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ORLY vs ALL · data through Oct 2, 2026

ORLY and ALL clearly differ on 3 of 19 forces. The widest gap is value vs growth: in weeks when value stocks beat growth stocks by 1 percentage point, ORLY typically moved +0.32% and ALL +0.89%.

ORLYALLBars: 90% ranges. Hollow: could not be told apart from zero.Same figures in the table below.
Economic forceORLYO'Reilly AutomotiveALLAllstate
Interest ratesIn weeks when the 10-year Treasury yield rose 0.25 percentage points−1.3%−2.3% to −0.40%Tentative−0.85%−2.2% to +0.51%Not distinguishable from zero
Inflation expectationsIn weeks when 10-year inflation expectations rose 0.25 percentage points+1.8%−0.29% to +4.0%Not distinguishable from zero+1.4%−1.5% to +4.3%Not distinguishable from zero
U.S. dollarIn weeks when the trade-weighted U.S. dollar rose 2%+1.3%+0.19% to +2.5%Tentative+0.93%−0.57% to +2.4%Not distinguishable from zero
Oil and energyIn weeks when the price of oil rose 10%−0.38%−0.85% to +0.09%Not distinguishable from zero−0.04%−0.88% to +0.81%Not distinguishable from zero
Credit spreadsIn weeks when corporate credit spreads widened 0.25 percentage points+1.2%−1.1% to +3.4%Not distinguishable from zero−0.02%−2.6% to +2.6%Not distinguishable from zero
Short-term ratesIn weeks when the 2-year Treasury yield rose 0.25 percentage points+1.7%+0.11% to +3.3%Tentative+0.50%−1.1% to +2.1%Not distinguishable from zero
Market volatilityIn weeks when market volatility (the VIX) rose 5 points+0.42%−0.41% to +1.2%Not distinguishable from zero−1.2%−2.2% to −0.22%Tentative
Mortgage ratesIn weeks when the 30-year mortgage rate rose 0.25 percentage points−0.36%−1.2% to +0.48%Not distinguishable from zero−0.11%−1.3% to +1.1%Not distinguishable from zero
GoldIn weeks when the price of gold rose 5%+0.67%−0.04% to +1.4%Not distinguishable from zero+0.03%−0.76% to +0.83%Not distinguishable from zero
CopperIn weeks when the price of copper rose 5%+0.15%−0.29% to +0.58%Not distinguishable from zero−0.31%−0.90% to +0.28%Not distinguishable from zero
Natural gasIn weeks when the U.S. natural gas price (Henry Hub) rose 10%Clear difference+0.05%+0.02% to +0.07%Clear−0.01%−0.03% to +0.02%Not distinguishable from zero
BitcoinIn weeks when the price of bitcoin rose 10%−0.44%−1.0% to +0.12%Not distinguishable from zero−0.85%−1.6% to −0.08%Tentative
Small vs large companiesIn weeks when small companies beat large ones by 1 percentage point+0.01%−0.23% to +0.26%Not distinguishable from zero+0.21%−0.06% to +0.49%Not distinguishable from zero
Value vs growthIn weeks when value stocks beat growth stocks by 1 percentage pointClear difference+0.32%+0.06% to +0.58%Tentative+0.89%+0.68% to +1.1%Clear
MomentumIn weeks when recent winners beat the stock market by 1 percentage pointClear difference−0.10%−0.31% to +0.10%Not distinguishable from zero−0.55%−0.79% to −0.32%Clear
EuroIn weeks when the euro rose 2% against the U.S. dollar−0.29%−1.7% to +1.1%Not distinguishable from zero−0.42%−2.6% to +1.7%Not distinguishable from zero
Japanese yenIn weeks when the yen rose 2% against the U.S. dollar+0.57%−0.14% to +1.3%Not distinguishable from zero−0.14%−0.86% to +0.58%Not distinguishable from zero
Emerging marketsIn weeks when emerging-market stocks beat the S&P 500 by 1 percentage point−0.30%−0.56% to −0.04%Tentative−0.54%−0.79% to −0.29%Clear
ChinaIn weeks when Chinese stocks beat other emerging markets by 1 percentage point+0.15%0.00% to +0.29%Tentative+0.17%+0.01% to +0.32%Tentative
Each figure is the stock's typical move in a week when the force moved by the stated amount, after accounting for the stock market, with its 90% range beneath. Grey figures could not be told apart from zero. A row is marked a clear difference only when the two 90% ranges do not overlap.

This describes the past, and it is not a forecast. Relationships change, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

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