Compare two stocks
On none of the 19 forces measured do OXY and MPC differ by more than the noise in the readings: their 90% ranges overlap every time.
| Economic force | OXYOccidental Petroleum | MPCMarathon Petroleum |
|---|---|---|
| Interest ratesIn weeks when the 10-year Treasury yield rose 0.25 percentage points | −0.15%−2.1% to +1.8%Not distinguishable from zero | −0.31%−1.5% to +0.92%Not distinguishable from zero |
| Inflation expectationsIn weeks when 10-year inflation expectations rose 0.25 percentage points | +4.4%+0.05% to +8.8%Tentative | +1.9%−1.6% to +5.4%Not distinguishable from zero |
| U.S. dollarIn weeks when the trade-weighted U.S. dollar rose 2% | −0.48%−2.0% to +1.0%Not distinguishable from zero | +0.87%−0.68% to +2.4%Not distinguishable from zero |
| Oil and energyIn weeks when the price of oil rose 10% | +3.9%+2.5% to +5.2%Clear | +3.9%+3.0% to +4.7%Clear |
| Credit spreadsIn weeks when corporate credit spreads widened 0.25 percentage points | +0.61%−1.8% to +3.0%Not distinguishable from zero | +0.46%−2.6% to +3.5%Not distinguishable from zero |
| Short-term ratesIn weeks when the 2-year Treasury yield rose 0.25 percentage points | +1.6%−0.21% to +3.4%Not distinguishable from zero | +0.49%−1.5% to +2.5%Not distinguishable from zero |
| Market volatilityIn weeks when market volatility (the VIX) rose 5 points | −1.8%−3.2% to −0.35%Tentative | −1.7%−2.8% to −0.52%Tentative |
| Mortgage ratesIn weeks when the 30-year mortgage rate rose 0.25 percentage points | +0.24%−1.0% to +1.5%Not distinguishable from zero | +0.77%−0.71% to +2.2%Not distinguishable from zero |
| GoldIn weeks when the price of gold rose 5% | −0.46%−1.3% to +0.41%Not distinguishable from zero | −0.94%−2.0% to +0.13%Not distinguishable from zero |
| CopperIn weeks when the price of copper rose 5% | +0.47%−0.20% to +1.1%Not distinguishable from zero | +0.29%−0.39% to +1.0%Not distinguishable from zero |
| Natural gasIn weeks when the U.S. natural gas price (Henry Hub) rose 10% | +0.02%0.00% to +0.04%Not distinguishable from zero | +0.01%−0.03% to +0.04%Not distinguishable from zero |
| BitcoinIn weeks when the price of bitcoin rose 10% | −0.40%−1.0% to +0.19%Not distinguishable from zero | −0.57%−1.5% to +0.38%Not distinguishable from zero |
| Small vs large companiesIn weeks when small companies beat large ones by 1 percentage point | +0.37%+0.08% to +0.65%Tentative | +0.58%+0.24% to +0.93%Tentative |
| Value vs growthIn weeks when value stocks beat growth stocks by 1 percentage point | +0.68%+0.39% to +1.0%Clear | +1.0%+0.65% to +1.3%Clear |
| MomentumIn weeks when recent winners beat the stock market by 1 percentage point | −0.14%−0.48% to +0.20%Not distinguishable from zero | −0.08%−0.48% to +0.33%Not distinguishable from zero |
| EuroIn weeks when the euro rose 2% against the U.S. dollar | −3.5%−5.7% to −1.2%Tentative | −2.8%−5.1% to −0.52%Tentative |
| Japanese yenIn weeks when the yen rose 2% against the U.S. dollar | −1.0%−1.9% to −0.14%Tentative | −0.21%−1.2% to +0.82%Not distinguishable from zero |
| Emerging marketsIn weeks when emerging-market stocks beat the S&P 500 by 1 percentage point | +0.33%−0.13% to +0.80%Not distinguishable from zero | −0.07%−0.51% to +0.36%Not distinguishable from zero |
| ChinaIn weeks when Chinese stocks beat other emerging markets by 1 percentage point | +0.13%0.00% to +0.26%Not distinguishable from zero | +0.04%−0.18% to +0.27%Not distinguishable from zero |
Each figure is the stock's typical move in a week when the force moved by the stated amount, after accounting for the stock market, with its 90% range beneath. Grey figures could not be told apart from zero. A row is marked a clear difference only when the two 90% ranges do not overlap.
This describes the past, and it is not a forecast. Relationships change, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.