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ON vs VST · data through Oct 2, 2026

ON and VST clearly differ on 2 of 19 forces. The widest gap is euro: in weeks when the euro rose 2% against the U.S. dollar, ON typically moved −1.3% and VST −9.9%.

ONVSTBars: 90% ranges. Hollow: could not be told apart from zero.Same figures in the table below.
Economic forceONON SemiconductorVSTVistra Corp.
Interest ratesIn weeks when the 10-year Treasury yield rose 0.25 percentage points+1.9%−1.3% to +5.2%Not distinguishable from zero+0.42%−1.2% to +2.1%Not distinguishable from zero
Inflation expectationsIn weeks when 10-year inflation expectations rose 0.25 percentage points−5.5%−11.6% to +0.60%Not distinguishable from zero−3.4%−9.6% to +2.7%Not distinguishable from zero
U.S. dollarIn weeks when the trade-weighted U.S. dollar rose 2%−0.30%−2.9% to +2.3%Not distinguishable from zero−0.51%−3.8% to +2.8%Not distinguishable from zero
Oil and energyIn weeks when the price of oil rose 10%+1.6%−0.40% to +3.6%Not distinguishable from zero+1.4%−0.11% to +2.9%Not distinguishable from zero
Credit spreadsIn weeks when corporate credit spreads widened 0.25 percentage points+0.53%−5.3% to +6.4%Not distinguishable from zero+1.7%−2.3% to +5.8%Not distinguishable from zero
Short-term ratesIn weeks when the 2-year Treasury yield rose 0.25 percentage points−2.3%−6.5% to +1.9%Not distinguishable from zero+2.5%−1.6% to +6.5%Not distinguishable from zero
Market volatilityIn weeks when market volatility (the VIX) rose 5 points+0.04%−2.2% to +2.2%Not distinguishable from zero−1.7%−3.4% to +0.03%Not distinguishable from zero
Mortgage ratesIn weeks when the 30-year mortgage rate rose 0.25 percentage points+0.67%−1.1% to +2.4%Not distinguishable from zero+0.60%−2.0% to +3.2%Not distinguishable from zero
GoldIn weeks when the price of gold rose 5%−0.06%−2.2% to +2.1%Not distinguishable from zero+0.66%−0.92% to +2.2%Not distinguishable from zero
CopperIn weeks when the price of copper rose 5%−0.24%−1.3% to +0.81%Not distinguishable from zero−0.08%−1.5% to +1.3%Not distinguishable from zero
Natural gasIn weeks when the U.S. natural gas price (Henry Hub) rose 10%+0.01%−0.04% to +0.06%Not distinguishable from zero−0.05%−0.08% to −0.02%Tentative
BitcoinIn weeks when the price of bitcoin rose 10%−0.14%−1.3% to +1.0%Not distinguishable from zero+1.0%−0.45% to +2.4%Not distinguishable from zero
Small vs large companiesIn weeks when small companies beat large ones by 1 percentage point+0.75%+0.18% to +1.3%Tentative+0.64%−0.10% to +1.4%Not distinguishable from zero
Value vs growthIn weeks when value stocks beat growth stocks by 1 percentage point−0.07%−0.63% to +0.49%Not distinguishable from zero+0.08%−0.44% to +0.60%Not distinguishable from zero
MomentumIn weeks when recent winners beat the stock market by 1 percentage pointClear difference+0.63%+0.15% to +1.1%Tentative+1.7%+1.1% to +2.3%Clear
EuroIn weeks when the euro rose 2% against the U.S. dollarClear difference−1.3%−4.6% to +1.9%Not distinguishable from zero−9.9%−14.2% to −5.6%Clear
Japanese yenIn weeks when the yen rose 2% against the U.S. dollar+1.5%−0.25% to +3.2%Not distinguishable from zero−2.0%−4.4% to +0.43%Not distinguishable from zero
Emerging marketsIn weeks when emerging-market stocks beat the S&P 500 by 1 percentage point+1.4%+1.0% to +1.9%Clear+0.67%+0.09% to +1.2%Tentative
ChinaIn weeks when Chinese stocks beat other emerging markets by 1 percentage point−0.21%−0.51% to +0.09%Not distinguishable from zero−0.03%−0.67% to +0.61%Not distinguishable from zero
Each figure is the stock's typical move in a week when the force moved by the stated amount, after accounting for the stock market, with its 90% range beneath. Grey figures could not be told apart from zero. A row is marked a clear difference only when the two 90% ranges do not overlap.

This describes the past, and it is not a forecast. Relationships change, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

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