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NOW vs CHRW · data through Oct 2, 2026

NOW and CHRW clearly differ on 3 of 19 forces. The widest gap is gold: in weeks when the price of gold rose 5%, NOW typically moved +0.39% and CHRW −1.6%.

Economic forceNOWServiceNowCHRWC.H. Robinson
Interest ratesIn weeks when the 10-year Treasury yield rose 0.25 percentage points−0.22%−1.6% to +1.2%Not distinguishable from zero−0.65%−2.2% to +0.84%Not distinguishable from zero
Inflation expectationsIn weeks when 10-year inflation expectations rose 0.25 percentage points−0.35%−4.0% to +3.3%Not distinguishable from zero+0.01%−4.1% to +4.1%Not distinguishable from zero
U.S. dollarIn weeks when the trade-weighted U.S. dollar rose 2%+1.5%−0.48% to +3.5%Not distinguishable from zero+0.77%−1.4% to +3.0%Not distinguishable from zero
Oil and energyIn weeks when the price of oil rose 10%+0.23%−1.7% to +2.2%Not distinguishable from zero+0.32%−0.77% to +1.4%Not distinguishable from zero
Credit spreadsIn weeks when corporate credit spreads widened 0.25 percentage points−0.46%−4.1% to +3.1%Not distinguishable from zero−0.63%−4.5% to +3.3%Not distinguishable from zero
Short-term ratesIn weeks when the 2-year Treasury yield rose 0.25 percentage points−2.8%−5.4% to −0.21%Tentative−2.9%−6.2% to +0.28%Not distinguishable from zero
Market volatilityIn weeks when market volatility (the VIX) rose 5 points+1.5%−0.33% to +3.4%Not distinguishable from zero+0.31%−1.1% to +1.7%Not distinguishable from zero
Mortgage ratesIn weeks when the 30-year mortgage rate rose 0.25 percentage points−0.20%−1.8% to +1.4%Not distinguishable from zero−1.6%−3.0% to −0.24%Tentative
GoldIn weeks when the price of gold rose 5%Clear difference+0.39%−0.53% to +1.3%Not distinguishable from zero−1.6%−2.7% to −0.60%Tentative
CopperIn weeks when the price of copper rose 5%−0.79%−1.7% to +0.14%Not distinguishable from zero−0.94%−1.9% to +0.01%Not distinguishable from zero
Natural gasIn weeks when the U.S. natural gas price (Henry Hub) rose 10%Clear difference+0.10%+0.07% to +0.12%Clear−0.01%−0.04% to +0.02%Not distinguishable from zero
BitcoinIn weeks when the price of bitcoin rose 10%+0.91%−0.28% to +2.1%Not distinguishable from zero−0.49%−1.3% to +0.30%Not distinguishable from zero
Small vs large companiesIn weeks when small companies beat large ones by 1 percentage point−0.41%−0.88% to +0.07%Not distinguishable from zero+0.17%−0.20% to +0.54%Not distinguishable from zero
Value vs growthIn weeks when value stocks beat growth stocks by 1 percentage pointClear difference−1.0%−1.5% to −0.46%Clear+0.21%−0.13% to +0.55%Not distinguishable from zero
MomentumIn weeks when recent winners beat the stock market by 1 percentage point−0.73%−1.5% to +0.01%Not distinguishable from zero−0.71%−1.3% to −0.11%Tentative
EuroIn weeks when the euro rose 2% against the U.S. dollar+1.9%−0.88% to +4.7%Not distinguishable from zero+1.1%−1.5% to +3.7%Not distinguishable from zero
Japanese yenIn weeks when the yen rose 2% against the U.S. dollar+0.84%−0.78% to +2.5%Not distinguishable from zero+0.26%−1.4% to +2.0%Not distinguishable from zero
Emerging marketsIn weeks when emerging-market stocks beat the S&P 500 by 1 percentage point−0.80%−1.3% to −0.31%Tentative0.00%−0.37% to +0.37%Not distinguishable from zero
ChinaIn weeks when Chinese stocks beat other emerging markets by 1 percentage point+0.13%−0.19% to +0.45%Not distinguishable from zero+0.11%−0.14% to +0.36%Not distinguishable from zero
Each figure is the stock's typical move in a week when the force moved by the stated amount, after accounting for the stock market, with its 90% range beneath. Grey figures could not be told apart from zero. A row is marked a clear difference only when the two 90% ranges do not overlap.

This describes the past, and it is not a forecast. Relationships change, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

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