Compare two stocks
On none of the 19 forces measured do MCD and PEP differ by more than the noise in the readings: their 90% ranges overlap every time.
| Economic force | MCDMcDonald's | PEPPepsiCo |
|---|---|---|
| Interest ratesIn weeks when the 10-year Treasury yield rose 0.25 percentage points | −1.0%−1.9% to −0.05%Tentative | −1.1%−1.7% to −0.52%Clear |
| Inflation expectationsIn weeks when 10-year inflation expectations rose 0.25 percentage points | +0.22%−2.4% to +2.8%Not distinguishable from zero | +2.0%−0.22% to +4.2%Not distinguishable from zero |
| U.S. dollarIn weeks when the trade-weighted U.S. dollar rose 2% | −1.0%−2.0% to +0.02%Not distinguishable from zero | −0.80%−1.8% to +0.17%Not distinguishable from zero |
| Oil and energyIn weeks when the price of oil rose 10% | −0.47%−1.1% to +0.13%Not distinguishable from zero | −0.55%−1.1% to −0.01%Tentative |
| Credit spreadsIn weeks when corporate credit spreads widened 0.25 percentage points | +0.83%−0.93% to +2.6%Not distinguishable from zero | +1.2%−0.53% to +3.0%Not distinguishable from zero |
| Short-term ratesIn weeks when the 2-year Treasury yield rose 0.25 percentage points | −2.0%−3.5% to −0.45%Tentative | −0.52%−1.9% to +0.83%Not distinguishable from zero |
| Market volatilityIn weeks when market volatility (the VIX) rose 5 points | +0.11%−0.57% to +0.78%Not distinguishable from zero | +0.14%−0.51% to +0.78%Not distinguishable from zero |
| Mortgage ratesIn weeks when the 30-year mortgage rate rose 0.25 percentage points | −0.30%−1.0% to +0.42%Not distinguishable from zero | +0.05%−0.72% to +0.82%Not distinguishable from zero |
| GoldIn weeks when the price of gold rose 5% | +0.92%+0.35% to +1.5%Tentative | +0.51%−0.29% to +1.3%Not distinguishable from zero |
| CopperIn weeks when the price of copper rose 5% | +0.16%−0.32% to +0.64%Not distinguishable from zero | −0.04%−0.65% to +0.57%Not distinguishable from zero |
| Natural gasIn weeks when the U.S. natural gas price (Henry Hub) rose 10% | −0.01%−0.02% to +0.01%Not distinguishable from zero | −0.02%−0.04% to −0.01%Tentative |
| BitcoinIn weeks when the price of bitcoin rose 10% | −0.48%−0.88% to −0.08%Tentative | −0.77%−1.5% to −0.05%Tentative |
| Small vs large companiesIn weeks when small companies beat large ones by 1 percentage point | −0.06%−0.28% to +0.16%Not distinguishable from zero | +0.19%+0.02% to +0.37%Tentative |
| Value vs growthIn weeks when value stocks beat growth stocks by 1 percentage point | +0.28%+0.09% to +0.46%Tentative | +0.63%+0.43% to +0.84%Clear |
| MomentumIn weeks when recent winners beat the stock market by 1 percentage point | −0.47%−0.70% to −0.24%Clear | −0.50%−0.74% to −0.26%Clear |
| EuroIn weeks when the euro rose 2% against the U.S. dollar | +2.1%+0.30% to +4.0%Tentative | +0.67%−0.77% to +2.1%Not distinguishable from zero |
| Japanese yenIn weeks when the yen rose 2% against the U.S. dollar | +0.28%−0.34% to +0.91%Not distinguishable from zero | −0.15%−0.92% to +0.63%Not distinguishable from zero |
| Emerging marketsIn weeks when emerging-market stocks beat the S&P 500 by 1 percentage point | −0.25%−0.45% to −0.05%Tentative | −0.02%−0.21% to +0.17%Not distinguishable from zero |
| ChinaIn weeks when Chinese stocks beat other emerging markets by 1 percentage point | +0.13%+0.03% to +0.24%Tentative | +0.07%−0.05% to +0.19%Not distinguishable from zero |
Each figure is the stock's typical move in a week when the force moved by the stated amount, after accounting for the stock market, with its 90% range beneath. Grey figures could not be told apart from zero. A row is marked a clear difference only when the two 90% ranges do not overlap.
This describes the past, and it is not a forecast. Relationships change, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.