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LHX vs NOC · data through Oct 2, 2026

On none of the 19 forces measured do LHX and NOC differ by more than the noise in the readings: their 90% ranges overlap every time.

LHXNOCBars: 90% ranges. Hollow: could not be told apart from zero.Same figures in the table below.
Economic forceLHXL3HarrisNOCNorthrop Grumman
Interest ratesIn weeks when the 10-year Treasury yield rose 0.25 percentage points−0.51%−2.4% to +1.4%Not distinguishable from zero−0.06%−2.5% to +2.4%Not distinguishable from zero
Inflation expectationsIn weeks when 10-year inflation expectations rose 0.25 percentage points−1.0%−4.7% to +2.7%Not distinguishable from zero+0.07%−3.9% to +4.1%Not distinguishable from zero
U.S. dollarIn weeks when the trade-weighted U.S. dollar rose 2%−1.3%−2.9% to +0.40%Not distinguishable from zero−0.82%−2.4% to +0.81%Not distinguishable from zero
Oil and energyIn weeks when the price of oil rose 10%+0.94%+0.37% to +1.5%Clear+0.43%−0.49% to +1.3%Not distinguishable from zero
Credit spreadsIn weeks when corporate credit spreads widened 0.25 percentage points−1.1%−3.5% to +1.3%Not distinguishable from zero+0.60%−2.6% to +3.8%Not distinguishable from zero
Short-term ratesIn weeks when the 2-year Treasury yield rose 0.25 percentage points−0.16%−1.8% to +1.4%Not distinguishable from zero−0.29%−2.5% to +1.9%Not distinguishable from zero
Market volatilityIn weeks when market volatility (the VIX) rose 5 points+0.76%0.00% to +1.5%Tentative−0.30%−1.5% to +0.87%Not distinguishable from zero
Mortgage ratesIn weeks when the 30-year mortgage rate rose 0.25 percentage points−0.02%−1.0% to +1.0%Not distinguishable from zero−0.31%−1.5% to +0.85%Not distinguishable from zero
GoldIn weeks when the price of gold rose 5%+1.1%+0.29% to +2.0%Tentative+2.1%+1.1% to +3.1%Clear
CopperIn weeks when the price of copper rose 5%−0.39%−0.89% to +0.10%Not distinguishable from zero−0.27%−0.74% to +0.20%Not distinguishable from zero
Natural gasIn weeks when the U.S. natural gas price (Henry Hub) rose 10%+0.02%0.00% to +0.03%Tentative+0.01%−0.02% to +0.03%Not distinguishable from zero
BitcoinIn weeks when the price of bitcoin rose 10%−0.65%−1.2% to −0.08%Tentative−0.85%−1.6% to −0.11%Tentative
Small vs large companiesIn weeks when small companies beat large ones by 1 percentage point+0.28%+0.01% to +0.56%Tentative+0.01%−0.40% to +0.43%Not distinguishable from zero
Value vs growthIn weeks when value stocks beat growth stocks by 1 percentage point+0.48%+0.27% to +0.69%Clear+0.51%+0.21% to +0.81%Tentative
MomentumIn weeks when recent winners beat the stock market by 1 percentage point−0.19%−0.62% to +0.23%Not distinguishable from zero−0.51%−0.85% to −0.17%Tentative
EuroIn weeks when the euro rose 2% against the U.S. dollar+1.8%−0.64% to +4.2%Not distinguishable from zero+0.84%−1.8% to +3.5%Not distinguishable from zero
Japanese yenIn weeks when the yen rose 2% against the U.S. dollar−0.53%−1.4% to +0.31%Not distinguishable from zero−0.03%−1.1% to +1.1%Not distinguishable from zero
Emerging marketsIn weeks when emerging-market stocks beat the S&P 500 by 1 percentage point−0.17%−0.48% to +0.13%Not distinguishable from zero−0.34%−0.63% to −0.06%Tentative
ChinaIn weeks when Chinese stocks beat other emerging markets by 1 percentage point0.00%−0.19% to +0.19%Not distinguishable from zero+0.06%−0.13% to +0.25%Not distinguishable from zero
Each figure is the stock's typical move in a week when the force moved by the stated amount, after accounting for the stock market, with its 90% range beneath. Grey figures could not be told apart from zero. A row is marked a clear difference only when the two 90% ranges do not overlap.

This describes the past, and it is not a forecast. Relationships change, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

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