Compare two stocks
On none of the 19 forces measured do NVR and SJM differ by more than the noise in the readings: their 90% ranges overlap every time.
| Economic force | NVRNVR, Inc. | SJMJ.M. Smucker Company (The) |
|---|---|---|
| Interest ratesIn weeks when the 10-year Treasury yield rose 0.25 percentage points | −2.7%−3.5% to −2.0%Clear | −1.8%−2.9% to −0.61%Tentative |
| Inflation expectationsIn weeks when 10-year inflation expectations rose 0.25 percentage points | +0.82%−2.0% to +3.6%Not distinguishable from zero | +1.7%−0.76% to +4.1%Not distinguishable from zero |
| U.S. dollarIn weeks when the trade-weighted U.S. dollar rose 2% | −0.42%−1.5% to +0.69%Not distinguishable from zero | −0.26%−1.8% to +1.3%Not distinguishable from zero |
| Oil and energyIn weeks when the price of oil rose 10% | −1.5%−2.2% to −0.93%Clear | −1.1%−2.1% to −0.19%Tentative |
| Credit spreadsIn weeks when corporate credit spreads widened 0.25 percentage points | −3.1%−4.9% to −1.2%Clear | −1.3%−4.1% to +1.4%Not distinguishable from zero |
| Short-term ratesIn weeks when the 2-year Treasury yield rose 0.25 percentage points | −0.52%−2.3% to +1.3%Not distinguishable from zero | −0.80%−2.7% to +1.1%Not distinguishable from zero |
| Market volatilityIn weeks when market volatility (the VIX) rose 5 points | +0.59%−0.12% to +1.3%Not distinguishable from zero | −0.04%−1.1% to +1.0%Not distinguishable from zero |
| Mortgage ratesIn weeks when the 30-year mortgage rate rose 0.25 percentage points | −0.04%−1.1% to +1.0%Not distinguishable from zero | +0.03%−1.1% to +1.2%Not distinguishable from zero |
| GoldIn weeks when the price of gold rose 5% | −0.11%−0.87% to +0.64%Not distinguishable from zero | +0.27%−0.89% to +1.4%Not distinguishable from zero |
| CopperIn weeks when the price of copper rose 5% | −0.47%−1.0% to +0.10%Not distinguishable from zero | +0.16%−0.45% to +0.76%Not distinguishable from zero |
| Natural gasIn weeks when the U.S. natural gas price (Henry Hub) rose 10% | +0.02%0.00% to +0.04%Not distinguishable from zero | 0.00%−0.01% to +0.01%Not distinguishable from zero |
| BitcoinIn weeks when the price of bitcoin rose 10% | +0.17%−0.51% to +0.85%Not distinguishable from zero | −0.27%−0.92% to +0.38%Not distinguishable from zero |
| Small vs large companiesIn weeks when small companies beat large ones by 1 percentage point | +0.67%+0.45% to +0.90%Clear | +0.38%+0.07% to +0.70%Tentative |
| Value vs growthIn weeks when value stocks beat growth stocks by 1 percentage point | +0.63%+0.38% to +0.88%Clear | +0.70%+0.44% to +1.0%Clear |
| MomentumIn weeks when recent winners beat the stock market by 1 percentage point | −0.24%−0.51% to +0.04%Not distinguishable from zero | −0.56%−1.1% to −0.06%Tentative |
| EuroIn weeks when the euro rose 2% against the U.S. dollar | +2.1%+0.05% to +4.1%Tentative | +2.0%−0.54% to +4.5%Not distinguishable from zero |
| Japanese yenIn weeks when the yen rose 2% against the U.S. dollar | −0.24%−1.2% to +0.75%Not distinguishable from zero | +0.89%−0.01% to +1.8%Not distinguishable from zero |
| Emerging marketsIn weeks when emerging-market stocks beat the S&P 500 by 1 percentage point | −0.21%−0.39% to −0.03%Tentative | −0.07%−0.29% to +0.14%Not distinguishable from zero |
| ChinaIn weeks when Chinese stocks beat other emerging markets by 1 percentage point | +0.01%−0.12% to +0.13%Not distinguishable from zero | +0.10%−0.04% to +0.23%Not distinguishable from zero |
Each figure is the stock's typical move in a week when the force moved by the stated amount, after accounting for the stock market, with its 90% range beneath. Grey figures could not be told apart from zero. A row is marked a clear difference only when the two 90% ranges do not overlap.
This describes the past, and it is not a forecast. Relationships change, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.