UNSTRUCTURED ALPHAMeasure a portfolio

Compare two stocks

LITE vs ATO · data through Oct 2, 2026

On none of the 19 forces measured do LITE and ATO differ by more than the noise in the readings: their 90% ranges overlap every time.

LITEATOBars: 90% ranges. Hollow: could not be told apart from zero.Same figures in the table below.
Economic forceLITELumentumATOAtmos Energy
Interest ratesIn weeks when the 10-year Treasury yield rose 0.25 percentage points−2.2%−4.6% to +0.19%Not distinguishable from zero−1.5%−2.4% to −0.59%Clear
Inflation expectationsIn weeks when 10-year inflation expectations rose 0.25 percentage points+2.2%−3.3% to +7.7%Not distinguishable from zero+1.0%−0.60% to +2.6%Not distinguishable from zero
U.S. dollarIn weeks when the trade-weighted U.S. dollar rose 2%+1.5%−1.1% to +4.0%Not distinguishable from zero+0.51%−0.46% to +1.5%Not distinguishable from zero
Oil and energyIn weeks when the price of oil rose 10%+1.7%−0.72% to +4.1%Not distinguishable from zero+0.47%+0.05% to +0.89%Tentative
Credit spreadsIn weeks when corporate credit spreads widened 0.25 percentage points+3.8%−1.5% to +9.1%Not distinguishable from zero+2.4%+1.1% to +3.8%Clear
Short-term ratesIn weeks when the 2-year Treasury yield rose 0.25 percentage points+3.9%+0.23% to +7.6%Tentative+0.90%−0.48% to +2.3%Not distinguishable from zero
Market volatilityIn weeks when market volatility (the VIX) rose 5 points−3.9%−7.4% to −0.48%Tentative−1.2%−1.8% to −0.68%Clear
Mortgage ratesIn weeks when the 30-year mortgage rate rose 0.25 percentage points+2.9%+0.45% to +5.4%Tentative+0.26%−0.56% to +1.1%Not distinguishable from zero
GoldIn weeks when the price of gold rose 5%−1.3%−3.6% to +1.1%Not distinguishable from zero+0.46%−0.15% to +1.1%Not distinguishable from zero
CopperIn weeks when the price of copper rose 5%−0.09%−1.2% to +1.0%Not distinguishable from zero+0.17%−0.24% to +0.58%Not distinguishable from zero
Natural gasIn weeks when the U.S. natural gas price (Henry Hub) rose 10%−0.01%−0.08% to +0.07%Not distinguishable from zero−0.03%−0.05% to −0.01%Tentative
BitcoinIn weeks when the price of bitcoin rose 10%−2.3%−4.8% to +0.23%Not distinguishable from zero+0.03%−0.40% to +0.46%Not distinguishable from zero
Small vs large companiesIn weeks when small companies beat large ones by 1 percentage point+0.91%+0.23% to +1.6%Tentative+0.37%+0.21% to +0.53%Clear
Value vs growthIn weeks when value stocks beat growth stocks by 1 percentage point+0.53%−0.42% to +1.5%Not distinguishable from zero+0.66%+0.52% to +0.79%Clear
MomentumIn weeks when recent winners beat the stock market by 1 percentage point+0.72%−0.18% to +1.6%Not distinguishable from zero−0.19%−0.40% to +0.02%Not distinguishable from zero
EuroIn weeks when the euro rose 2% against the U.S. dollar−3.9%−8.3% to +0.50%Not distinguishable from zero−1.9%−3.1% to −0.69%Tentative
Japanese yenIn weeks when the yen rose 2% against the U.S. dollar−2.0%−4.4% to +0.37%Not distinguishable from zero+0.12%−0.41% to +0.65%Not distinguishable from zero
Emerging marketsIn weeks when emerging-market stocks beat the S&P 500 by 1 percentage point+0.65%−0.30% to +1.6%Not distinguishable from zero−0.02%−0.22% to +0.18%Not distinguishable from zero
ChinaIn weeks when Chinese stocks beat other emerging markets by 1 percentage point−0.07%−0.55% to +0.41%Not distinguishable from zero+0.12%+0.02% to +0.21%Tentative
Each figure is the stock's typical move in a week when the force moved by the stated amount, after accounting for the stock market, with its 90% range beneath. Grey figures could not be told apart from zero. A row is marked a clear difference only when the two 90% ranges do not overlap.

This describes the past, and it is not a forecast. Relationships change, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

Measure LITE and ATO togetherWhat if? Move a force

Your portfolio, measured the same way

Every figure on these pages is one stock at a time. The app measures a whole portfolio: which forces it is exposed to, which holdings cause it, and how sure the reading is. Free, no account for the first report.