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MDLZ vs CI · data through Oct 2, 2026

On none of the 19 forces measured do MDLZ and CI differ by more than the noise in the readings: their 90% ranges overlap every time.

MDLZCIBars: 90% ranges. Hollow: could not be told apart from zero.Same figures in the table below.
Economic forceMDLZMondelez InternationalCICigna
Interest ratesIn weeks when the 10-year Treasury yield rose 0.25 percentage points−0.92%−1.9% to +0.04%Not distinguishable from zero−1.2%−2.5% to +0.19%Not distinguishable from zero
Inflation expectationsIn weeks when 10-year inflation expectations rose 0.25 percentage points+1.4%−1.1% to +4.0%Not distinguishable from zero+2.8%−0.23% to +5.8%Not distinguishable from zero
U.S. dollarIn weeks when the trade-weighted U.S. dollar rose 2%−2.7%−3.8% to −1.6%Clear−2.6%−4.0% to −1.3%Clear
Oil and energyIn weeks when the price of oil rose 10%−0.54%−1.1% to +0.07%Not distinguishable from zero−0.49%−1.1% to +0.09%Not distinguishable from zero
Credit spreadsIn weeks when corporate credit spreads widened 0.25 percentage points+0.04%−2.0% to +2.1%Not distinguishable from zero+0.01%−2.7% to +2.7%Not distinguishable from zero
Short-term ratesIn weeks when the 2-year Treasury yield rose 0.25 percentage points−0.75%−2.5% to +1.0%Not distinguishable from zero+0.93%−1.6% to +3.5%Not distinguishable from zero
Market volatilityIn weeks when market volatility (the VIX) rose 5 points0.00%−0.72% to +0.72%Not distinguishable from zero−0.32%−1.2% to +0.52%Not distinguishable from zero
Mortgage ratesIn weeks when the 30-year mortgage rate rose 0.25 percentage points+0.57%−0.15% to +1.3%Not distinguishable from zero+0.61%−0.67% to +1.9%Not distinguishable from zero
GoldIn weeks when the price of gold rose 5%−0.14%−0.82% to +0.55%Not distinguishable from zero+0.25%−0.62% to +1.1%Not distinguishable from zero
CopperIn weeks when the price of copper rose 5%+0.46%−0.33% to +1.2%Not distinguishable from zero+0.34%−0.53% to +1.2%Not distinguishable from zero
Natural gasIn weeks when the U.S. natural gas price (Henry Hub) rose 10%+0.01%−0.01% to +0.02%Not distinguishable from zero0.00%−0.04% to +0.04%Not distinguishable from zero
BitcoinIn weeks when the price of bitcoin rose 10%−0.66%−1.2% to −0.15%Tentative−0.48%−1.3% to +0.33%Not distinguishable from zero
Small vs large companiesIn weeks when small companies beat large ones by 1 percentage point+0.02%−0.25% to +0.28%Not distinguishable from zero+0.39%+0.12% to +0.67%Tentative
Value vs growthIn weeks when value stocks beat growth stocks by 1 percentage point+0.58%+0.37% to +0.79%Clear+0.93%+0.64% to +1.2%Clear
MomentumIn weeks when recent winners beat the stock market by 1 percentage point−0.29%−0.53% to −0.06%Tentative−0.13%−0.51% to +0.25%Not distinguishable from zero
EuroIn weeks when the euro rose 2% against the U.S. dollar+2.6%+1.0% to +4.1%Tentative+2.2%−0.24% to +4.7%Not distinguishable from zero
Japanese yenIn weeks when the yen rose 2% against the U.S. dollar+0.38%−0.27% to +1.0%Not distinguishable from zero+0.15%−0.75% to +1.1%Not distinguishable from zero
Emerging marketsIn weeks when emerging-market stocks beat the S&P 500 by 1 percentage point−0.11%−0.33% to +0.10%Not distinguishable from zero−0.22%−0.48% to +0.05%Not distinguishable from zero
ChinaIn weeks when Chinese stocks beat other emerging markets by 1 percentage point+0.07%−0.08% to +0.22%Not distinguishable from zero+0.09%−0.13% to +0.32%Not distinguishable from zero
Each figure is the stock's typical move in a week when the force moved by the stated amount, after accounting for the stock market, with its 90% range beneath. Grey figures could not be told apart from zero. A row is marked a clear difference only when the two 90% ranges do not overlap.

This describes the past, and it is not a forecast. Relationships change, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

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