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PG vs PEP · data through Oct 2, 2026

PG and PEP clearly differ on 1 of 19 forces. The widest gap is natural gas: in weeks when the U.S. natural gas price (Henry Hub) rose 10%, PG typically moved +0.04% and PEP −0.02%.

Economic forcePGProcter & GamblePEPPepsiCo
Interest ratesIn weeks when the 10-year Treasury yield rose 0.25 percentage points−0.63%−1.3% to +0.04%Not distinguishable from zero−1.1%−1.7% to −0.52%Clear
Inflation expectationsIn weeks when 10-year inflation expectations rose 0.25 percentage points+0.94%−0.81% to +2.7%Not distinguishable from zero+2.0%−0.22% to +4.2%Not distinguishable from zero
U.S. dollarIn weeks when the trade-weighted U.S. dollar rose 2%−0.53%−1.4% to +0.32%Not distinguishable from zero−0.80%−1.8% to +0.17%Not distinguishable from zero
Oil and energyIn weeks when the price of oil rose 10%−0.70%−1.4% to −0.03%Tentative−0.55%−1.1% to −0.01%Tentative
Credit spreadsIn weeks when corporate credit spreads widened 0.25 percentage points+0.84%−1.1% to +2.8%Not distinguishable from zero+1.2%−0.53% to +3.0%Not distinguishable from zero
Short-term ratesIn weeks when the 2-year Treasury yield rose 0.25 percentage points−0.31%−1.5% to +0.91%Not distinguishable from zero−0.52%−1.9% to +0.83%Not distinguishable from zero
Market volatilityIn weeks when market volatility (the VIX) rose 5 points−0.54%−1.2% to +0.10%Not distinguishable from zero+0.14%−0.51% to +0.78%Not distinguishable from zero
Mortgage ratesIn weeks when the 30-year mortgage rate rose 0.25 percentage points+0.39%−0.31% to +1.1%Not distinguishable from zero+0.05%−0.72% to +0.82%Not distinguishable from zero
GoldIn weeks when the price of gold rose 5%+0.49%−0.16% to +1.1%Not distinguishable from zero+0.51%−0.29% to +1.3%Not distinguishable from zero
CopperIn weeks when the price of copper rose 5%+0.24%−0.21% to +0.69%Not distinguishable from zero−0.04%−0.65% to +0.57%Not distinguishable from zero
Natural gasIn weeks when the U.S. natural gas price (Henry Hub) rose 10%Clear difference+0.04%+0.03% to +0.06%Clear−0.02%−0.04% to −0.01%Tentative
BitcoinIn weeks when the price of bitcoin rose 10%−0.46%−1.0% to +0.08%Not distinguishable from zero−0.77%−1.5% to −0.05%Tentative
Small vs large companiesIn weeks when small companies beat large ones by 1 percentage point+0.11%−0.04% to +0.27%Not distinguishable from zero+0.19%+0.02% to +0.37%Tentative
Value vs growthIn weeks when value stocks beat growth stocks by 1 percentage point+0.48%+0.33% to +0.64%Clear+0.63%+0.43% to +0.84%Clear
MomentumIn weeks when recent winners beat the stock market by 1 percentage point−0.14%−0.31% to +0.03%Not distinguishable from zero−0.50%−0.74% to −0.26%Clear
EuroIn weeks when the euro rose 2% against the U.S. dollar+0.21%−1.1% to +1.5%Not distinguishable from zero+0.67%−0.77% to +2.1%Not distinguishable from zero
Japanese yenIn weeks when the yen rose 2% against the U.S. dollar+0.15%−0.58% to +0.87%Not distinguishable from zero−0.15%−0.92% to +0.63%Not distinguishable from zero
Emerging marketsIn weeks when emerging-market stocks beat the S&P 500 by 1 percentage point+0.03%−0.15% to +0.21%Not distinguishable from zero−0.02%−0.21% to +0.17%Not distinguishable from zero
ChinaIn weeks when Chinese stocks beat other emerging markets by 1 percentage point−0.01%−0.12% to +0.10%Not distinguishable from zero+0.07%−0.05% to +0.19%Not distinguishable from zero
Each figure is the stock's typical move in a week when the force moved by the stated amount, after accounting for the stock market, with its 90% range beneath. Grey figures could not be told apart from zero. A row is marked a clear difference only when the two 90% ranges do not overlap.

This describes the past, and it is not a forecast. Relationships change, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

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