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MU vs HRL · data through Oct 2, 2026

MU and HRL clearly differ on 5 of 19 forces. The widest gap is short-term rates: in weeks when the 2-year Treasury yield rose 0.25 percentage points, MU typically moved +5.5% and HRL −1.9%.

MUHRLBars: 90% ranges. Hollow: could not be told apart from zero.Same figures in the table below.
Economic forceMUMicron TechnologyHRLHormel Foods
Interest ratesIn weeks when the 10-year Treasury yield rose 0.25 percentage points+0.02%−2.6% to +2.6%Not distinguishable from zero−0.65%−2.1% to +0.75%Not distinguishable from zero
Inflation expectationsIn weeks when 10-year inflation expectations rose 0.25 percentage points−0.88%−6.6% to +4.9%Not distinguishable from zero−1.8%−4.5% to +0.93%Not distinguishable from zero
U.S. dollarIn weeks when the trade-weighted U.S. dollar rose 2%−1.8%−4.6% to +0.88%Not distinguishable from zero−1.6%−3.1% to −0.15%Tentative
Oil and energyIn weeks when the price of oil rose 10%−0.04%−2.0% to +1.9%Not distinguishable from zero−0.20%−1.1% to +0.70%Not distinguishable from zero
Credit spreadsIn weeks when corporate credit spreads widened 0.25 percentage points−1.8%−8.3% to +4.8%Not distinguishable from zero−1.3%−4.3% to +1.7%Not distinguishable from zero
Short-term ratesIn weeks when the 2-year Treasury yield rose 0.25 percentage pointsClear difference+5.5%+1.5% to +9.6%Tentative−1.9%−4.1% to +0.22%Not distinguishable from zero
Market volatilityIn weeks when market volatility (the VIX) rose 5 points−2.4%−4.7% to −0.09%Tentative−0.85%−1.8% to +0.10%Not distinguishable from zero
Mortgage ratesIn weeks when the 30-year mortgage rate rose 0.25 percentage points+1.1%−1.4% to +3.7%Not distinguishable from zero+0.61%−0.51% to +1.7%Not distinguishable from zero
GoldIn weeks when the price of gold rose 5%+2.0%+0.24% to +3.7%Tentative−0.10%−1.3% to +1.1%Not distinguishable from zero
CopperIn weeks when the price of copper rose 5%+1.4%+0.04% to +2.8%Tentative+0.41%−0.24% to +1.1%Not distinguishable from zero
Natural gasIn weeks when the U.S. natural gas price (Henry Hub) rose 10%+0.08%+0.01% to +0.15%Tentative+0.02%0.00% to +0.03%Tentative
BitcoinIn weeks when the price of bitcoin rose 10%+1.0%−0.19% to +2.3%Not distinguishable from zero+0.08%−0.79% to +0.94%Not distinguishable from zero
Small vs large companiesIn weeks when small companies beat large ones by 1 percentage point+0.31%−0.27% to +0.89%Not distinguishable from zero+0.69%+0.38% to +1.0%Clear
Value vs growthIn weeks when value stocks beat growth stocks by 1 percentage pointClear difference−0.42%−0.83% to −0.02%Tentative+0.55%+0.36% to +0.74%Clear
MomentumIn weeks when recent winners beat the stock market by 1 percentage pointClear difference+2.5%+1.7% to +3.2%Clear−0.02%−0.39% to +0.36%Not distinguishable from zero
EuroIn weeks when the euro rose 2% against the U.S. dollarClear difference−4.8%−8.6% to −0.94%Tentative+1.8%−0.39% to +3.9%Not distinguishable from zero
Japanese yenIn weeks when the yen rose 2% against the U.S. dollar−1.9%−4.0% to +0.13%Not distinguishable from zero−0.48%−1.3% to +0.35%Not distinguishable from zero
Emerging marketsIn weeks when emerging-market stocks beat the S&P 500 by 1 percentage pointClear difference+2.4%+1.8% to +3.0%Clear+0.04%−0.23% to +0.30%Not distinguishable from zero
ChinaIn weeks when Chinese stocks beat other emerging markets by 1 percentage point−0.70%−1.4% to −0.01%Tentative+0.07%−0.06% to +0.20%Not distinguishable from zero
Each figure is the stock's typical move in a week when the force moved by the stated amount, after accounting for the stock market, with its 90% range beneath. Grey figures could not be told apart from zero. A row is marked a clear difference only when the two 90% ranges do not overlap.

This describes the past, and it is not a forecast. Relationships change, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

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