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LII vs PKG · data through Oct 2, 2026

LII and PKG clearly differ on 1 of 19 forces. The widest gap is value vs growth: in weeks when value stocks beat growth stocks by 1 percentage point, LII typically moved +0.34% and PKG +0.90%.

LIIPKGBars: 90% ranges. Hollow: could not be told apart from zero.Same figures in the table below.
Economic forceLIILennox InternationalPKGPackaging Corporation of America
Interest ratesIn weeks when the 10-year Treasury yield rose 0.25 percentage points−1.1%−2.3% to +0.05%Not distinguishable from zero−0.94%−2.0% to +0.16%Not distinguishable from zero
Inflation expectationsIn weeks when 10-year inflation expectations rose 0.25 percentage points+2.5%−0.85% to +5.9%Not distinguishable from zero+1.8%−1.1% to +4.7%Not distinguishable from zero
U.S. dollarIn weeks when the trade-weighted U.S. dollar rose 2%−0.49%−2.6% to +1.6%Not distinguishable from zero−0.57%−1.7% to +0.60%Not distinguishable from zero
Oil and energyIn weeks when the price of oil rose 10%−0.83%−1.9% to +0.27%Not distinguishable from zero−0.48%−1.3% to +0.32%Not distinguishable from zero
Credit spreadsIn weeks when corporate credit spreads widened 0.25 percentage points+0.23%−3.3% to +3.7%Not distinguishable from zero−0.16%−2.4% to +2.1%Not distinguishable from zero
Short-term ratesIn weeks when the 2-year Treasury yield rose 0.25 percentage points+3.3%+1.2% to +5.5%Tentative−0.49%−2.8% to +1.9%Not distinguishable from zero
Market volatilityIn weeks when market volatility (the VIX) rose 5 points+0.18%−1.0% to +1.4%Not distinguishable from zero−0.29%−1.1% to +0.56%Not distinguishable from zero
Mortgage ratesIn weeks when the 30-year mortgage rate rose 0.25 percentage points−1.2%−2.6% to +0.14%Not distinguishable from zero+0.95%−0.01% to +1.9%Not distinguishable from zero
GoldIn weeks when the price of gold rose 5%0.00%−1.0% to +1.0%Not distinguishable from zero+0.67%−0.15% to +1.5%Not distinguishable from zero
CopperIn weeks when the price of copper rose 5%−0.40%−1.4% to +0.64%Not distinguishable from zero+0.45%−0.21% to +1.1%Not distinguishable from zero
Natural gasIn weeks when the U.S. natural gas price (Henry Hub) rose 10%−0.02%−0.05% to +0.01%Not distinguishable from zero+0.01%−0.01% to +0.04%Not distinguishable from zero
BitcoinIn weeks when the price of bitcoin rose 10%+0.34%−0.43% to +1.1%Not distinguishable from zero+0.06%−0.61% to +0.74%Not distinguishable from zero
Small vs large companiesIn weeks when small companies beat large ones by 1 percentage point+0.54%+0.23% to +0.84%Tentative+0.87%+0.68% to +1.1%Clear
Value vs growthIn weeks when value stocks beat growth stocks by 1 percentage pointClear difference+0.34%+0.01% to +0.66%Tentative+0.90%+0.71% to +1.1%Clear
MomentumIn weeks when recent winners beat the stock market by 1 percentage point+0.43%−0.10% to +1.0%Not distinguishable from zero−0.07%−0.39% to +0.25%Not distinguishable from zero
EuroIn weeks when the euro rose 2% against the U.S. dollar+0.76%−1.8% to +3.3%Not distinguishable from zero−1.1%−3.0% to +0.67%Not distinguishable from zero
Japanese yenIn weeks when the yen rose 2% against the U.S. dollar−1.0%−2.5% to +0.46%Not distinguishable from zero+0.02%−0.78% to +0.82%Not distinguishable from zero
Emerging marketsIn weeks when emerging-market stocks beat the S&P 500 by 1 percentage point+0.04%−0.26% to +0.34%Not distinguishable from zero−0.04%−0.28% to +0.21%Not distinguishable from zero
ChinaIn weeks when Chinese stocks beat other emerging markets by 1 percentage point−0.22%−0.46% to +0.02%Not distinguishable from zero−0.03%−0.19% to +0.12%Not distinguishable from zero
Each figure is the stock's typical move in a week when the force moved by the stated amount, after accounting for the stock market, with its 90% range beneath. Grey figures could not be told apart from zero. A row is marked a clear difference only when the two 90% ranges do not overlap.

This describes the past, and it is not a forecast. Relationships change, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

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