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IR vs DECK · data through Oct 2, 2026

IR and DECK clearly differ on 1 of 19 forces. The widest gap is value vs growth: in weeks when value stocks beat growth stocks by 1 percentage point, IR typically moved +0.92% and DECK +0.10%.

IRDECKBars: 90% ranges. Hollow: could not be told apart from zero.Same figures in the table below.
Economic forceIRIngersoll RandDECKDeckers Brands
Interest ratesIn weeks when the 10-year Treasury yield rose 0.25 percentage points−0.60%−1.5% to +0.30%Not distinguishable from zero−0.73%−2.1% to +0.62%Not distinguishable from zero
Inflation expectationsIn weeks when 10-year inflation expectations rose 0.25 percentage points+2.9%+0.13% to +5.6%Tentative+2.1%−1.7% to +5.9%Not distinguishable from zero
U.S. dollarIn weeks when the trade-weighted U.S. dollar rose 2%+0.11%−1.3% to +1.5%Not distinguishable from zero−0.19%−3.4% to +3.0%Not distinguishable from zero
Oil and energyIn weeks when the price of oil rose 10%−1.5%−2.3% to −0.59%Clear−2.0%−3.2% to −0.79%Clear
Credit spreadsIn weeks when corporate credit spreads widened 0.25 percentage points−2.0%−4.2% to +0.17%Not distinguishable from zero−2.4%−6.1% to +1.3%Not distinguishable from zero
Short-term ratesIn weeks when the 2-year Treasury yield rose 0.25 percentage points+1.2%−0.81% to +3.2%Not distinguishable from zero+0.34%−2.9% to +3.6%Not distinguishable from zero
Market volatilityIn weeks when market volatility (the VIX) rose 5 points−0.63%−1.4% to +0.14%Not distinguishable from zero−0.81%−2.9% to +1.2%Not distinguishable from zero
Mortgage ratesIn weeks when the 30-year mortgage rate rose 0.25 percentage points−0.84%−1.7% to +0.06%Not distinguishable from zero+1.0%−0.79% to +2.8%Not distinguishable from zero
GoldIn weeks when the price of gold rose 5%−0.19%−1.0% to +0.65%Not distinguishable from zero−1.3%−2.9% to +0.37%Not distinguishable from zero
CopperIn weeks when the price of copper rose 5%+0.53%−0.51% to +1.6%Not distinguishable from zero−0.41%−1.8% to +1.0%Not distinguishable from zero
Natural gasIn weeks when the U.S. natural gas price (Henry Hub) rose 10%0.00%−0.02% to +0.01%Not distinguishable from zero+0.01%−0.05% to +0.06%Not distinguishable from zero
BitcoinIn weeks when the price of bitcoin rose 10%−0.01%−0.92% to +0.90%Not distinguishable from zero+0.79%−0.51% to +2.1%Not distinguishable from zero
Small vs large companiesIn weeks when small companies beat large ones by 1 percentage point+0.90%+0.63% to +1.2%Clear+0.14%−0.37% to +0.65%Not distinguishable from zero
Value vs growthIn weeks when value stocks beat growth stocks by 1 percentage pointClear difference+0.92%+0.59% to +1.2%Clear+0.10%−0.32% to +0.53%Not distinguishable from zero
MomentumIn weeks when recent winners beat the stock market by 1 percentage point+0.02%−0.30% to +0.33%Not distinguishable from zero+0.39%−0.06% to +0.85%Not distinguishable from zero
EuroIn weeks when the euro rose 2% against the U.S. dollar−1.3%−4.0% to +1.3%Not distinguishable from zero−4.2%−7.1% to −1.3%Tentative
Japanese yenIn weeks when the yen rose 2% against the U.S. dollar−1.4%−2.6% to −0.21%Tentative−0.33%−1.8% to +1.1%Not distinguishable from zero
Emerging marketsIn weeks when emerging-market stocks beat the S&P 500 by 1 percentage point+0.04%−0.24% to +0.31%Not distinguishable from zero−0.39%−0.85% to +0.07%Not distinguishable from zero
ChinaIn weeks when Chinese stocks beat other emerging markets by 1 percentage point+0.04%−0.13% to +0.21%Not distinguishable from zero−0.03%−0.37% to +0.31%Not distinguishable from zero
Each figure is the stock's typical move in a week when the force moved by the stated amount, after accounting for the stock market, with its 90% range beneath. Grey figures could not be told apart from zero. A row is marked a clear difference only when the two 90% ranges do not overlap.

This describes the past, and it is not a forecast. Relationships change, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

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