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KEY vs SPG · data through Oct 2, 2026

KEY and SPG clearly differ on 2 of 19 forces. The widest gap is small vs large companies: in weeks when small companies beat large ones by 1 percentage point, KEY typically moved +1.3% and SPG +0.56%.

KEYSPGBars: 90% ranges. Hollow: could not be told apart from zero.Same figures in the table below.
Economic forceKEYKeyCorpSPGSimon Property Group
Interest ratesIn weeks when the 10-year Treasury yield rose 0.25 percentage points−3.1%−4.6% to −1.7%Clear−3.1%−4.3% to −1.9%Clear
Inflation expectationsIn weeks when 10-year inflation expectations rose 0.25 percentage points+6.3%+3.3% to +9.4%Clear+6.0%+4.0% to +7.9%Clear
U.S. dollarIn weeks when the trade-weighted U.S. dollar rose 2%−0.20%−2.0% to +1.6%Not distinguishable from zero−0.02%−1.2% to +1.2%Not distinguishable from zero
Oil and energyIn weeks when the price of oil rose 10%−0.18%−1.0% to +0.61%Not distinguishable from zero−0.73%−1.3% to −0.12%Tentative
Credit spreadsIn weeks when corporate credit spreads widened 0.25 percentage points−3.3%−6.2% to −0.46%Tentative−2.9%−4.7% to −1.2%Clear
Short-term ratesIn weeks when the 2-year Treasury yield rose 0.25 percentage points−1.2%−3.5% to +1.1%Not distinguishable from zero−1.3%−2.6% to −0.08%Tentative
Market volatilityIn weeks when market volatility (the VIX) rose 5 points−2.1%−2.9% to −1.3%Clear−1.1%−1.8% to −0.46%Tentative
Mortgage ratesIn weeks when the 30-year mortgage rate rose 0.25 percentage points+1.3%+0.18% to +2.3%Tentative−0.33%−1.3% to +0.61%Not distinguishable from zero
GoldIn weeks when the price of gold rose 5%−1.4%−2.2% to −0.54%Tentative−0.92%−1.7% to −0.10%Tentative
CopperIn weeks when the price of copper rose 5%−0.10%−0.79% to +0.59%Not distinguishable from zero−0.42%−0.95% to +0.10%Not distinguishable from zero
Natural gasIn weeks when the U.S. natural gas price (Henry Hub) rose 10%−0.02%−0.07% to +0.03%Not distinguishable from zero0.00%−0.01% to +0.01%Not distinguishable from zero
BitcoinIn weeks when the price of bitcoin rose 10%−0.51%−1.5% to +0.48%Not distinguishable from zero−0.19%−0.81% to +0.42%Not distinguishable from zero
Small vs large companiesIn weeks when small companies beat large ones by 1 percentage pointClear difference+1.3%+1.1% to +1.5%Clear+0.56%+0.32% to +0.80%Clear
Value vs growthIn weeks when value stocks beat growth stocks by 1 percentage pointClear difference+1.3%+1.1% to +1.5%Clear+0.75%+0.54% to +1.0%Clear
MomentumIn weeks when recent winners beat the stock market by 1 percentage point−0.15%−0.50% to +0.21%Not distinguishable from zero−0.11%−0.33% to +0.11%Not distinguishable from zero
EuroIn weeks when the euro rose 2% against the U.S. dollar−2.4%−4.5% to −0.36%Tentative−1.5%−3.0% to −0.01%Tentative
Japanese yenIn weeks when the yen rose 2% against the U.S. dollar−0.46%−1.4% to +0.45%Not distinguishable from zero+0.36%−0.39% to +1.1%Not distinguishable from zero
Emerging marketsIn weeks when emerging-market stocks beat the S&P 500 by 1 percentage point−0.17%−0.39% to +0.06%Not distinguishable from zero−0.24%−0.50% to +0.01%Not distinguishable from zero
ChinaIn weeks when Chinese stocks beat other emerging markets by 1 percentage point+0.03%−0.14% to +0.19%Not distinguishable from zero+0.10%−0.02% to +0.22%Not distinguishable from zero
Each figure is the stock's typical move in a week when the force moved by the stated amount, after accounting for the stock market, with its 90% range beneath. Grey figures could not be told apart from zero. A row is marked a clear difference only when the two 90% ranges do not overlap.

This describes the past, and it is not a forecast. Relationships change, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

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