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MMM vs HLT · data through Oct 2, 2026

MMM and HLT clearly differ on 1 of 19 forces. The widest gap is value vs growth: in weeks when value stocks beat growth stocks by 1 percentage point, MMM typically moved +1.0% and HLT +0.37%.

MMMHLTBars: 90% ranges. Hollow: could not be told apart from zero.Same figures in the table below.
Economic forceMMM3MHLTHilton Worldwide
Interest ratesIn weeks when the 10-year Treasury yield rose 0.25 percentage points−0.48%−1.9% to +0.95%Not distinguishable from zero−0.71%−1.3% to −0.11%Tentative
Inflation expectationsIn weeks when 10-year inflation expectations rose 0.25 percentage points+1.1%−1.9% to +4.1%Not distinguishable from zero+1.6%+0.06% to +3.1%Tentative
U.S. dollarIn weeks when the trade-weighted U.S. dollar rose 2%+1.0%−0.62% to +2.7%Not distinguishable from zero+1.6%+0.61% to +2.5%Clear
Oil and energyIn weeks when the price of oil rose 10%−1.6%−2.3% to −0.78%Clear−0.91%−1.4% to −0.40%Clear
Credit spreadsIn weeks when corporate credit spreads widened 0.25 percentage points+0.08%−3.3% to +3.4%Not distinguishable from zero−0.51%−2.3% to +1.3%Not distinguishable from zero
Short-term ratesIn weeks when the 2-year Treasury yield rose 0.25 percentage points−0.61%−2.5% to +1.3%Not distinguishable from zero+0.40%−1.0% to +1.8%Not distinguishable from zero
Market volatilityIn weeks when market volatility (the VIX) rose 5 points−1.8%−3.0% to −0.56%Tentative−0.02%−0.71% to +0.68%Not distinguishable from zero
Mortgage ratesIn weeks when the 30-year mortgage rate rose 0.25 percentage points−0.49%−1.6% to +0.65%Not distinguishable from zero−0.60%−1.4% to +0.17%Not distinguishable from zero
GoldIn weeks when the price of gold rose 5%+0.25%−0.67% to +1.2%Not distinguishable from zero−0.50%−1.1% to +0.06%Not distinguishable from zero
CopperIn weeks when the price of copper rose 5%+1.1%+0.45% to +1.8%Tentative+0.05%−0.53% to +0.63%Not distinguishable from zero
Natural gasIn weeks when the U.S. natural gas price (Henry Hub) rose 10%−0.02%−0.04% to −0.01%Tentative−0.01%−0.03% to +0.01%Not distinguishable from zero
BitcoinIn weeks when the price of bitcoin rose 10%−0.23%−0.92% to +0.46%Not distinguishable from zero−0.31%−0.79% to +0.17%Not distinguishable from zero
Small vs large companiesIn weeks when small companies beat large ones by 1 percentage point+0.72%+0.30% to +1.1%Tentative+0.27%+0.12% to +0.43%Tentative
Value vs growthIn weeks when value stocks beat growth stocks by 1 percentage pointClear difference+1.0%+0.61% to +1.3%Clear+0.37%+0.18% to +0.55%Clear
MomentumIn weeks when recent winners beat the stock market by 1 percentage point−0.34%−0.71% to +0.03%Not distinguishable from zero+0.20%−0.01% to +0.41%Not distinguishable from zero
EuroIn weeks when the euro rose 2% against the U.S. dollar−0.87%−2.5% to +0.78%Not distinguishable from zero−1.3%−2.8% to +0.32%Not distinguishable from zero
Japanese yenIn weeks when the yen rose 2% against the U.S. dollar+0.45%−1.0% to +1.9%Not distinguishable from zero−0.89%−1.6% to −0.20%Tentative
Emerging marketsIn weeks when emerging-market stocks beat the S&P 500 by 1 percentage point+0.08%−0.18% to +0.34%Not distinguishable from zero+0.04%−0.18% to +0.26%Not distinguishable from zero
ChinaIn weeks when Chinese stocks beat other emerging markets by 1 percentage point+0.19%+0.06% to +0.32%Tentative+0.07%−0.04% to +0.18%Not distinguishable from zero
Each figure is the stock's typical move in a week when the force moved by the stated amount, after accounting for the stock market, with its 90% range beneath. Grey figures could not be told apart from zero. A row is marked a clear difference only when the two 90% ranges do not overlap.

This describes the past, and it is not a forecast. Relationships change, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

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