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LOW vs CBRE · data through Oct 2, 2026

On none of the 19 forces measured do LOW and CBRE differ by more than the noise in the readings: their 90% ranges overlap every time.

LOWCBREBars: 90% ranges. Hollow: could not be told apart from zero.Same figures in the table below.
Economic forceLOWLowe'sCBRECBRE Group
Interest ratesIn weeks when the 10-year Treasury yield rose 0.25 percentage points−3.4%−4.3% to −2.5%Clear−3.6%−4.8% to −2.5%Clear
Inflation expectationsIn weeks when 10-year inflation expectations rose 0.25 percentage points+4.3%+2.2% to +6.4%Clear+3.7%+0.77% to +6.6%Tentative
U.S. dollarIn weeks when the trade-weighted U.S. dollar rose 2%+0.16%−0.73% to +1.1%Not distinguishable from zero+0.03%−1.6% to +1.7%Not distinguishable from zero
Oil and energyIn weeks when the price of oil rose 10%−1.4%−1.8% to −0.92%Clear−0.36%−1.1% to +0.42%Not distinguishable from zero
Credit spreadsIn weeks when corporate credit spreads widened 0.25 percentage points−1.6%−3.6% to +0.43%Not distinguishable from zero−1.2%−3.7% to +1.3%Not distinguishable from zero
Short-term ratesIn weeks when the 2-year Treasury yield rose 0.25 percentage points−1.5%−3.2% to +0.20%Not distinguishable from zero−2.1%−4.2% to +0.09%Not distinguishable from zero
Market volatilityIn weeks when market volatility (the VIX) rose 5 points+0.81%+0.09% to +1.5%Tentative−0.54%−1.3% to +0.19%Not distinguishable from zero
Mortgage ratesIn weeks when the 30-year mortgage rate rose 0.25 percentage points−0.66%−1.5% to +0.21%Not distinguishable from zero−0.19%−1.2% to +0.84%Not distinguishable from zero
GoldIn weeks when the price of gold rose 5%+0.12%−0.70% to +0.93%Not distinguishable from zero−0.42%−1.3% to +0.47%Not distinguishable from zero
CopperIn weeks when the price of copper rose 5%−0.45%−1.0% to +0.10%Not distinguishable from zero−0.50%−1.2% to +0.15%Not distinguishable from zero
Natural gasIn weeks when the U.S. natural gas price (Henry Hub) rose 10%+0.01%0.00% to +0.02%Not distinguishable from zero−0.03%−0.07% to +0.02%Not distinguishable from zero
BitcoinIn weeks when the price of bitcoin rose 10%+0.09%−0.44% to +0.63%Not distinguishable from zero+0.02%−0.71% to +0.76%Not distinguishable from zero
Small vs large companiesIn weeks when small companies beat large ones by 1 percentage point+0.62%+0.38% to +0.87%Clear+1.0%+0.70% to +1.3%Clear
Value vs growthIn weeks when value stocks beat growth stocks by 1 percentage point+0.59%+0.35% to +0.82%Clear+0.94%+0.62% to +1.3%Clear
MomentumIn weeks when recent winners beat the stock market by 1 percentage point−0.18%−0.39% to +0.03%Not distinguishable from zero−0.29%−0.54% to −0.05%Tentative
EuroIn weeks when the euro rose 2% against the U.S. dollar+1.0%−1.1% to +3.2%Not distinguishable from zero+0.18%−2.0% to +2.4%Not distinguishable from zero
Japanese yenIn weeks when the yen rose 2% against the U.S. dollar+0.41%−0.29% to +1.1%Not distinguishable from zero−0.37%−1.6% to +0.88%Not distinguishable from zero
Emerging marketsIn weeks when emerging-market stocks beat the S&P 500 by 1 percentage point−0.09%−0.32% to +0.14%Not distinguishable from zero−0.20%−0.52% to +0.12%Not distinguishable from zero
ChinaIn weeks when Chinese stocks beat other emerging markets by 1 percentage point+0.06%−0.06% to +0.17%Not distinguishable from zero+0.24%+0.06% to +0.42%Tentative
Each figure is the stock's typical move in a week when the force moved by the stated amount, after accounting for the stock market, with its 90% range beneath. Grey figures could not be told apart from zero. A row is marked a clear difference only when the two 90% ranges do not overlap.

This describes the past, and it is not a forecast. Relationships change, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

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