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OXY vs LYB · data through Oct 2, 2026

OXY and LYB clearly differ on 1 of 19 forces. The widest gap is euro: in weeks when the euro rose 2% against the U.S. dollar, OXY typically moved −3.5% and LYB +1.0%.

OXYLYBBars: 90% ranges. Hollow: could not be told apart from zero.Same figures in the table below.
Economic forceOXYOccidental PetroleumLYBLyondellBasell
Interest ratesIn weeks when the 10-year Treasury yield rose 0.25 percentage points−0.15%−2.1% to +1.8%Not distinguishable from zero−0.73%−1.9% to +0.44%Not distinguishable from zero
Inflation expectationsIn weeks when 10-year inflation expectations rose 0.25 percentage points+4.4%+0.05% to +8.8%Tentative+3.2%−0.59% to +6.9%Not distinguishable from zero
U.S. dollarIn weeks when the trade-weighted U.S. dollar rose 2%−0.48%−2.0% to +1.0%Not distinguishable from zero−1.4%−3.2% to +0.37%Not distinguishable from zero
Oil and energyIn weeks when the price of oil rose 10%+3.9%+2.5% to +5.2%Clear+3.7%+2.7% to +4.8%Clear
Credit spreadsIn weeks when corporate credit spreads widened 0.25 percentage points+0.61%−1.8% to +3.0%Not distinguishable from zero−0.86%−3.4% to +1.7%Not distinguishable from zero
Short-term ratesIn weeks when the 2-year Treasury yield rose 0.25 percentage points+1.6%−0.21% to +3.4%Not distinguishable from zero+0.77%−1.4% to +3.0%Not distinguishable from zero
Market volatilityIn weeks when market volatility (the VIX) rose 5 points−1.8%−3.2% to −0.35%Tentative−0.68%−1.6% to +0.28%Not distinguishable from zero
Mortgage ratesIn weeks when the 30-year mortgage rate rose 0.25 percentage points+0.24%−1.0% to +1.5%Not distinguishable from zero+0.23%−1.1% to +1.5%Not distinguishable from zero
GoldIn weeks when the price of gold rose 5%−0.46%−1.3% to +0.41%Not distinguishable from zero−0.40%−1.5% to +0.70%Not distinguishable from zero
CopperIn weeks when the price of copper rose 5%+0.47%−0.20% to +1.1%Not distinguishable from zero+1.2%−0.08% to +2.5%Not distinguishable from zero
Natural gasIn weeks when the U.S. natural gas price (Henry Hub) rose 10%+0.02%0.00% to +0.04%Not distinguishable from zero−0.02%−0.04% to +0.01%Not distinguishable from zero
BitcoinIn weeks when the price of bitcoin rose 10%−0.40%−1.0% to +0.19%Not distinguishable from zero+0.20%−0.59% to +1.0%Not distinguishable from zero
Small vs large companiesIn weeks when small companies beat large ones by 1 percentage point+0.37%+0.08% to +0.65%Tentative+0.67%+0.24% to +1.1%Tentative
Value vs growthIn weeks when value stocks beat growth stocks by 1 percentage point+0.68%+0.39% to +1.0%Clear+1.0%+0.66% to +1.4%Clear
MomentumIn weeks when recent winners beat the stock market by 1 percentage point−0.14%−0.48% to +0.20%Not distinguishable from zero−0.52%−1.0% to −0.06%Tentative
EuroIn weeks when the euro rose 2% against the U.S. dollarClear difference−3.5%−5.7% to −1.2%Tentative+1.0%−1.1% to +3.1%Not distinguishable from zero
Japanese yenIn weeks when the yen rose 2% against the U.S. dollar−1.0%−1.9% to −0.14%Tentative−0.03%−1.2% to +1.1%Not distinguishable from zero
Emerging marketsIn weeks when emerging-market stocks beat the S&P 500 by 1 percentage point+0.33%−0.13% to +0.80%Not distinguishable from zero+0.25%−0.08% to +0.57%Not distinguishable from zero
ChinaIn weeks when Chinese stocks beat other emerging markets by 1 percentage point+0.13%0.00% to +0.26%Not distinguishable from zero+0.21%+0.05% to +0.36%Tentative
Each figure is the stock's typical move in a week when the force moved by the stated amount, after accounting for the stock market, with its 90% range beneath. Grey figures could not be told apart from zero. A row is marked a clear difference only when the two 90% ranges do not overlap.

This describes the past, and it is not a forecast. Relationships change, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

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