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MET vs CAT · data through Oct 2, 2026

MET and CAT clearly differ on 3 of 19 forces. The widest gap is momentum: in weeks when recent winners beat the stock market by 1 percentage point, MET typically moved −0.28% and CAT +0.62%.

METCATBars: 90% ranges. Hollow: could not be told apart from zero.Same figures in the table below.
Economic forceMETMetLifeCATCaterpillar Inc.
Interest ratesIn weeks when the 10-year Treasury yield rose 0.25 percentage points−0.52%−1.2% to +0.21%Not distinguishable from zero−0.87%−2.2% to +0.42%Not distinguishable from zero
Inflation expectationsIn weeks when 10-year inflation expectations rose 0.25 percentage points+3.6%+1.4% to +5.8%Clear+2.9%−0.65% to +6.5%Not distinguishable from zero
U.S. dollarIn weeks when the trade-weighted U.S. dollar rose 2%−0.18%−1.7% to +1.3%Not distinguishable from zero−0.67%−2.3% to +0.95%Not distinguishable from zero
Oil and energyIn weeks when the price of oil rose 10%+0.06%−0.48% to +0.60%Not distinguishable from zero−0.20%−1.2% to +0.82%Not distinguishable from zero
Credit spreadsIn weeks when corporate credit spreads widened 0.25 percentage points−1.4%−3.8% to +1.1%Not distinguishable from zero−0.87%−3.4% to +1.7%Not distinguishable from zero
Short-term ratesIn weeks when the 2-year Treasury yield rose 0.25 percentage points−0.33%−1.8% to +1.2%Not distinguishable from zero+2.0%+0.04% to +4.0%Tentative
Market volatilityIn weeks when market volatility (the VIX) rose 5 points−1.0%−1.7% to −0.35%Tentative+0.10%−1.1% to +1.3%Not distinguishable from zero
Mortgage ratesIn weeks when the 30-year mortgage rate rose 0.25 percentage points+0.24%−0.76% to +1.2%Not distinguishable from zero−1.1%−2.3% to +0.08%Not distinguishable from zero
GoldIn weeks when the price of gold rose 5%−1.2%−1.9% to −0.60%Clear−0.42%−1.3% to +0.49%Not distinguishable from zero
CopperIn weeks when the price of copper rose 5%+0.04%−0.46% to +0.54%Not distinguishable from zero−0.20%−0.84% to +0.44%Not distinguishable from zero
Natural gasIn weeks when the U.S. natural gas price (Henry Hub) rose 10%−0.01%−0.03% to +0.02%Not distinguishable from zero−0.03%−0.06% to −0.01%Tentative
BitcoinIn weeks when the price of bitcoin rose 10%−0.10%−0.75% to +0.54%Not distinguishable from zero−0.24%−1.1% to +0.59%Not distinguishable from zero
Small vs large companiesIn weeks when small companies beat large ones by 1 percentage point+0.48%+0.23% to +0.72%Clear+0.73%+0.51% to +0.95%Clear
Value vs growthIn weeks when value stocks beat growth stocks by 1 percentage point+0.88%+0.66% to +1.1%Clear+0.69%+0.40% to +1.0%Clear
MomentumIn weeks when recent winners beat the stock market by 1 percentage pointClear difference−0.28%−0.51% to −0.05%Tentative+0.62%+0.20% to +1.0%Tentative
EuroIn weeks when the euro rose 2% against the U.S. dollar−1.3%−3.2% to +0.53%Not distinguishable from zero−2.2%−5.1% to +0.75%Not distinguishable from zero
Japanese yenIn weeks when the yen rose 2% against the U.S. dollar+0.29%−0.30% to +0.89%Not distinguishable from zero−0.08%−1.0% to +0.81%Not distinguishable from zero
Emerging marketsIn weeks when emerging-market stocks beat the S&P 500 by 1 percentage pointClear difference−0.21%−0.47% to +0.04%Not distinguishable from zero+0.61%+0.28% to +0.94%Tentative
ChinaIn weeks when Chinese stocks beat other emerging markets by 1 percentage pointClear difference+0.23%+0.12% to +0.35%Clear−0.19%−0.50% to +0.11%Not distinguishable from zero
Each figure is the stock's typical move in a week when the force moved by the stated amount, after accounting for the stock market, with its 90% range beneath. Grey figures could not be told apart from zero. A row is marked a clear difference only when the two 90% ranges do not overlap.

This describes the past, and it is not a forecast. Relationships change, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

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