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P vs DELL · data through Oct 2, 2026

On none of the 19 forces measured do P and DELL differ by more than the noise in the readings: their 90% ranges overlap every time.

PDELLBars: 90% ranges. Hollow: could not be told apart from zero.Same figures in the table below.
Economic forcePEverpureDELLDell Technologies
Interest ratesIn weeks when the 10-year Treasury yield rose 0.25 percentage points+2.7%−0.19% to +5.6%Not distinguishable from zero+1.8%−0.35% to +3.9%Not distinguishable from zero
Inflation expectationsIn weeks when 10-year inflation expectations rose 0.25 percentage points−0.40%−5.7% to +4.9%Not distinguishable from zero−1.6%−7.0% to +3.8%Not distinguishable from zero
U.S. dollarIn weeks when the trade-weighted U.S. dollar rose 2%+1.2%−1.6% to +4.1%Not distinguishable from zero+0.15%−2.5% to +2.8%Not distinguishable from zero
Oil and energyIn weeks when the price of oil rose 10%+0.66%−0.80% to +2.1%Not distinguishable from zero+0.78%−1.4% to +3.0%Not distinguishable from zero
Credit spreadsIn weeks when corporate credit spreads widened 0.25 percentage points+10.1%+0.67% to +19.5%Tentative+3.5%−4.7% to +11.7%Not distinguishable from zero
Short-term ratesIn weeks when the 2-year Treasury yield rose 0.25 percentage points+3.8%+0.93% to +6.7%Tentative+2.3%−1.4% to +6.0%Not distinguishable from zero
Market volatilityIn weeks when market volatility (the VIX) rose 5 points−0.34%−1.7% to +1.0%Not distinguishable from zero−0.80%−2.5% to +0.91%Not distinguishable from zero
Mortgage ratesIn weeks when the 30-year mortgage rate rose 0.25 percentage points+1.6%−0.86% to +4.1%Not distinguishable from zero+3.8%+0.81% to +6.9%Tentative
GoldIn weeks when the price of gold rose 5%+0.88%−0.82% to +2.6%Not distinguishable from zero+1.3%−0.52% to +3.2%Not distinguishable from zero
CopperIn weeks when the price of copper rose 5%0.00%−1.0% to +1.0%Not distinguishable from zero+1.3%+0.14% to +2.5%Tentative
Natural gasIn weeks when the U.S. natural gas price (Henry Hub) rose 10%−0.04%−0.07% to −0.01%Tentative−0.03%−0.07% to 0.00%Tentative
BitcoinIn weeks when the price of bitcoin rose 10%+1.9%−0.47% to +4.2%Not distinguishable from zero+0.68%−1.6% to +3.0%Not distinguishable from zero
Small vs large companiesIn weeks when small companies beat large ones by 1 percentage point+0.18%−0.37% to +0.73%Not distinguishable from zero+0.22%−0.34% to +0.79%Not distinguishable from zero
Value vs growthIn weeks when value stocks beat growth stocks by 1 percentage point−1.2%−1.8% to −0.66%Clear−0.58%−1.1% to −0.03%Tentative
MomentumIn weeks when recent winners beat the stock market by 1 percentage point+1.4%+0.65% to +2.1%Clear+2.0%+1.2% to +2.9%Clear
EuroIn weeks when the euro rose 2% against the U.S. dollar−3.5%−8.0% to +1.0%Not distinguishable from zero−3.8%−8.9% to +1.2%Not distinguishable from zero
Japanese yenIn weeks when the yen rose 2% against the U.S. dollar+0.28%−1.2% to +1.8%Not distinguishable from zero−3.0%−5.2% to −0.72%Tentative
Emerging marketsIn weeks when emerging-market stocks beat the S&P 500 by 1 percentage point+0.40%−0.12% to +0.91%Not distinguishable from zero+1.1%+0.40% to +1.8%Tentative
ChinaIn weeks when Chinese stocks beat other emerging markets by 1 percentage point−0.31%−0.66% to +0.05%Not distinguishable from zero−0.65%−1.1% to −0.15%Tentative
Each figure is the stock's typical move in a week when the force moved by the stated amount, after accounting for the stock market, with its 90% range beneath. Grey figures could not be told apart from zero. A row is marked a clear difference only when the two 90% ranges do not overlap.

This describes the past, and it is not a forecast. Relationships change, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

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