Compare two stocks
PCAR and BBY clearly differ on 1 of 19 forces. The widest gap is short-term rates: in weeks when the 2-year Treasury yield rose 0.25 percentage points, PCAR typically moved +0.09% and BBY −5.3%.
| Economic force | PCARPaccar | BBYBest Buy |
|---|---|---|
| Interest ratesIn weeks when the 10-year Treasury yield rose 0.25 percentage points | −1.7%−2.6% to −0.82%Clear | −1.8%−3.4% to −0.24%Tentative |
| Inflation expectationsIn weeks when 10-year inflation expectations rose 0.25 percentage points | +2.7%+0.28% to +5.2%Tentative | +3.3%−1.1% to +7.8%Not distinguishable from zero |
| U.S. dollarIn weeks when the trade-weighted U.S. dollar rose 2% | +0.11%−1.2% to +1.5%Not distinguishable from zero | +0.34%−2.0% to +2.7%Not distinguishable from zero |
| Oil and energyIn weeks when the price of oil rose 10% | −0.16%−0.91% to +0.59%Not distinguishable from zero | −0.27%−1.9% to +1.4%Not distinguishable from zero |
| Credit spreadsIn weeks when corporate credit spreads widened 0.25 percentage points | −4.3%−6.7% to −2.0%Clear | −4.1%−7.4% to −0.85%Tentative |
| Short-term ratesIn weeks when the 2-year Treasury yield rose 0.25 percentage pointsClear difference | +0.09%−1.5% to +1.7%Not distinguishable from zero | −5.3%−8.1% to −2.4%Clear |
| Market volatilityIn weeks when market volatility (the VIX) rose 5 points | +0.54%−0.50% to +1.6%Not distinguishable from zero | −1.1%−2.8% to +0.66%Not distinguishable from zero |
| Mortgage ratesIn weeks when the 30-year mortgage rate rose 0.25 percentage points | −1.1%−2.2% to −0.06%Tentative | +1.2%−0.81% to +3.1%Not distinguishable from zero |
| GoldIn weeks when the price of gold rose 5% | −0.45%−1.3% to +0.44%Not distinguishable from zero | −0.44%−1.5% to +0.60%Not distinguishable from zero |
| CopperIn weeks when the price of copper rose 5% | −0.03%−0.70% to +0.64%Not distinguishable from zero | −0.04%−0.73% to +0.66%Not distinguishable from zero |
| Natural gasIn weeks when the U.S. natural gas price (Henry Hub) rose 10% | −0.01%−0.03% to +0.02%Not distinguishable from zero | −0.03%−0.07% to +0.01%Not distinguishable from zero |
| BitcoinIn weeks when the price of bitcoin rose 10% | +0.11%−0.60% to +0.83%Not distinguishable from zero | −0.59%−1.4% to +0.26%Not distinguishable from zero |
| Small vs large companiesIn weeks when small companies beat large ones by 1 percentage point | +0.46%+0.23% to +0.69%Clear | +0.68%+0.28% to +1.1%Tentative |
| Value vs growthIn weeks when value stocks beat growth stocks by 1 percentage point | +0.57%+0.36% to +0.78%Clear | +0.75%+0.39% to +1.1%Clear |
| MomentumIn weeks when recent winners beat the stock market by 1 percentage point | −0.01%−0.29% to +0.26%Not distinguishable from zero | −0.36%−1.1% to +0.37%Not distinguishable from zero |
| EuroIn weeks when the euro rose 2% against the U.S. dollar | +1.0%−1.5% to +3.5%Not distinguishable from zero | −1.2%−4.3% to +2.0%Not distinguishable from zero |
| Japanese yenIn weeks when the yen rose 2% against the U.S. dollar | −0.67%−1.5% to +0.18%Not distinguishable from zero | +0.23%−1.1% to +1.6%Not distinguishable from zero |
| Emerging marketsIn weeks when emerging-market stocks beat the S&P 500 by 1 percentage point | −0.16%−0.39% to +0.07%Not distinguishable from zero | +0.19%−0.38% to +0.75%Not distinguishable from zero |
| ChinaIn weeks when Chinese stocks beat other emerging markets by 1 percentage point | +0.05%−0.07% to +0.18%Not distinguishable from zero | +0.04%−0.25% to +0.34%Not distinguishable from zero |
Each figure is the stock's typical move in a week when the force moved by the stated amount, after accounting for the stock market, with its 90% range beneath. Grey figures could not be told apart from zero. A row is marked a clear difference only when the two 90% ranges do not overlap.
This describes the past, and it is not a forecast. Relationships change, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.