Compare two stocks
IBM and MRK clearly differ on 2 of 19 forces. The widest gap is japanese yen: in weeks when the yen rose 2% against the U.S. dollar, IBM typically moved +1.7% and MRK −1.2%.
| Economic force | IBM | MRKMerck & Co. |
|---|---|---|
| Interest ratesIn weeks when the 10-year Treasury yield rose 0.25 percentage points | −0.42%−1.6% to +0.72%Not distinguishable from zero | −0.94%−2.0% to +0.14%Not distinguishable from zero |
| Inflation expectationsIn weeks when 10-year inflation expectations rose 0.25 percentage points | +0.75%−2.6% to +4.1%Not distinguishable from zero | +1.6%−2.3% to +5.5%Not distinguishable from zero |
| U.S. dollarIn weeks when the trade-weighted U.S. dollar rose 2% | −0.33%−2.2% to +1.5%Not distinguishable from zero | −0.41%−2.2% to +1.3%Not distinguishable from zero |
| Oil and energyIn weeks when the price of oil rose 10% | −0.54%−2.6% to +1.6%Not distinguishable from zero | −0.64%−1.6% to +0.30%Not distinguishable from zero |
| Credit spreadsIn weeks when corporate credit spreads widened 0.25 percentage points | −1.4%−4.2% to +1.4%Not distinguishable from zero | −2.3%−4.8% to +0.28%Not distinguishable from zero |
| Short-term ratesIn weeks when the 2-year Treasury yield rose 0.25 percentage points | −2.8%−5.5% to −0.03%Tentative | −0.49%−3.1% to +2.1%Not distinguishable from zero |
| Market volatilityIn weeks when market volatility (the VIX) rose 5 points | +0.25%−1.2% to +1.7%Not distinguishable from zero | −1.1%−2.1% to −0.04%Tentative |
| Mortgage ratesIn weeks when the 30-year mortgage rate rose 0.25 percentage points | −0.16%−1.8% to +1.5%Not distinguishable from zero | +0.68%−0.43% to +1.8%Not distinguishable from zero |
| GoldIn weeks when the price of gold rose 5% | +0.76%−0.46% to +2.0%Not distinguishable from zero | +0.37%−0.55% to +1.3%Not distinguishable from zero |
| CopperIn weeks when the price of copper rose 5% | −0.27%−0.80% to +0.26%Not distinguishable from zero | +1.0%+0.17% to +1.8%Tentative |
| Natural gasIn weeks when the U.S. natural gas price (Henry Hub) rose 10% | −0.02%−0.07% to +0.03%Not distinguishable from zero | −0.02%−0.03% to 0.00%Tentative |
| BitcoinIn weeks when the price of bitcoin rose 10% | +0.08%−0.59% to +0.76%Not distinguishable from zero | −0.06%−1.3% to +1.2%Not distinguishable from zero |
| Small vs large companiesIn weeks when small companies beat large ones by 1 percentage point | +0.28%−0.01% to +0.57%Not distinguishable from zero | +0.48%+0.16% to +0.81%Tentative |
| Value vs growthIn weeks when value stocks beat growth stocks by 1 percentage pointClear difference | −0.05%−0.47% to +0.37%Not distinguishable from zero | +0.78%+0.46% to +1.1%Clear |
| MomentumIn weeks when recent winners beat the stock market by 1 percentage point | −0.22%−0.89% to +0.46%Not distinguishable from zero | −0.70%−1.1% to −0.29%Tentative |
| EuroIn weeks when the euro rose 2% against the U.S. dollar | −0.73%−3.4% to +1.9%Not distinguishable from zero | +0.73%−1.4% to +2.9%Not distinguishable from zero |
| Japanese yenIn weeks when the yen rose 2% against the U.S. dollarClear difference | +1.7%+0.70% to +2.8%Tentative | −1.2%−2.3% to −0.08%Tentative |
| Emerging marketsIn weeks when emerging-market stocks beat the S&P 500 by 1 percentage point | −0.14%−0.73% to +0.46%Not distinguishable from zero | 0.00%−0.49% to +0.48%Not distinguishable from zero |
| ChinaIn weeks when Chinese stocks beat other emerging markets by 1 percentage point | 0.00%−0.33% to +0.32%Not distinguishable from zero | +0.04%−0.16% to +0.25%Not distinguishable from zero |
Each figure is the stock's typical move in a week when the force moved by the stated amount, after accounting for the stock market, with its 90% range beneath. Grey figures could not be told apart from zero. A row is marked a clear difference only when the two 90% ranges do not overlap.
This describes the past, and it is not a forecast. Relationships change, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.