Compare two stocks
On none of the 19 forces measured do MRSH and PGR differ by more than the noise in the readings: their 90% ranges overlap every time.
| Economic force | MRSHMarsh McLennan | PGRProgressive Corporation |
|---|---|---|
| Interest ratesIn weeks when the 10-year Treasury yield rose 0.25 percentage points | −0.25%−1.4% to +0.92%Not distinguishable from zero | +0.34%−1.5% to +2.1%Not distinguishable from zero |
| Inflation expectationsIn weeks when 10-year inflation expectations rose 0.25 percentage points | +1.3%−1.2% to +3.7%Not distinguishable from zero | +1.7%−1.2% to +4.6%Not distinguishable from zero |
| U.S. dollarIn weeks when the trade-weighted U.S. dollar rose 2% | +0.18%−0.85% to +1.2%Not distinguishable from zero | +0.25%−1.1% to +1.6%Not distinguishable from zero |
| Oil and energyIn weeks when the price of oil rose 10% | −0.76%−1.3% to −0.22%Tentative | −0.66%−1.7% to +0.37%Not distinguishable from zero |
| Credit spreadsIn weeks when corporate credit spreads widened 0.25 percentage points | +0.74%−1.0% to +2.5%Not distinguishable from zero | +0.15%−2.5% to +2.8%Not distinguishable from zero |
| Short-term ratesIn weeks when the 2-year Treasury yield rose 0.25 percentage points | +0.74%−0.86% to +2.3%Not distinguishable from zero | +1.4%−0.44% to +3.3%Not distinguishable from zero |
| Market volatilityIn weeks when market volatility (the VIX) rose 5 points | −0.06%−0.80% to +0.68%Not distinguishable from zero | −0.41%−1.2% to +0.42%Not distinguishable from zero |
| Mortgage ratesIn weeks when the 30-year mortgage rate rose 0.25 percentage points | −0.19%−1.0% to +0.66%Not distinguishable from zero | −0.54%−1.7% to +0.57%Not distinguishable from zero |
| GoldIn weeks when the price of gold rose 5% | −0.22%−0.88% to +0.45%Not distinguishable from zero | +0.48%−0.39% to +1.3%Not distinguishable from zero |
| CopperIn weeks when the price of copper rose 5% | +0.40%−0.08% to +0.88%Not distinguishable from zero | −0.35%−0.93% to +0.22%Not distinguishable from zero |
| Natural gasIn weeks when the U.S. natural gas price (Henry Hub) rose 10% | +0.02%0.00% to +0.03%Tentative | +0.03%+0.01% to +0.05%Tentative |
| BitcoinIn weeks when the price of bitcoin rose 10% | −0.31%−0.75% to +0.13%Not distinguishable from zero | −0.47%−1.2% to +0.30%Not distinguishable from zero |
| Small vs large companiesIn weeks when small companies beat large ones by 1 percentage point | −0.08%−0.28% to +0.11%Not distinguishable from zero | −0.01%−0.32% to +0.30%Not distinguishable from zero |
| Value vs growthIn weeks when value stocks beat growth stocks by 1 percentage point | +0.40%+0.18% to +0.62%Tentative | +0.55%+0.26% to +0.84%Clear |
| MomentumIn weeks when recent winners beat the stock market by 1 percentage point | −0.48%−0.76% to −0.20%Tentative | −0.14%−0.48% to +0.20%Not distinguishable from zero |
| EuroIn weeks when the euro rose 2% against the U.S. dollar | +0.47%−0.93% to +1.9%Not distinguishable from zero | −0.57%−2.4% to +1.3%Not distinguishable from zero |
| Japanese yenIn weeks when the yen rose 2% against the U.S. dollar | +0.02%−0.73% to +0.77%Not distinguishable from zero | +0.36%−0.33% to +1.0%Not distinguishable from zero |
| Emerging marketsIn weeks when emerging-market stocks beat the S&P 500 by 1 percentage point | −0.56%−0.78% to −0.34%Clear | −0.46%−0.74% to −0.18%Tentative |
| ChinaIn weeks when Chinese stocks beat other emerging markets by 1 percentage point | +0.25%+0.09% to +0.42%Tentative | +0.13%−0.07% to +0.33%Not distinguishable from zero |
Each figure is the stock's typical move in a week when the force moved by the stated amount, after accounting for the stock market, with its 90% range beneath. Grey figures could not be told apart from zero. A row is marked a clear difference only when the two 90% ranges do not overlap.
This describes the past, and it is not a forecast. Relationships change, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.