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ORLY vs AON · data through Oct 2, 2026

ORLY and AON clearly differ on 1 of 19 forces. The widest gap is momentum: in weeks when recent winners beat the stock market by 1 percentage point, ORLY typically moved −0.10% and AON −0.64%.

ORLYAONBars: 90% ranges. Hollow: could not be told apart from zero.Same figures in the table below.
Economic forceORLYO'Reilly AutomotiveAONAon plc
Interest ratesIn weeks when the 10-year Treasury yield rose 0.25 percentage points−1.3%−2.3% to −0.40%Tentative−0.69%−2.0% to +0.62%Not distinguishable from zero
Inflation expectationsIn weeks when 10-year inflation expectations rose 0.25 percentage points+1.8%−0.29% to +4.0%Not distinguishable from zero+0.41%−2.4% to +3.2%Not distinguishable from zero
U.S. dollarIn weeks when the trade-weighted U.S. dollar rose 2%+1.3%+0.19% to +2.5%Tentative+1.5%+0.35% to +2.6%Tentative
Oil and energyIn weeks when the price of oil rose 10%−0.38%−0.85% to +0.09%Not distinguishable from zero−0.41%−1.1% to +0.32%Not distinguishable from zero
Credit spreadsIn weeks when corporate credit spreads widened 0.25 percentage points+1.2%−1.1% to +3.4%Not distinguishable from zero+0.65%−1.9% to +3.2%Not distinguishable from zero
Short-term ratesIn weeks when the 2-year Treasury yield rose 0.25 percentage points+1.7%+0.11% to +3.3%Tentative+1.2%−0.91% to +3.4%Not distinguishable from zero
Market volatilityIn weeks when market volatility (the VIX) rose 5 points+0.42%−0.41% to +1.2%Not distinguishable from zero+0.01%−0.73% to +0.75%Not distinguishable from zero
Mortgage ratesIn weeks when the 30-year mortgage rate rose 0.25 percentage points−0.36%−1.2% to +0.48%Not distinguishable from zero−0.24%−1.5% to +1.0%Not distinguishable from zero
GoldIn weeks when the price of gold rose 5%+0.67%−0.04% to +1.4%Not distinguishable from zero−0.12%−1.0% to +0.72%Not distinguishable from zero
CopperIn weeks when the price of copper rose 5%+0.15%−0.29% to +0.58%Not distinguishable from zero+0.20%−0.42% to +0.83%Not distinguishable from zero
Natural gasIn weeks when the U.S. natural gas price (Henry Hub) rose 10%+0.05%+0.02% to +0.07%Clear+0.01%−0.02% to +0.04%Not distinguishable from zero
BitcoinIn weeks when the price of bitcoin rose 10%−0.44%−1.0% to +0.12%Not distinguishable from zero−0.48%−1.0% to +0.06%Not distinguishable from zero
Small vs large companiesIn weeks when small companies beat large ones by 1 percentage point+0.01%−0.23% to +0.26%Not distinguishable from zero+0.02%−0.27% to +0.30%Not distinguishable from zero
Value vs growthIn weeks when value stocks beat growth stocks by 1 percentage point+0.32%+0.06% to +0.58%Tentative+0.50%+0.18% to +0.82%Tentative
MomentumIn weeks when recent winners beat the stock market by 1 percentage pointClear difference−0.10%−0.31% to +0.10%Not distinguishable from zero−0.64%−1.0% to −0.33%Clear
EuroIn weeks when the euro rose 2% against the U.S. dollar−0.29%−1.7% to +1.1%Not distinguishable from zero+0.88%−1.1% to +2.8%Not distinguishable from zero
Japanese yenIn weeks when the yen rose 2% against the U.S. dollar+0.57%−0.14% to +1.3%Not distinguishable from zero+0.20%−0.84% to +1.2%Not distinguishable from zero
Emerging marketsIn weeks when emerging-market stocks beat the S&P 500 by 1 percentage point−0.30%−0.56% to −0.04%Tentative−0.68%−1.0% to −0.38%Clear
ChinaIn weeks when Chinese stocks beat other emerging markets by 1 percentage point+0.15%0.00% to +0.29%Tentative+0.29%+0.09% to +0.49%Tentative
Each figure is the stock's typical move in a week when the force moved by the stated amount, after accounting for the stock market, with its 90% range beneath. Grey figures could not be told apart from zero. A row is marked a clear difference only when the two 90% ranges do not overlap.

This describes the past, and it is not a forecast. Relationships change, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

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