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MLM vs CVNA · data through Oct 2, 2026

On none of the 19 forces measured do MLM and CVNA differ by more than the noise in the readings: their 90% ranges overlap every time.

MLMCVNABars: 90% ranges. Hollow: could not be told apart from zero.Same figures in the table below.
Economic forceMLMMartin Marietta MaterialsCVNACarvana
Interest ratesIn weeks when the 10-year Treasury yield rose 0.25 percentage points−1.6%−2.6% to −0.58%Clear−1.7%−6.1% to +2.6%Not distinguishable from zero
Inflation expectationsIn weeks when 10-year inflation expectations rose 0.25 percentage points+1.7%−0.74% to +4.1%Not distinguishable from zero+1.5%−7.3% to +10.3%Not distinguishable from zero
U.S. dollarIn weeks when the trade-weighted U.S. dollar rose 2%−0.09%−1.3% to +1.1%Not distinguishable from zero−0.70%−4.7% to +3.3%Not distinguishable from zero
Oil and energyIn weeks when the price of oil rose 10%−0.89%−1.7% to −0.11%Tentative−0.32%−1.9% to +1.3%Not distinguishable from zero
Credit spreadsIn weeks when corporate credit spreads widened 0.25 percentage points+1.1%−0.93% to +3.1%Not distinguishable from zero+1.0%−5.4% to +7.4%Not distinguishable from zero
Short-term ratesIn weeks when the 2-year Treasury yield rose 0.25 percentage points+1.3%−0.22% to +2.9%Not distinguishable from zero−3.8%−9.4% to +1.8%Not distinguishable from zero
Market volatilityIn weeks when market volatility (the VIX) rose 5 points+0.06%−0.78% to +0.91%Not distinguishable from zero−0.07%−2.3% to +2.2%Not distinguishable from zero
Mortgage ratesIn weeks when the 30-year mortgage rate rose 0.25 percentage points+0.57%−0.59% to +1.7%Not distinguishable from zero+2.5%−1.1% to +6.1%Not distinguishable from zero
GoldIn weeks when the price of gold rose 5%+0.74%+0.19% to +1.3%Tentative+1.6%−1.1% to +4.2%Not distinguishable from zero
CopperIn weeks when the price of copper rose 5%−0.22%−0.75% to +0.30%Not distinguishable from zero−0.81%−2.6% to +1.0%Not distinguishable from zero
Natural gasIn weeks when the U.S. natural gas price (Henry Hub) rose 10%−0.01%−0.03% to +0.01%Not distinguishable from zero+0.03%−0.11% to +0.17%Not distinguishable from zero
BitcoinIn weeks when the price of bitcoin rose 10%+0.33%−0.46% to +1.1%Not distinguishable from zero+0.22%−1.2% to +1.6%Not distinguishable from zero
Small vs large companiesIn weeks when small companies beat large ones by 1 percentage point+0.59%+0.38% to +0.81%Clear+1.3%+0.57% to +2.1%Tentative
Value vs growthIn weeks when value stocks beat growth stocks by 1 percentage point+0.33%+0.10% to +0.56%Tentative+0.55%+0.02% to +1.1%Tentative
MomentumIn weeks when recent winners beat the stock market by 1 percentage point+0.42%+0.16% to +0.68%Tentative+0.10%−0.62% to +0.82%Not distinguishable from zero
EuroIn weeks when the euro rose 2% against the U.S. dollar+0.07%−2.0% to +2.2%Not distinguishable from zero+5.4%−0.30% to +11.0%Not distinguishable from zero
Japanese yenIn weeks when the yen rose 2% against the U.S. dollar−0.80%−1.5% to −0.05%Tentative+0.08%−2.8% to +3.0%Not distinguishable from zero
Emerging marketsIn weeks when emerging-market stocks beat the S&P 500 by 1 percentage point−0.08%−0.34% to +0.17%Not distinguishable from zero−0.28%−1.0% to +0.45%Not distinguishable from zero
ChinaIn weeks when Chinese stocks beat other emerging markets by 1 percentage point−0.23%−0.35% to −0.11%Clear+0.21%−0.22% to +0.64%Not distinguishable from zero
Each figure is the stock's typical move in a week when the force moved by the stated amount, after accounting for the stock market, with its 90% range beneath. Grey figures could not be told apart from zero. A row is marked a clear difference only when the two 90% ranges do not overlap.

This describes the past, and it is not a forecast. Relationships change, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

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