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PM vs KO · data through Oct 2, 2026

PM and KO clearly differ on 1 of 19 forces. The widest gap is natural gas: in weeks when the U.S. natural gas price (Henry Hub) rose 10%, PM typically moved −0.02% and KO +0.03%.

Economic forcePMPhilip Morris InternationalKOCoca-Cola Company (The)
Interest ratesIn weeks when the 10-year Treasury yield rose 0.25 percentage points−0.37%−1.6% to +0.88%Not distinguishable from zero−0.23%−0.83% to +0.37%Not distinguishable from zero
Inflation expectationsIn weeks when 10-year inflation expectations rose 0.25 percentage points−0.68%−3.4% to +2.0%Not distinguishable from zero+1.1%−0.47% to +2.6%Not distinguishable from zero
U.S. dollarIn weeks when the trade-weighted U.S. dollar rose 2%−0.89%−2.2% to +0.40%Not distinguishable from zero−0.91%−1.8% to −0.03%Tentative
Oil and energyIn weeks when the price of oil rose 10%−0.07%−1.2% to +1.0%Not distinguishable from zero−0.49%−1.1% to +0.11%Not distinguishable from zero
Credit spreadsIn weeks when corporate credit spreads widened 0.25 percentage points+0.92%−1.5% to +3.3%Not distinguishable from zero+1.6%−0.10% to +3.2%Not distinguishable from zero
Short-term ratesIn weeks when the 2-year Treasury yield rose 0.25 percentage points+0.05%−2.1% to +2.2%Not distinguishable from zero−0.44%−1.4% to +0.53%Not distinguishable from zero
Market volatilityIn weeks when market volatility (the VIX) rose 5 points−1.3%−2.4% to −0.21%Tentative−0.84%−1.4% to −0.26%Tentative
Mortgage ratesIn weeks when the 30-year mortgage rate rose 0.25 percentage points+0.37%−0.67% to +1.4%Not distinguishable from zero+0.19%−0.43% to +0.81%Not distinguishable from zero
GoldIn weeks when the price of gold rose 5%+0.27%−0.66% to +1.2%Not distinguishable from zero+0.42%−0.23% to +1.1%Not distinguishable from zero
CopperIn weeks when the price of copper rose 5%+0.23%−0.46% to +0.91%Not distinguishable from zero+0.09%−0.29% to +0.46%Not distinguishable from zero
Natural gasIn weeks when the U.S. natural gas price (Henry Hub) rose 10%Clear difference−0.02%−0.03% to 0.00%Tentative+0.03%+0.02% to +0.04%Clear
BitcoinIn weeks when the price of bitcoin rose 10%−0.71%−1.3% to −0.13%Tentative−0.51%−1.1% to +0.05%Not distinguishable from zero
Small vs large companiesIn weeks when small companies beat large ones by 1 percentage point+0.09%−0.16% to +0.33%Not distinguishable from zero+0.04%−0.13% to +0.22%Not distinguishable from zero
Value vs growthIn weeks when value stocks beat growth stocks by 1 percentage point+0.62%+0.40% to +0.84%Clear+0.50%+0.36% to +0.64%Clear
MomentumIn weeks when recent winners beat the stock market by 1 percentage point−0.02%−0.39% to +0.34%Not distinguishable from zero−0.32%−0.50% to −0.15%Clear
EuroIn weeks when the euro rose 2% against the U.S. dollar−1.5%−4.0% to +0.93%Not distinguishable from zero+0.09%−1.1% to +1.3%Not distinguishable from zero
Japanese yenIn weeks when the yen rose 2% against the U.S. dollar+0.04%−0.90% to +1.0%Not distinguishable from zero+0.10%−0.52% to +0.71%Not distinguishable from zero
Emerging marketsIn weeks when emerging-market stocks beat the S&P 500 by 1 percentage point−0.18%−0.48% to +0.12%Not distinguishable from zero−0.06%−0.26% to +0.15%Not distinguishable from zero
ChinaIn weeks when Chinese stocks beat other emerging markets by 1 percentage point+0.12%−0.05% to +0.28%Not distinguishable from zero+0.10%−0.02% to +0.22%Not distinguishable from zero
Each figure is the stock's typical move in a week when the force moved by the stated amount, after accounting for the stock market, with its 90% range beneath. Grey figures could not be told apart from zero. A row is marked a clear difference only when the two 90% ranges do not overlap.

This describes the past, and it is not a forecast. Relationships change, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

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