UNSTRUCTURED ALPHAMeasure a portfolio

Compare two stocks

IP vs GPC · data through Oct 2, 2026

On none of the 19 forces measured do IP and GPC differ by more than the noise in the readings: their 90% ranges overlap every time.

IPGPCBars: 90% ranges. Hollow: could not be told apart from zero.Same figures in the table below.
Economic forceIPInternational PaperGPCGenuine Parts Company
Interest ratesIn weeks when the 10-year Treasury yield rose 0.25 percentage points−3.0%−4.5% to −1.6%Clear−2.3%−3.7% to −0.82%Tentative
Inflation expectationsIn weeks when 10-year inflation expectations rose 0.25 percentage points+6.7%+2.6% to +10.7%Clear+3.5%−0.59% to +7.6%Not distinguishable from zero
U.S. dollarIn weeks when the trade-weighted U.S. dollar rose 2%−0.32%−2.4% to +1.7%Not distinguishable from zero−0.32%−1.7% to +1.0%Not distinguishable from zero
Oil and energyIn weeks when the price of oil rose 10%−2.4%−3.6% to −1.2%Clear−2.2%−3.2% to −1.3%Clear
Credit spreadsIn weeks when corporate credit spreads widened 0.25 percentage points−4.0%−7.8% to −0.18%Tentative−2.8%−5.5% to +0.04%Not distinguishable from zero
Short-term ratesIn weeks when the 2-year Treasury yield rose 0.25 percentage points−0.60%−4.5% to +3.3%Not distinguishable from zero+0.59%−1.8% to +3.0%Not distinguishable from zero
Market volatilityIn weeks when market volatility (the VIX) rose 5 points−0.74%−1.9% to +0.44%Not distinguishable from zero+0.78%−0.51% to +2.1%Not distinguishable from zero
Mortgage ratesIn weeks when the 30-year mortgage rate rose 0.25 percentage points+1.6%−0.07% to +3.2%Not distinguishable from zero+0.62%−0.77% to +2.0%Not distinguishable from zero
GoldIn weeks when the price of gold rose 5%+1.3%−0.06% to +2.6%Not distinguishable from zero+0.23%−1.0% to +1.4%Not distinguishable from zero
CopperIn weeks when the price of copper rose 5%+1.6%+0.38% to +2.7%Tentative+0.31%−0.56% to +1.2%Not distinguishable from zero
Natural gasIn weeks when the U.S. natural gas price (Henry Hub) rose 10%0.00%−0.02% to +0.01%Not distinguishable from zero+0.01%−0.01% to +0.02%Not distinguishable from zero
BitcoinIn weeks when the price of bitcoin rose 10%−0.09%−1.1% to +0.87%Not distinguishable from zero−0.22%−0.90% to +0.47%Not distinguishable from zero
Small vs large companiesIn weeks when small companies beat large ones by 1 percentage point+0.92%+0.53% to +1.3%Clear+0.60%+0.33% to +0.87%Clear
Value vs growthIn weeks when value stocks beat growth stocks by 1 percentage point+1.0%+0.59% to +1.4%Clear+0.91%+0.58% to +1.2%Clear
MomentumIn weeks when recent winners beat the stock market by 1 percentage point−0.01%−0.53% to +0.52%Not distinguishable from zero−0.58%−1.0% to −0.18%Tentative
EuroIn weeks when the euro rose 2% against the U.S. dollar−1.4%−4.3% to +1.4%Not distinguishable from zero+0.63%−2.3% to +3.6%Not distinguishable from zero
Japanese yenIn weeks when the yen rose 2% against the U.S. dollar−1.1%−2.2% to +0.11%Not distinguishable from zero+0.86%−0.11% to +1.8%Not distinguishable from zero
Emerging marketsIn weeks when emerging-market stocks beat the S&P 500 by 1 percentage point+0.15%−0.24% to +0.54%Not distinguishable from zero−0.11%−0.52% to +0.31%Not distinguishable from zero
ChinaIn weeks when Chinese stocks beat other emerging markets by 1 percentage point+0.04%−0.17% to +0.24%Not distinguishable from zero+0.15%0.00% to +0.30%Tentative
Each figure is the stock's typical move in a week when the force moved by the stated amount, after accounting for the stock market, with its 90% range beneath. Grey figures could not be told apart from zero. A row is marked a clear difference only when the two 90% ranges do not overlap.

This describes the past, and it is not a forecast. Relationships change, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

Measure IP and GPC togetherWhat if? Move a force

Your portfolio, measured the same way

Every figure on these pages is one stock at a time. The app measures a whole portfolio: which forces it is exposed to, which holdings cause it, and how sure the reading is. Free, no account for the first report.