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MMM vs WTW · data through Oct 2, 2026

On none of the 19 forces measured do MMM and WTW differ by more than the noise in the readings: their 90% ranges overlap every time.

MMMWTWBars: 90% ranges. Hollow: could not be told apart from zero.Same figures in the table below.
Economic forceMMM3MWTWWillis Towers Watson
Interest ratesIn weeks when the 10-year Treasury yield rose 0.25 percentage points−0.48%−1.9% to +0.95%Not distinguishable from zero−0.30%−1.8% to +1.2%Not distinguishable from zero
Inflation expectationsIn weeks when 10-year inflation expectations rose 0.25 percentage points+1.1%−1.9% to +4.1%Not distinguishable from zero+0.80%−1.5% to +3.2%Not distinguishable from zero
U.S. dollarIn weeks when the trade-weighted U.S. dollar rose 2%+1.0%−0.62% to +2.7%Not distinguishable from zero+0.76%−0.79% to +2.3%Not distinguishable from zero
Oil and energyIn weeks when the price of oil rose 10%−1.6%−2.3% to −0.78%Clear−1.0%−1.7% to −0.27%Tentative
Credit spreadsIn weeks when corporate credit spreads widened 0.25 percentage points+0.08%−3.3% to +3.4%Not distinguishable from zero−1.0%−3.8% to +1.8%Not distinguishable from zero
Short-term ratesIn weeks when the 2-year Treasury yield rose 0.25 percentage points−0.61%−2.5% to +1.3%Not distinguishable from zero−2.0%−3.7% to −0.23%Tentative
Market volatilityIn weeks when market volatility (the VIX) rose 5 points−1.8%−3.0% to −0.56%Tentative−1.1%−2.1% to −0.17%Tentative
Mortgage ratesIn weeks when the 30-year mortgage rate rose 0.25 percentage points−0.49%−1.6% to +0.65%Not distinguishable from zero+0.47%−0.68% to +1.6%Not distinguishable from zero
GoldIn weeks when the price of gold rose 5%+0.25%−0.67% to +1.2%Not distinguishable from zero+0.48%−0.31% to +1.3%Not distinguishable from zero
CopperIn weeks when the price of copper rose 5%+1.1%+0.45% to +1.8%Tentative+0.25%−0.33% to +0.82%Not distinguishable from zero
Natural gasIn weeks when the U.S. natural gas price (Henry Hub) rose 10%−0.02%−0.04% to −0.01%Tentative0.00%−0.03% to +0.03%Not distinguishable from zero
BitcoinIn weeks when the price of bitcoin rose 10%−0.23%−0.92% to +0.46%Not distinguishable from zero−0.14%−0.91% to +0.62%Not distinguishable from zero
Small vs large companiesIn weeks when small companies beat large ones by 1 percentage point+0.72%+0.30% to +1.1%Tentative+0.16%−0.08% to +0.40%Not distinguishable from zero
Value vs growthIn weeks when value stocks beat growth stocks by 1 percentage point+1.0%+0.61% to +1.3%Clear+0.47%+0.18% to +0.77%Tentative
MomentumIn weeks when recent winners beat the stock market by 1 percentage point−0.34%−0.71% to +0.03%Not distinguishable from zero−0.69%−1.0% to −0.34%Clear
EuroIn weeks when the euro rose 2% against the U.S. dollar−0.87%−2.5% to +0.78%Not distinguishable from zero+0.09%−1.3% to +1.5%Not distinguishable from zero
Japanese yenIn weeks when the yen rose 2% against the U.S. dollar+0.45%−1.0% to +1.9%Not distinguishable from zero+0.25%−1.0% to +1.5%Not distinguishable from zero
Emerging marketsIn weeks when emerging-market stocks beat the S&P 500 by 1 percentage point+0.08%−0.18% to +0.34%Not distinguishable from zero−0.45%−0.76% to −0.14%Tentative
ChinaIn weeks when Chinese stocks beat other emerging markets by 1 percentage point+0.19%+0.06% to +0.32%Tentative+0.40%+0.15% to +0.64%Tentative
Each figure is the stock's typical move in a week when the force moved by the stated amount, after accounting for the stock market, with its 90% range beneath. Grey figures could not be told apart from zero. A row is marked a clear difference only when the two 90% ranges do not overlap.

This describes the past, and it is not a forecast. Relationships change, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

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Every figure on these pages is one stock at a time. The app measures a whole portfolio: which forces it is exposed to, which holdings cause it, and how sure the reading is. Free, no account for the first report.