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NCLH vs CCL · data through Oct 2, 2026

On none of the 19 forces measured do NCLH and CCL differ by more than the noise in the readings: their 90% ranges overlap every time.

NCLHCCLBars: 90% ranges. Hollow: could not be told apart from zero.Same figures in the table below.
Economic forceNCLHNorwegian Cruise Line HoldingsCCLCarnival Corporation
Interest ratesIn weeks when the 10-year Treasury yield rose 0.25 percentage points−3.4%−5.7% to −1.0%Tentative−2.1%−3.8% to −0.49%Tentative
Inflation expectationsIn weeks when 10-year inflation expectations rose 0.25 percentage points+8.3%+2.2% to +14.4%Tentative+5.6%+0.10% to +11.0%Tentative
U.S. dollarIn weeks when the trade-weighted U.S. dollar rose 2%+3.8%+1.7% to +6.0%Clear+3.0%+0.81% to +5.1%Tentative
Oil and energyIn weeks when the price of oil rose 10%−2.8%−4.4% to −1.1%Clear−2.8%−4.6% to −1.0%Tentative
Credit spreadsIn weeks when corporate credit spreads widened 0.25 percentage points−4.3%−9.8% to +1.1%Not distinguishable from zero−3.1%−7.4% to +1.1%Not distinguishable from zero
Short-term ratesIn weeks when the 2-year Treasury yield rose 0.25 percentage points−4.1%−7.6% to −0.52%Tentative−2.8%−5.9% to +0.43%Not distinguishable from zero
Market volatilityIn weeks when market volatility (the VIX) rose 5 points−1.8%−3.3% to −0.25%Tentative−2.0%−3.3% to −0.67%Tentative
Mortgage ratesIn weeks when the 30-year mortgage rate rose 0.25 percentage points+0.03%−2.1% to +2.2%Not distinguishable from zero+1.1%−1.2% to +3.3%Not distinguishable from zero
GoldIn weeks when the price of gold rose 5%−0.32%−1.7% to +1.0%Not distinguishable from zero−1.7%−2.8% to −0.56%Tentative
CopperIn weeks when the price of copper rose 5%−0.23%−1.3% to +0.87%Not distinguishable from zero−0.58%−1.5% to +0.30%Not distinguishable from zero
Natural gasIn weeks when the U.S. natural gas price (Henry Hub) rose 10%−0.07%−0.16% to +0.01%Not distinguishable from zero−0.03%−0.09% to +0.03%Not distinguishable from zero
BitcoinIn weeks when the price of bitcoin rose 10%+0.43%−1.3% to +2.2%Not distinguishable from zero−0.56%−1.9% to +0.81%Not distinguishable from zero
Small vs large companiesIn weeks when small companies beat large ones by 1 percentage point+1.5%+1.0% to +2.0%Clear+1.0%+0.55% to +1.4%Clear
Value vs growthIn weeks when value stocks beat growth stocks by 1 percentage point+0.82%+0.40% to +1.2%Clear+0.64%+0.24% to +1.0%Tentative
MomentumIn weeks when recent winners beat the stock market by 1 percentage point+0.35%−0.19% to +0.88%Not distinguishable from zero+0.35%−0.12% to +0.82%Not distinguishable from zero
EuroIn weeks when the euro rose 2% against the U.S. dollar+0.08%−3.3% to +3.4%Not distinguishable from zero+0.29%−3.2% to +3.8%Not distinguishable from zero
Japanese yenIn weeks when the yen rose 2% against the U.S. dollar−0.64%−2.3% to +1.0%Not distinguishable from zero−0.88%−2.3% to +0.51%Not distinguishable from zero
Emerging marketsIn weeks when emerging-market stocks beat the S&P 500 by 1 percentage point−0.06%−0.52% to +0.41%Not distinguishable from zero−0.08%−0.55% to +0.40%Not distinguishable from zero
ChinaIn weeks when Chinese stocks beat other emerging markets by 1 percentage point−0.38%−0.63% to −0.13%Tentative−0.40%−0.62% to −0.17%Tentative
Each figure is the stock's typical move in a week when the force moved by the stated amount, after accounting for the stock market, with its 90% range beneath. Grey figures could not be told apart from zero. A row is marked a clear difference only when the two 90% ranges do not overlap.

This describes the past, and it is not a forecast. Relationships change, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

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