Compare two stocks
On none of the 19 forces measured do PM and AIG differ by more than the noise in the readings: their 90% ranges overlap every time.
| Economic force | PMPhilip Morris International | AIGAmerican International Group |
|---|---|---|
| Interest ratesIn weeks when the 10-year Treasury yield rose 0.25 percentage points | −0.37%−1.6% to +0.88%Not distinguishable from zero | 0.00%−0.91% to +0.91%Not distinguishable from zero |
| Inflation expectationsIn weeks when 10-year inflation expectations rose 0.25 percentage points | −0.68%−3.4% to +2.0%Not distinguishable from zero | +0.86%−1.3% to +3.0%Not distinguishable from zero |
| U.S. dollarIn weeks when the trade-weighted U.S. dollar rose 2% | −0.89%−2.2% to +0.40%Not distinguishable from zero | −0.64%−2.0% to +0.69%Not distinguishable from zero |
| Oil and energyIn weeks when the price of oil rose 10% | −0.07%−1.2% to +1.0%Not distinguishable from zero | −0.08%−0.55% to +0.39%Not distinguishable from zero |
| Credit spreadsIn weeks when corporate credit spreads widened 0.25 percentage points | +0.92%−1.5% to +3.3%Not distinguishable from zero | +0.69%−1.3% to +2.6%Not distinguishable from zero |
| Short-term ratesIn weeks when the 2-year Treasury yield rose 0.25 percentage points | +0.05%−2.1% to +2.2%Not distinguishable from zero | +0.78%−0.54% to +2.1%Not distinguishable from zero |
| Market volatilityIn weeks when market volatility (the VIX) rose 5 points | −1.3%−2.4% to −0.21%Tentative | −1.2%−2.0% to −0.36%Tentative |
| Mortgage ratesIn weeks when the 30-year mortgage rate rose 0.25 percentage points | +0.37%−0.67% to +1.4%Not distinguishable from zero | +0.31%−0.55% to +1.2%Not distinguishable from zero |
| GoldIn weeks when the price of gold rose 5% | +0.27%−0.66% to +1.2%Not distinguishable from zero | −0.74%−1.5% to 0.00%Tentative |
| CopperIn weeks when the price of copper rose 5% | +0.23%−0.46% to +0.91%Not distinguishable from zero | +0.04%−0.43% to +0.52%Not distinguishable from zero |
| Natural gasIn weeks when the U.S. natural gas price (Henry Hub) rose 10% | −0.02%−0.03% to 0.00%Tentative | −0.02%−0.04% to +0.01%Not distinguishable from zero |
| BitcoinIn weeks when the price of bitcoin rose 10% | −0.71%−1.3% to −0.13%Tentative | −0.22%−0.75% to +0.31%Not distinguishable from zero |
| Small vs large companiesIn weeks when small companies beat large ones by 1 percentage point | +0.09%−0.16% to +0.33%Not distinguishable from zero | +0.28%−0.01% to +0.57%Not distinguishable from zero |
| Value vs growthIn weeks when value stocks beat growth stocks by 1 percentage point | +0.62%+0.40% to +0.84%Clear | +0.66%+0.45% to +0.87%Clear |
| MomentumIn weeks when recent winners beat the stock market by 1 percentage point | −0.02%−0.39% to +0.34%Not distinguishable from zero | −0.34%−0.53% to −0.14%Tentative |
| EuroIn weeks when the euro rose 2% against the U.S. dollar | −1.5%−4.0% to +0.93%Not distinguishable from zero | −0.88%−2.2% to +0.45%Not distinguishable from zero |
| Japanese yenIn weeks when the yen rose 2% against the U.S. dollar | +0.04%−0.90% to +1.0%Not distinguishable from zero | −0.41%−1.0% to +0.22%Not distinguishable from zero |
| Emerging marketsIn weeks when emerging-market stocks beat the S&P 500 by 1 percentage point | −0.18%−0.48% to +0.12%Not distinguishable from zero | −0.30%−0.56% to −0.05%Tentative |
| ChinaIn weeks when Chinese stocks beat other emerging markets by 1 percentage point | +0.12%−0.05% to +0.28%Not distinguishable from zero | +0.24%+0.11% to +0.36%Clear |
Each figure is the stock's typical move in a week when the force moved by the stated amount, after accounting for the stock market, with its 90% range beneath. Grey figures could not be told apart from zero. A row is marked a clear difference only when the two 90% ranges do not overlap.
This describes the past, and it is not a forecast. Relationships change, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.