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LEN vs DHI · data through Oct 2, 2026

On none of the 19 forces measured do LEN and DHI differ by more than the noise in the readings: their 90% ranges overlap every time.

LENDHIBars: 90% ranges. Hollow: could not be told apart from zero.Same figures in the table below.
Economic forceLENLennarDHID. R. Horton
Interest ratesIn weeks when the 10-year Treasury yield rose 0.25 percentage points−4.0%−5.3% to −2.8%Clear−5.0%−6.2% to −3.8%Clear
Inflation expectationsIn weeks when 10-year inflation expectations rose 0.25 percentage points+2.5%−1.1% to +6.1%Not distinguishable from zero+3.8%−0.12% to +7.7%Not distinguishable from zero
U.S. dollarIn weeks when the trade-weighted U.S. dollar rose 2%−0.03%−2.0% to +2.0%Not distinguishable from zero−0.53%−2.4% to +1.4%Not distinguishable from zero
Oil and energyIn weeks when the price of oil rose 10%−1.9%−2.8% to −1.1%Clear−1.5%−2.5% to −0.52%Tentative
Credit spreadsIn weeks when corporate credit spreads widened 0.25 percentage points−1.4%−4.2% to +1.4%Not distinguishable from zero−2.1%−4.3% to +0.14%Not distinguishable from zero
Short-term ratesIn weeks when the 2-year Treasury yield rose 0.25 percentage points+0.04%−2.1% to +2.2%Not distinguishable from zero+0.12%−2.4% to +2.7%Not distinguishable from zero
Market volatilityIn weeks when market volatility (the VIX) rose 5 points+0.57%−0.27% to +1.4%Not distinguishable from zero+0.28%−0.60% to +1.2%Not distinguishable from zero
Mortgage ratesIn weeks when the 30-year mortgage rate rose 0.25 percentage points−0.11%−1.4% to +1.2%Not distinguishable from zero−0.74%−2.3% to +0.85%Not distinguishable from zero
GoldIn weeks when the price of gold rose 5%−0.36%−1.2% to +0.50%Not distinguishable from zero−0.60%−1.6% to +0.41%Not distinguishable from zero
CopperIn weeks when the price of copper rose 5%−0.62%−1.4% to +0.20%Not distinguishable from zero−0.77%−1.7% to +0.18%Not distinguishable from zero
Natural gasIn weeks when the U.S. natural gas price (Henry Hub) rose 10%−0.04%−0.08% to 0.00%Not distinguishable from zero−0.03%−0.06% to 0.00%Not distinguishable from zero
BitcoinIn weeks when the price of bitcoin rose 10%+1.1%+0.32% to +1.9%Tentative+1.1%+0.18% to +2.1%Tentative
Small vs large companiesIn weeks when small companies beat large ones by 1 percentage point+1.1%+0.72% to +1.4%Clear+1.0%+0.59% to +1.4%Clear
Value vs growthIn weeks when value stocks beat growth stocks by 1 percentage point+1.0%+0.65% to +1.3%Clear+0.84%+0.45% to +1.2%Clear
MomentumIn weeks when recent winners beat the stock market by 1 percentage point−0.34%−0.73% to +0.04%Not distinguishable from zero−0.18%−0.62% to +0.25%Not distinguishable from zero
EuroIn weeks when the euro rose 2% against the U.S. dollar+1.1%−2.0% to +4.3%Not distinguishable from zero+2.4%−1.0% to +5.8%Not distinguishable from zero
Japanese yenIn weeks when the yen rose 2% against the U.S. dollar+0.40%−0.71% to +1.5%Not distinguishable from zero+0.25%−1.1% to +1.6%Not distinguishable from zero
Emerging marketsIn weeks when emerging-market stocks beat the S&P 500 by 1 percentage point+0.02%−0.26% to +0.30%Not distinguishable from zero−0.06%−0.34% to +0.21%Not distinguishable from zero
ChinaIn weeks when Chinese stocks beat other emerging markets by 1 percentage point+0.05%−0.08% to +0.18%Not distinguishable from zero−0.13%−0.25% to 0.00%Tentative
Each figure is the stock's typical move in a week when the force moved by the stated amount, after accounting for the stock market, with its 90% range beneath. Grey figures could not be told apart from zero. A row is marked a clear difference only when the two 90% ranges do not overlap.

This describes the past, and it is not a forecast. Relationships change, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

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Every figure on these pages is one stock at a time. The app measures a whole portfolio: which forces it is exposed to, which holdings cause it, and how sure the reading is. Free, no account for the first report.