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MOS vs NWSA · data through Oct 2, 2026

MOS and NWSA clearly differ on 4 of 19 forces. The widest gap is gold: in weeks when the price of gold rose 5%, MOS typically moved +2.8% and NWSA −0.65%.

MOSNWSABars: 90% ranges. Hollow: could not be told apart from zero.Same figures in the table below.
Economic forceMOSMosaic Company (The)NWSANews Corp (Class A)
Interest ratesIn weeks when the 10-year Treasury yield rose 0.25 percentage points−0.14%−1.8% to +1.5%Not distinguishable from zero−0.67%−1.7% to +0.37%Not distinguishable from zero
Inflation expectationsIn weeks when 10-year inflation expectations rose 0.25 percentage points+2.8%−1.8% to +7.4%Not distinguishable from zero+2.8%+0.16% to +5.3%Tentative
U.S. dollarIn weeks when the trade-weighted U.S. dollar rose 2%−4.1%−6.6% to −1.7%Clear−1.7%−2.7% to −0.58%Tentative
Oil and energyIn weeks when the price of oil rose 10%+1.3%+0.10% to +2.4%Tentative+0.41%−0.19% to +1.0%Not distinguishable from zero
Credit spreadsIn weeks when corporate credit spreads widened 0.25 percentage points−2.6%−7.0% to +1.8%Not distinguishable from zero−1.5%−3.6% to +0.51%Not distinguishable from zero
Short-term ratesIn weeks when the 2-year Treasury yield rose 0.25 percentage points+1.1%−1.7% to +4.0%Not distinguishable from zero−0.92%−2.3% to +0.45%Not distinguishable from zero
Market volatilityIn weeks when market volatility (the VIX) rose 5 pointsClear difference−2.1%−3.4% to −0.74%Tentative+0.33%−0.44% to +1.1%Not distinguishable from zero
Mortgage ratesIn weeks when the 30-year mortgage rate rose 0.25 percentage points+0.61%−1.0% to +2.2%Not distinguishable from zero+0.11%−0.89% to +1.1%Not distinguishable from zero
GoldIn weeks when the price of gold rose 5%Clear difference+2.8%+1.2% to +4.5%Tentative−0.65%−1.3% to +0.02%Not distinguishable from zero
CopperIn weeks when the price of copper rose 5%+0.72%−0.60% to +2.1%Not distinguishable from zero−0.64%−1.1% to −0.16%Tentative
Natural gasIn weeks when the U.S. natural gas price (Henry Hub) rose 10%+0.05%−0.04% to +0.13%Not distinguishable from zero+0.01%−0.02% to +0.04%Not distinguishable from zero
BitcoinIn weeks when the price of bitcoin rose 10%+1.0%−0.11% to +2.1%Not distinguishable from zero+0.31%−0.64% to +1.3%Not distinguishable from zero
Small vs large companiesIn weeks when small companies beat large ones by 1 percentage point+0.81%+0.43% to +1.2%Clear+0.20%−0.08% to +0.48%Not distinguishable from zero
Value vs growthIn weeks when value stocks beat growth stocks by 1 percentage pointClear difference+0.93%+0.59% to +1.3%Clear+0.12%−0.22% to +0.45%Not distinguishable from zero
MomentumIn weeks when recent winners beat the stock market by 1 percentage point−0.10%−0.61% to +0.42%Not distinguishable from zero−0.28%−0.59% to +0.04%Not distinguishable from zero
EuroIn weeks when the euro rose 2% against the U.S. dollar−2.5%−5.7% to +0.79%Not distinguishable from zero+1.7%+0.18% to +3.2%Tentative
Japanese yenIn weeks when the yen rose 2% against the U.S. dollar−0.24%−1.3% to +0.84%Not distinguishable from zero+0.73%−0.11% to +1.6%Not distinguishable from zero
Emerging marketsIn weeks when emerging-market stocks beat the S&P 500 by 1 percentage pointClear difference+0.57%+0.11% to +1.0%Tentative−0.34%−0.61% to −0.06%Tentative
ChinaIn weeks when Chinese stocks beat other emerging markets by 1 percentage point+0.03%−0.22% to +0.28%Not distinguishable from zero+0.14%+0.01% to +0.28%Tentative
Each figure is the stock's typical move in a week when the force moved by the stated amount, after accounting for the stock market, with its 90% range beneath. Grey figures could not be told apart from zero. A row is marked a clear difference only when the two 90% ranges do not overlap.

This describes the past, and it is not a forecast. Relationships change, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

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