when the U.S. natural gas price (Henry Hub) rose 10%−0.03%−0.08% to +0.02%Not distinguishable from zero−0.02%−0.08% to +0.03%Not distinguishable from zero
BitcoinIn weeks when the price of bitcoin rose 10%−0.47%−1.3% to +0.40%Not distinguishable from zero−0.60%−1.6% to +0.43%Not distinguishable from zero
Small vs large companiesIn weeks when small companies beat large ones by 1 percentage point+1.1%+1.0% to +1.3%Clear+1.2%+1.0% to +1.4%Clear
Value vs growthIn weeks when value stocks beat growth stocks by 1 percentage point+1.1%+1.0% to +1.3%Clear+1.3%+1.1% to +1.5%Clear
MomentumIn weeks when recent winners beat the stock market by 1 percentage point−0.30%−0.59% to −0.01%Tentative−0.28%−0.60% to +0.05%Not distinguishable from zero
EuroIn weeks when the euro rose 2% against the U.S. dollar−1.6%−3.3% to +0.04%Not distinguishable from zero−1.4%−3.4% to +0.63%Not distinguishable from zero
Japanese yenIn weeks when the yen rose 2% against the U.S. dollar+0.08%−0.66% to +0.82%Not distinguishable from zero+0.03%−0.87% to +0.94%Not distinguishable from zero
Emerging marketsIn weeks when emerging-market stocks beat the S&P 500 by 1 percentage point−0.26%−0.49% to −0.03%Tentative−0.27%−0.48% to −0.05%Tentative
ChinaIn weeks when Chinese stocks beat other emerging markets by 1 percentage point+0.06%−0.10% to +0.21%Not distinguishable from zero+0.03%−0.12% to +0.17%Not distinguishable from zero
Each figure is the stock's typical move in a week when the force moved by the stated amount, after accounting for the stock market, with its 90% range beneath. Grey figures could not be told apart from zero. A row is marked a clear difference only when the two 90% ranges do not overlap.

This describes the past, and it is not a forecast. Relationships change, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

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