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NEM vs DG · data through Oct 2, 2026

NEM and DG clearly differ on 2 of 19 forces. The widest gap is gold: in weeks when the price of gold rose 5%, NEM typically moved +7.4% and DG +1.2%.

NEMDGBars: 90% ranges. Hollow: could not be told apart from zero.Same figures in the table below.
Economic forceNEMNewmontDGDollar General
Interest ratesIn weeks when the 10-year Treasury yield rose 0.25 percentage points−0.39%−4.0% to +3.2%Not distinguishable from zero−1.7%−3.4% to +0.07%Not distinguishable from zero
Inflation expectationsIn weeks when 10-year inflation expectations rose 0.25 percentage points+1.2%−4.8% to +7.3%Not distinguishable from zero+0.52%−3.6% to +4.7%Not distinguishable from zero
U.S. dollarIn weeks when the trade-weighted U.S. dollar rose 2%−7.4%−9.7% to −5.2%Clear−7.4%−9.6% to −5.2%Clear
Oil and energyIn weeks when the price of oil rose 10%+0.62%−0.74% to +2.0%Not distinguishable from zero−0.37%−1.4% to +0.65%Not distinguishable from zero
Credit spreadsIn weeks when corporate credit spreads widened 0.25 percentage points+2.2%−1.2% to +5.6%Not distinguishable from zero−1.0%−4.2% to +2.2%Not distinguishable from zero
Short-term ratesIn weeks when the 2-year Treasury yield rose 0.25 percentage points−0.16%−4.6% to +4.3%Not distinguishable from zero−0.32%−3.3% to +2.7%Not distinguishable from zero
Market volatilityIn weeks when market volatility (the VIX) rose 5 points−0.61%−2.0% to +0.79%Not distinguishable from zero+0.20%−1.0% to +1.4%Not distinguishable from zero
Mortgage ratesIn weeks when the 30-year mortgage rate rose 0.25 percentage points+0.58%−0.92% to +2.1%Not distinguishable from zero+1.1%−1.0% to +3.2%Not distinguishable from zero
GoldIn weeks when the price of gold rose 5%Clear difference+7.4%+6.4% to +8.4%Clear+1.2%+0.02% to +2.5%Tentative
CopperIn weeks when the price of copper rose 5%+2.2%+0.93% to +3.6%Tentative+0.83%−0.03% to +1.7%Not distinguishable from zero
Natural gasIn weeks when the U.S. natural gas price (Henry Hub) rose 10%+0.02%−0.06% to +0.10%Not distinguishable from zero−0.06%−0.08% to −0.04%Clear
BitcoinIn weeks when the price of bitcoin rose 10%+0.13%−0.85% to +1.1%Not distinguishable from zero+0.55%−0.52% to +1.6%Not distinguishable from zero
Small vs large companiesIn weeks when small companies beat large ones by 1 percentage point+0.43%+0.02% to +0.83%Tentative+0.21%−0.22% to +0.63%Not distinguishable from zero
Value vs growthIn weeks when value stocks beat growth stocks by 1 percentage pointClear difference+0.65%+0.24% to +1.1%Tentative−0.22%−0.67% to +0.22%Not distinguishable from zero
MomentumIn weeks when recent winners beat the stock market by 1 percentage point+0.15%−0.29% to +0.59%Not distinguishable from zero−0.01%−0.57% to +0.55%Not distinguishable from zero
EuroIn weeks when the euro rose 2% against the U.S. dollar−0.74%−4.4% to +2.9%Not distinguishable from zero−2.2%−4.8% to +0.42%Not distinguishable from zero
Japanese yenIn weeks when the yen rose 2% against the U.S. dollar−0.17%−1.8% to +1.4%Not distinguishable from zero−0.74%−1.9% to +0.44%Not distinguishable from zero
Emerging marketsIn weeks when emerging-market stocks beat the S&P 500 by 1 percentage point+0.52%+0.03% to +1.0%Tentative+0.27%−0.06% to +0.60%Not distinguishable from zero
ChinaIn weeks when Chinese stocks beat other emerging markets by 1 percentage point−0.40%−0.64% to −0.16%Tentative−0.07%−0.28% to +0.13%Not distinguishable from zero
Each figure is the stock's typical move in a week when the force moved by the stated amount, after accounting for the stock market, with its 90% range beneath. Grey figures could not be told apart from zero. A row is marked a clear difference only when the two 90% ranges do not overlap.

This describes the past, and it is not a forecast. Relationships change, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

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