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PCG vs ETR · data through Oct 2, 2026

On none of the 19 forces measured do PCG and ETR differ by more than the noise in the readings: their 90% ranges overlap every time.

PCGETRBars: 90% ranges. Hollow: could not be told apart from zero.Same figures in the table below.
Economic forcePCGPG&E CorporationETREntergy
Interest ratesIn weeks when the 10-year Treasury yield rose 0.25 percentage points−1.3%−2.5% to −0.14%Tentative−1.1%−2.2% to −0.01%Tentative
Inflation expectationsIn weeks when 10-year inflation expectations rose 0.25 percentage points−1.0%−4.5% to +2.5%Not distinguishable from zero−1.1%−3.8% to +1.6%Not distinguishable from zero
U.S. dollarIn weeks when the trade-weighted U.S. dollar rose 2%+0.23%−1.6% to +2.1%Not distinguishable from zero+0.29%−1.1% to +1.7%Not distinguishable from zero
Oil and energyIn weeks when the price of oil rose 10%−0.33%−1.5% to +0.85%Not distinguishable from zero+0.31%−0.36% to +1.0%Not distinguishable from zero
Credit spreadsIn weeks when corporate credit spreads widened 0.25 percentage points+0.71%−1.6% to +3.0%Not distinguishable from zero+0.31%−1.7% to +2.3%Not distinguishable from zero
Short-term ratesIn weeks when the 2-year Treasury yield rose 0.25 percentage points+0.50%−1.4% to +2.4%Not distinguishable from zero−0.48%−2.2% to +1.2%Not distinguishable from zero
Market volatilityIn weeks when market volatility (the VIX) rose 5 points−1.7%−2.6% to −0.72%Tentative−1.3%−2.1% to −0.56%Tentative
Mortgage ratesIn weeks when the 30-year mortgage rate rose 0.25 percentage points+0.44%−0.58% to +1.5%Not distinguishable from zero+1.4%+0.33% to +2.5%Tentative
GoldIn weeks when the price of gold rose 5%+0.01%−1.0% to +1.1%Not distinguishable from zero+0.38%−0.48% to +1.2%Not distinguishable from zero
CopperIn weeks when the price of copper rose 5%−0.16%−0.82% to +0.51%Not distinguishable from zero+0.37%−0.26% to +1.0%Not distinguishable from zero
Natural gasIn weeks when the U.S. natural gas price (Henry Hub) rose 10%−0.06%−0.08% to −0.03%Clear−0.04%−0.06% to −0.02%Tentative
BitcoinIn weeks when the price of bitcoin rose 10%−0.47%−1.2% to +0.27%Not distinguishable from zero−0.10%−0.63% to +0.43%Not distinguishable from zero
Small vs large companiesIn weeks when small companies beat large ones by 1 percentage point+0.32%+0.08% to +0.57%Tentative+0.40%+0.17% to +0.63%Tentative
Value vs growthIn weeks when value stocks beat growth stocks by 1 percentage point+0.77%+0.59% to +1.0%Clear+0.70%+0.50% to +0.90%Clear
MomentumIn weeks when recent winners beat the stock market by 1 percentage point−0.16%−0.46% to +0.13%Not distinguishable from zero−0.01%−0.36% to +0.33%Not distinguishable from zero
EuroIn weeks when the euro rose 2% against the U.S. dollar−1.1%−3.6% to +1.3%Not distinguishable from zero−2.4%−4.4% to −0.41%Tentative
Japanese yenIn weeks when the yen rose 2% against the U.S. dollar−0.63%−1.6% to +0.34%Not distinguishable from zero+0.16%−0.53% to +0.84%Not distinguishable from zero
Emerging marketsIn weeks when emerging-market stocks beat the S&P 500 by 1 percentage point−0.08%−0.42% to +0.26%Not distinguishable from zero+0.02%−0.23% to +0.27%Not distinguishable from zero
ChinaIn weeks when Chinese stocks beat other emerging markets by 1 percentage point+0.20%+0.01% to +0.39%Tentative+0.11%−0.03% to +0.24%Not distinguishable from zero
Each figure is the stock's typical move in a week when the force moved by the stated amount, after accounting for the stock market, with its 90% range beneath. Grey figures could not be told apart from zero. A row is marked a clear difference only when the two 90% ranges do not overlap.

This describes the past, and it is not a forecast. Relationships change, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

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