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MRNA vs PSKY · data through Oct 2, 2026

On none of the 19 forces measured do MRNA and PSKY differ by more than the noise in the readings: their 90% ranges overlap every time.

MRNAPSKYBars: 90% ranges. Hollow: could not be told apart from zero.Same figures in the table below.
Economic forceMRNAModernaPSKYParamount Skydance Corporation
Interest ratesIn weeks when the 10-year Treasury yield rose 0.25 percentage points−0.23%−5.2% to +4.8%Not distinguishable from zero−4.1%−6.5% to −1.7%Clear
Inflation expectationsIn weeks when 10-year inflation expectations rose 0.25 percentage points+9.2%−8.2% to +26.6%Not distinguishable from zero+5.0%−1.3% to +11.2%Not distinguishable from zero
U.S. dollarIn weeks when the trade-weighted U.S. dollar rose 2%−11.0%−21.0% to −1.1%Tentative−4.8%−7.4% to −2.3%Clear
Oil and energyIn weeks when the price of oil rose 10%−3.6%−6.8% to −0.43%Tentative−2.2%−3.4% to −1.1%Clear
Credit spreadsIn weeks when corporate credit spreads widened 0.25 percentage points−18.6%−33.8% to −3.4%Tentative−6.9%−12.8% to −1.1%Tentative
Short-term ratesIn weeks when the 2-year Treasury yield rose 0.25 percentage points+4.2%−2.2% to +10.6%Not distinguishable from zero−1.4%−6.8% to +3.9%Not distinguishable from zero
Market volatilityIn weeks when market volatility (the VIX) rose 5 points+0.11%−2.5% to +2.7%Not distinguishable from zero+0.33%−1.2% to +1.9%Not distinguishable from zero
Mortgage ratesIn weeks when the 30-year mortgage rate rose 0.25 percentage points−0.91%−4.7% to +2.9%Not distinguishable from zero+0.61%−1.9% to +3.2%Not distinguishable from zero
GoldIn weeks when the price of gold rose 5%+4.4%−0.71% to +9.5%Not distinguishable from zero+1.5%−0.19% to +3.2%Not distinguishable from zero
CopperIn weeks when the price of copper rose 5%+0.57%−1.8% to +3.0%Not distinguishable from zero+0.67%−0.63% to +2.0%Not distinguishable from zero
Natural gasIn weeks when the U.S. natural gas price (Henry Hub) rose 10%+0.07%−0.04% to +0.18%Not distinguishable from zero−0.08%−0.18% to +0.02%Not distinguishable from zero
BitcoinIn weeks when the price of bitcoin rose 10%+4.9%−2.3% to +12.2%Not distinguishable from zero+0.03%−1.2% to +1.3%Not distinguishable from zero
Small vs large companiesIn weeks when small companies beat large ones by 1 percentage point+0.23%−0.80% to +1.3%Not distinguishable from zero+0.15%−0.55% to +0.86%Not distinguishable from zero
Value vs growthIn weeks when value stocks beat growth stocks by 1 percentage point−0.11%−1.0% to +0.75%Not distinguishable from zero+0.40%−0.26% to +1.1%Not distinguishable from zero
MomentumIn weeks when recent winners beat the stock market by 1 percentage point−1.0%−2.3% to +0.24%Not distinguishable from zero−0.81%−1.4% to −0.23%Tentative
EuroIn weeks when the euro rose 2% against the U.S. dollar+0.43%−5.2% to +6.0%Not distinguishable from zero+1.7%−2.9% to +6.3%Not distinguishable from zero
Japanese yenIn weeks when the yen rose 2% against the U.S. dollar−1.4%−4.0% to +1.1%Not distinguishable from zero−1.0%−2.6% to +0.61%Not distinguishable from zero
Emerging marketsIn weeks when emerging-market stocks beat the S&P 500 by 1 percentage point+1.3%+0.45% to +2.2%Tentative+0.24%−0.26% to +0.74%Not distinguishable from zero
ChinaIn weeks when Chinese stocks beat other emerging markets by 1 percentage point−0.53%−1.0% to −0.10%Tentative−0.18%−0.52% to +0.15%Not distinguishable from zero
Each figure is the stock's typical move in a week when the force moved by the stated amount, after accounting for the stock market, with its 90% range beneath. Grey figures could not be told apart from zero. A row is marked a clear difference only when the two 90% ranges do not overlap.

This describes the past, and it is not a forecast. Relationships change, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

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