Compare two stocks
On none of the 19 forces measured do PHM and SWK differ by more than the noise in the readings: their 90% ranges overlap every time.
| Economic force | PHMPulteGroup | SWKStanley Black & Decker |
|---|---|---|
| Interest ratesIn weeks when the 10-year Treasury yield rose 0.25 percentage points | −4.8%−6.0% to −3.5%Clear | −3.2%−4.7% to −1.7%Clear |
| Inflation expectationsIn weeks when 10-year inflation expectations rose 0.25 percentage points | +4.1%+0.51% to +7.6%Tentative | +3.5%−0.08% to +7.1%Not distinguishable from zero |
| U.S. dollarIn weeks when the trade-weighted U.S. dollar rose 2% | −0.70%−2.6% to +1.1%Not distinguishable from zero | −1.1%−3.5% to +1.3%Not distinguishable from zero |
| Oil and energyIn weeks when the price of oil rose 10% | −1.5%−2.4% to −0.69%Clear | −1.0%−2.1% to +0.13%Not distinguishable from zero |
| Credit spreadsIn weeks when corporate credit spreads widened 0.25 percentage points | −2.2%−4.3% to −0.16%Tentative | −2.8%−6.4% to +0.78%Not distinguishable from zero |
| Short-term ratesIn weeks when the 2-year Treasury yield rose 0.25 percentage points | −0.87%−2.9% to +1.2%Not distinguishable from zero | −2.9%−5.3% to −0.53%Tentative |
| Market volatilityIn weeks when market volatility (the VIX) rose 5 points | +0.33%−0.49% to +1.2%Not distinguishable from zero | −0.74%−1.9% to +0.44%Not distinguishable from zero |
| Mortgage ratesIn weeks when the 30-year mortgage rate rose 0.25 percentage points | +0.20%−1.2% to +1.6%Not distinguishable from zero | +0.77%−0.67% to +2.2%Not distinguishable from zero |
| GoldIn weeks when the price of gold rose 5% | −0.62%−1.5% to +0.23%Not distinguishable from zero | +0.35%−0.80% to +1.5%Not distinguishable from zero |
| CopperIn weeks when the price of copper rose 5% | −0.38%−1.2% to +0.40%Not distinguishable from zero | +1.0%+0.26% to +1.7%Tentative |
| Natural gasIn weeks when the U.S. natural gas price (Henry Hub) rose 10% | −0.04%−0.06% to −0.01%Tentative | −0.03%−0.05% to −0.01%Tentative |
| BitcoinIn weeks when the price of bitcoin rose 10% | +1.1%+0.19% to +2.0%Tentative | −0.32%−1.2% to +0.52%Not distinguishable from zero |
| Small vs large companiesIn weeks when small companies beat large ones by 1 percentage point | +1.2%+0.89% to +1.5%Clear | +1.1%+0.66% to +1.4%Clear |
| Value vs growthIn weeks when value stocks beat growth stocks by 1 percentage point | +1.0%+0.62% to +1.3%Clear | +1.3%+1.0% to +1.6%Clear |
| MomentumIn weeks when recent winners beat the stock market by 1 percentage point | −0.35%−0.72% to +0.03%Not distinguishable from zero | −0.40%−0.94% to +0.13%Not distinguishable from zero |
| EuroIn weeks when the euro rose 2% against the U.S. dollar | +1.5%−1.7% to +4.7%Not distinguishable from zero | −1.1%−4.4% to +2.2%Not distinguishable from zero |
| Japanese yenIn weeks when the yen rose 2% against the U.S. dollar | +0.22%−1.2% to +1.6%Not distinguishable from zero | +0.14%−1.4% to +1.7%Not distinguishable from zero |
| Emerging marketsIn weeks when emerging-market stocks beat the S&P 500 by 1 percentage point | −0.10%−0.34% to +0.14%Not distinguishable from zero | +0.54%+0.13% to +1.0%Tentative |
| ChinaIn weeks when Chinese stocks beat other emerging markets by 1 percentage point | +0.04%−0.09% to +0.16%Not distinguishable from zero | +0.10%−0.08% to +0.27%Not distinguishable from zero |
Each figure is the stock's typical move in a week when the force moved by the stated amount, after accounting for the stock market, with its 90% range beneath. Grey figures could not be told apart from zero. A row is marked a clear difference only when the two 90% ranges do not overlap.
This describes the past, and it is not a forecast. Relationships change, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.