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MA vs AXP · data through Oct 2, 2026

MA and AXP clearly differ on 1 of 19 forces. The widest gap is small vs large companies: in weeks when small companies beat large ones by 1 percentage point, MA typically moved −0.15% and AXP +0.69%.

Economic forceMAMastercardAXPAmerican Express
Interest ratesIn weeks when the 10-year Treasury yield rose 0.25 percentage points−0.45%−1.1% to +0.18%Not distinguishable from zero−0.40%−1.5% to +0.69%Not distinguishable from zero
Inflation expectationsIn weeks when 10-year inflation expectations rose 0.25 percentage points+0.71%−1.5% to +2.9%Not distinguishable from zero+2.2%−0.88% to +5.3%Not distinguishable from zero
U.S. dollarIn weeks when the trade-weighted U.S. dollar rose 2%+0.75%−0.30% to +1.8%Not distinguishable from zero+0.34%−1.2% to +1.9%Not distinguishable from zero
Oil and energyIn weeks when the price of oil rose 10%−0.56%−1.1% to −0.01%Tentative−0.52%−1.3% to +0.25%Not distinguishable from zero
Credit spreadsIn weeks when corporate credit spreads widened 0.25 percentage points−0.73%−2.6% to +1.2%Not distinguishable from zero−0.74%−3.0% to +1.6%Not distinguishable from zero
Short-term ratesIn weeks when the 2-year Treasury yield rose 0.25 percentage points−1.2%−2.7% to +0.24%Not distinguishable from zero−1.2%−3.0% to +0.69%Not distinguishable from zero
Market volatilityIn weeks when market volatility (the VIX) rose 5 points−0.05%−1.0% to +0.89%Not distinguishable from zero−1.0%−1.7% to −0.36%Tentative
Mortgage ratesIn weeks when the 30-year mortgage rate rose 0.25 percentage points−0.39%−1.1% to +0.28%Not distinguishable from zero+0.36%−0.67% to +1.4%Not distinguishable from zero
GoldIn weeks when the price of gold rose 5%−0.28%−0.89% to +0.33%Not distinguishable from zero−0.12%−0.82% to +0.58%Not distinguishable from zero
CopperIn weeks when the price of copper rose 5%−0.07%−0.46% to +0.32%Not distinguishable from zero−0.05%−0.59% to +0.50%Not distinguishable from zero
Natural gasIn weeks when the U.S. natural gas price (Henry Hub) rose 10%−0.02%−0.04% to −0.01%Clear−0.02%−0.07% to +0.03%Not distinguishable from zero
BitcoinIn weeks when the price of bitcoin rose 10%−0.31%−0.73% to +0.12%Not distinguishable from zero−0.26%−0.84% to +0.31%Not distinguishable from zero
Small vs large companiesIn weeks when small companies beat large ones by 1 percentage pointClear difference−0.15%−0.32% to +0.02%Not distinguishable from zero+0.69%+0.49% to +0.89%Clear
Value vs growthIn weeks when value stocks beat growth stocks by 1 percentage point+0.40%+0.19% to +0.61%Clear+0.74%+0.52% to +1.0%Clear
MomentumIn weeks when recent winners beat the stock market by 1 percentage point−0.57%−0.80% to −0.33%Clear−0.19%−0.53% to +0.14%Not distinguishable from zero
EuroIn weeks when the euro rose 2% against the U.S. dollar+0.12%−1.3% to +1.5%Not distinguishable from zero−1.3%−3.1% to +0.55%Not distinguishable from zero
Japanese yenIn weeks when the yen rose 2% against the U.S. dollar+0.15%−0.48% to +0.78%Not distinguishable from zero−0.37%−0.94% to +0.20%Not distinguishable from zero
Emerging marketsIn weeks when emerging-market stocks beat the S&P 500 by 1 percentage point−0.54%−0.74% to −0.34%Clear−0.18%−0.43% to +0.06%Not distinguishable from zero
ChinaIn weeks when Chinese stocks beat other emerging markets by 1 percentage point+0.22%+0.07% to +0.36%Tentative+0.15%0.00% to +0.30%Tentative
Each figure is the stock's typical move in a week when the force moved by the stated amount, after accounting for the stock market, with its 90% range beneath. Grey figures could not be told apart from zero. A row is marked a clear difference only when the two 90% ranges do not overlap.

This describes the past, and it is not a forecast. Relationships change, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

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