Compare two stocks
On none of the 19 forces measured do ORLY and COST differ by more than the noise in the readings: their 90% ranges overlap every time.
| Economic force | ORLYO'Reilly Automotive | COSTCostco |
|---|---|---|
| Interest ratesIn weeks when the 10-year Treasury yield rose 0.25 percentage points | −1.3%−2.3% to −0.40%Tentative | −1.4%−2.8% to −0.08%Tentative |
| Inflation expectationsIn weeks when 10-year inflation expectations rose 0.25 percentage points | +1.8%−0.29% to +4.0%Not distinguishable from zero | +1.4%−1.0% to +3.8%Not distinguishable from zero |
| U.S. dollarIn weeks when the trade-weighted U.S. dollar rose 2% | +1.3%+0.19% to +2.5%Tentative | +1.9%+0.63% to +3.3%Tentative |
| Oil and energyIn weeks when the price of oil rose 10% | −0.38%−0.85% to +0.09%Not distinguishable from zero | +0.21%−0.47% to +0.88%Not distinguishable from zero |
| Credit spreadsIn weeks when corporate credit spreads widened 0.25 percentage points | +1.2%−1.1% to +3.4%Not distinguishable from zero | +0.50%−1.7% to +2.7%Not distinguishable from zero |
| Short-term ratesIn weeks when the 2-year Treasury yield rose 0.25 percentage points | +1.7%+0.11% to +3.3%Tentative | +2.1%+0.50% to +3.7%Tentative |
| Market volatilityIn weeks when market volatility (the VIX) rose 5 points | +0.42%−0.41% to +1.2%Not distinguishable from zero | +0.13%−0.75% to +1.0%Not distinguishable from zero |
| Mortgage ratesIn weeks when the 30-year mortgage rate rose 0.25 percentage points | −0.36%−1.2% to +0.48%Not distinguishable from zero | −1.0%−1.9% to −0.10%Tentative |
| GoldIn weeks when the price of gold rose 5% | +0.67%−0.04% to +1.4%Not distinguishable from zero | +0.66%−0.17% to +1.5%Not distinguishable from zero |
| CopperIn weeks when the price of copper rose 5% | +0.15%−0.29% to +0.58%Not distinguishable from zero | −0.26%−0.82% to +0.30%Not distinguishable from zero |
| Natural gasIn weeks when the U.S. natural gas price (Henry Hub) rose 10% | +0.05%+0.02% to +0.07%Clear | +0.03%+0.02% to +0.04%Clear |
| BitcoinIn weeks when the price of bitcoin rose 10% | −0.44%−1.0% to +0.12%Not distinguishable from zero | −0.45%−0.87% to −0.04%Tentative |
| Small vs large companiesIn weeks when small companies beat large ones by 1 percentage point | +0.01%−0.23% to +0.26%Not distinguishable from zero | −0.05%−0.37% to +0.27%Not distinguishable from zero |
| Value vs growthIn weeks when value stocks beat growth stocks by 1 percentage point | +0.32%+0.06% to +0.58%Tentative | +0.02%−0.25% to +0.29%Not distinguishable from zero |
| MomentumIn weeks when recent winners beat the stock market by 1 percentage point | −0.10%−0.31% to +0.10%Not distinguishable from zero | +0.14%−0.14% to +0.42%Not distinguishable from zero |
| EuroIn weeks when the euro rose 2% against the U.S. dollar | −0.29%−1.7% to +1.1%Not distinguishable from zero | −0.69%−2.6% to +1.2%Not distinguishable from zero |
| Japanese yenIn weeks when the yen rose 2% against the U.S. dollar | +0.57%−0.14% to +1.3%Not distinguishable from zero | +0.33%−0.38% to +1.0%Not distinguishable from zero |
| Emerging marketsIn weeks when emerging-market stocks beat the S&P 500 by 1 percentage point | −0.30%−0.56% to −0.04%Tentative | −0.36%−0.61% to −0.12%Tentative |
| ChinaIn weeks when Chinese stocks beat other emerging markets by 1 percentage point | +0.15%0.00% to +0.29%Tentative | −0.04%−0.21% to +0.13%Not distinguishable from zero |
Each figure is the stock's typical move in a week when the force moved by the stated amount, after accounting for the stock market, with its 90% range beneath. Grey figures could not be told apart from zero. A row is marked a clear difference only when the two 90% ranges do not overlap.
This describes the past, and it is not a forecast. Relationships change, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.