UNSTRUCTURED ALPHAMeasure a portfolio

Compare two stocks

INCY vs SWK · data through Oct 2, 2026

INCY and SWK clearly differ on 1 of 19 forces. The widest gap is copper: in weeks when the price of copper rose 5%, INCY typically moved −0.79% and SWK +1.0%.

INCYSWKBars: 90% ranges. Hollow: could not be told apart from zero.Same figures in the table below.
Economic forceINCYIncyteSWKStanley Black & Decker
Interest ratesIn weeks when the 10-year Treasury yield rose 0.25 percentage points−3.3%−4.6% to −2.0%Clear−3.2%−4.7% to −1.7%Clear
Inflation expectationsIn weeks when 10-year inflation expectations rose 0.25 percentage points+3.7%−0.23% to +7.6%Not distinguishable from zero+3.5%−0.08% to +7.1%Not distinguishable from zero
U.S. dollarIn weeks when the trade-weighted U.S. dollar rose 2%−0.11%−1.8% to +1.6%Not distinguishable from zero−1.1%−3.5% to +1.3%Not distinguishable from zero
Oil and energyIn weeks when the price of oil rose 10%−1.0%−1.9% to −0.14%Tentative−1.0%−2.1% to +0.13%Not distinguishable from zero
Credit spreadsIn weeks when corporate credit spreads widened 0.25 percentage points−4.2%−7.8% to −0.62%Tentative−2.8%−6.4% to +0.78%Not distinguishable from zero
Short-term ratesIn weeks when the 2-year Treasury yield rose 0.25 percentage points+0.14%−2.4% to +2.7%Not distinguishable from zero−2.9%−5.3% to −0.53%Tentative
Market volatilityIn weeks when market volatility (the VIX) rose 5 points+0.17%−1.0% to +1.3%Not distinguishable from zero−0.74%−1.9% to +0.44%Not distinguishable from zero
Mortgage ratesIn weeks when the 30-year mortgage rate rose 0.25 percentage points+0.76%−0.92% to +2.4%Not distinguishable from zero+0.77%−0.67% to +2.2%Not distinguishable from zero
GoldIn weeks when the price of gold rose 5%−1.2%−2.4% to −0.03%Tentative+0.35%−0.80% to +1.5%Not distinguishable from zero
CopperIn weeks when the price of copper rose 5%Clear difference−0.79%−1.7% to +0.08%Not distinguishable from zero+1.0%+0.26% to +1.7%Tentative
Natural gasIn weeks when the U.S. natural gas price (Henry Hub) rose 10%−0.07%−0.11% to −0.03%Tentative−0.03%−0.05% to −0.01%Tentative
BitcoinIn weeks when the price of bitcoin rose 10%−0.34%−1.4% to +0.69%Not distinguishable from zero−0.32%−1.2% to +0.52%Not distinguishable from zero
Small vs large companiesIn weeks when small companies beat large ones by 1 percentage point+0.93%+0.59% to +1.3%Clear+1.1%+0.66% to +1.4%Clear
Value vs growthIn weeks when value stocks beat growth stocks by 1 percentage point+0.70%+0.30% to +1.1%Tentative+1.3%+1.0% to +1.6%Clear
MomentumIn weeks when recent winners beat the stock market by 1 percentage point−0.56%−0.87% to −0.26%Clear−0.40%−0.94% to +0.13%Not distinguishable from zero
EuroIn weeks when the euro rose 2% against the U.S. dollar−0.13%−3.1% to +2.8%Not distinguishable from zero−1.1%−4.4% to +2.2%Not distinguishable from zero
Japanese yenIn weeks when the yen rose 2% against the U.S. dollar+0.40%−0.68% to +1.5%Not distinguishable from zero+0.14%−1.4% to +1.7%Not distinguishable from zero
Emerging marketsIn weeks when emerging-market stocks beat the S&P 500 by 1 percentage point−0.18%−0.69% to +0.32%Not distinguishable from zero+0.54%+0.13% to +1.0%Tentative
ChinaIn weeks when Chinese stocks beat other emerging markets by 1 percentage point+0.36%+0.14% to +0.58%Tentative+0.10%−0.08% to +0.27%Not distinguishable from zero
Each figure is the stock's typical move in a week when the force moved by the stated amount, after accounting for the stock market, with its 90% range beneath. Grey figures could not be told apart from zero. A row is marked a clear difference only when the two 90% ranges do not overlap.

This describes the past, and it is not a forecast. Relationships change, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

Measure INCY and SWK togetherWhat if? Move a force

Your portfolio, measured the same way

Every figure on these pages is one stock at a time. The app measures a whole portfolio: which forces it is exposed to, which holdings cause it, and how sure the reading is. Free, no account for the first report.