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O vs AES · data through Oct 2, 2026

O and AES clearly differ on 1 of 19 forces. The widest gap is euro: in weeks when the euro rose 2% against the U.S. dollar, O typically moved −0.27% and AES −5.6%.

OAESBars: 90% ranges. Hollow: could not be told apart from zero.Same figures in the table below.
Economic forceORealty IncomeAESAES Corporation
Interest ratesIn weeks when the 10-year Treasury yield rose 0.25 percentage points−2.5%−3.2% to −1.7%Clear−2.6%−4.3% to −0.80%Tentative
Inflation expectationsIn weeks when 10-year inflation expectations rose 0.25 percentage points+2.4%+0.75% to +4.0%Tentative+0.73%−4.7% to +6.1%Not distinguishable from zero
U.S. dollarIn weeks when the trade-weighted U.S. dollar rose 2%−2.1%−3.0% to −1.2%Clear−1.8%−4.8% to +1.2%Not distinguishable from zero
Oil and energyIn weeks when the price of oil rose 10%+0.12%−0.38% to +0.62%Not distinguishable from zero+0.10%−1.5% to +1.7%Not distinguishable from zero
Credit spreadsIn weeks when corporate credit spreads widened 0.25 percentage points−0.45%−2.2% to +1.3%Not distinguishable from zero+1.0%−2.7% to +4.7%Not distinguishable from zero
Short-term ratesIn weeks when the 2-year Treasury yield rose 0.25 percentage points−0.82%−1.9% to +0.29%Not distinguishable from zero−1.7%−4.1% to +0.76%Not distinguishable from zero
Market volatilityIn weeks when market volatility (the VIX) rose 5 points−0.82%−1.5% to −0.16%Tentative−2.9%−4.6% to −1.1%Tentative
Mortgage ratesIn weeks when the 30-year mortgage rate rose 0.25 percentage points−0.32%−1.2% to +0.58%Not distinguishable from zero+0.46%−1.7% to +2.6%Not distinguishable from zero
GoldIn weeks when the price of gold rose 5%+0.27%−0.47% to +1.0%Not distinguishable from zero−0.29%−1.4% to +0.82%Not distinguishable from zero
CopperIn weeks when the price of copper rose 5%+0.09%−0.34% to +0.52%Not distinguishable from zero+0.90%−0.24% to +2.0%Not distinguishable from zero
Natural gasIn weeks when the U.S. natural gas price (Henry Hub) rose 10%−0.01%−0.04% to +0.02%Not distinguishable from zero−0.02%−0.06% to +0.01%Not distinguishable from zero
BitcoinIn weeks when the price of bitcoin rose 10%−0.18%−0.65% to +0.29%Not distinguishable from zero−0.03%−1.1% to +1.1%Not distinguishable from zero
Small vs large companiesIn weeks when small companies beat large ones by 1 percentage point+0.36%+0.18% to +0.53%Clear+0.53%+0.05% to +1.0%Tentative
Value vs growthIn weeks when value stocks beat growth stocks by 1 percentage point+0.69%+0.57% to +0.82%Clear+0.85%+0.39% to +1.3%Clear
MomentumIn weeks when recent winners beat the stock market by 1 percentage point−0.37%−0.59% to −0.14%Tentative−0.34%−0.77% to +0.10%Not distinguishable from zero
EuroIn weeks when the euro rose 2% against the U.S. dollarClear difference−0.27%−1.7% to +1.2%Not distinguishable from zero−5.6%−8.3% to −2.9%Clear
Japanese yenIn weeks when the yen rose 2% against the U.S. dollar+0.56%+0.01% to +1.1%Tentative−0.91%−2.1% to +0.33%Not distinguishable from zero
Emerging marketsIn weeks when emerging-market stocks beat the S&P 500 by 1 percentage point+0.07%−0.21% to +0.34%Not distinguishable from zero+0.65%+0.16% to +1.1%Tentative
ChinaIn weeks when Chinese stocks beat other emerging markets by 1 percentage point+0.12%+0.02% to +0.21%Tentative+0.15%−0.04% to +0.35%Not distinguishable from zero
Each figure is the stock's typical move in a week when the force moved by the stated amount, after accounting for the stock market, with its 90% range beneath. Grey figures could not be told apart from zero. A row is marked a clear difference only when the two 90% ranges do not overlap.

This describes the past, and it is not a forecast. Relationships change, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

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