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IQV vs SWK · data through Oct 2, 2026

On none of the 19 forces measured do IQV and SWK differ by more than the noise in the readings: their 90% ranges overlap every time.

IQVSWKBars: 90% ranges. Hollow: could not be told apart from zero.Same figures in the table below.
Economic forceIQVIQVIASWKStanley Black & Decker
Interest ratesIn weeks when the 10-year Treasury yield rose 0.25 percentage points−2.8%−4.4% to −1.3%Clear−3.2%−4.7% to −1.7%Clear
Inflation expectationsIn weeks when 10-year inflation expectations rose 0.25 percentage points+4.9%+0.57% to +9.2%Tentative+3.5%−0.08% to +7.1%Not distinguishable from zero
U.S. dollarIn weeks when the trade-weighted U.S. dollar rose 2%−2.1%−4.0% to −0.20%Tentative−1.1%−3.5% to +1.3%Not distinguishable from zero
Oil and energyIn weeks when the price of oil rose 10%−1.1%−2.3% to +0.01%Not distinguishable from zero−1.0%−2.1% to +0.13%Not distinguishable from zero
Credit spreadsIn weeks when corporate credit spreads widened 0.25 percentage points−5.9%−9.4% to −2.4%Clear−2.8%−6.4% to +0.78%Not distinguishable from zero
Short-term ratesIn weeks when the 2-year Treasury yield rose 0.25 percentage points+0.10%−2.5% to +2.7%Not distinguishable from zero−2.9%−5.3% to −0.53%Tentative
Market volatilityIn weeks when market volatility (the VIX) rose 5 points+0.33%−0.83% to +1.5%Not distinguishable from zero−0.74%−1.9% to +0.44%Not distinguishable from zero
Mortgage ratesIn weeks when the 30-year mortgage rate rose 0.25 percentage points+0.61%−0.70% to +1.9%Not distinguishable from zero+0.77%−0.67% to +2.2%Not distinguishable from zero
GoldIn weeks when the price of gold rose 5%+0.06%−1.2% to +1.3%Not distinguishable from zero+0.35%−0.80% to +1.5%Not distinguishable from zero
CopperIn weeks when the price of copper rose 5%+1.3%+0.61% to +2.1%Tentative+1.0%+0.26% to +1.7%Tentative
Natural gasIn weeks when the U.S. natural gas price (Henry Hub) rose 10%−0.04%−0.09% to +0.01%Not distinguishable from zero−0.03%−0.05% to −0.01%Tentative
BitcoinIn weeks when the price of bitcoin rose 10%+0.50%−0.87% to +1.9%Not distinguishable from zero−0.32%−1.2% to +0.52%Not distinguishable from zero
Small vs large companiesIn weeks when small companies beat large ones by 1 percentage point+0.46%+0.08% to +0.84%Tentative+1.1%+0.66% to +1.4%Clear
Value vs growthIn weeks when value stocks beat growth stocks by 1 percentage point+0.52%+0.04% to +1.0%Tentative+1.3%+1.0% to +1.6%Clear
MomentumIn weeks when recent winners beat the stock market by 1 percentage point−0.92%−1.4% to −0.48%Clear−0.40%−0.94% to +0.13%Not distinguishable from zero
EuroIn weeks when the euro rose 2% against the U.S. dollar+0.69%−2.4% to +3.8%Not distinguishable from zero−1.1%−4.4% to +2.2%Not distinguishable from zero
Japanese yenIn weeks when the yen rose 2% against the U.S. dollar+0.82%−0.58% to +2.2%Not distinguishable from zero+0.14%−1.4% to +1.7%Not distinguishable from zero
Emerging marketsIn weeks when emerging-market stocks beat the S&P 500 by 1 percentage point−0.25%−0.90% to +0.40%Not distinguishable from zero+0.54%+0.13% to +1.0%Tentative
ChinaIn weeks when Chinese stocks beat other emerging markets by 1 percentage point+0.22%−0.11% to +0.55%Not distinguishable from zero+0.10%−0.08% to +0.27%Not distinguishable from zero
Each figure is the stock's typical move in a week when the force moved by the stated amount, after accounting for the stock market, with its 90% range beneath. Grey figures could not be told apart from zero. A row is marked a clear difference only when the two 90% ranges do not overlap.

This describes the past, and it is not a forecast. Relationships change, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

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