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IBKR vs APO · data through Oct 2, 2026

IBKR and APO clearly differ on 2 of 19 forces. The widest gap is short-term rates: in weeks when the 2-year Treasury yield rose 0.25 percentage points, IBKR typically moved +2.7% and APO −1.1%.

IBKRAPOBars: 90% ranges. Hollow: could not be told apart from zero.Same figures in the table below.
Economic forceIBKRInteractive BrokersAPOApollo Global Management
Interest ratesIn weeks when the 10-year Treasury yield rose 0.25 percentage points+2.9%+1.4% to +4.4%Clear+1.6%+0.35% to +2.8%Tentative
Inflation expectationsIn weeks when 10-year inflation expectations rose 0.25 percentage points+0.36%−3.1% to +3.8%Not distinguishable from zero+2.5%−0.47% to +5.4%Not distinguishable from zero
U.S. dollarIn weeks when the trade-weighted U.S. dollar rose 2%+0.30%−1.5% to +2.1%Not distinguishable from zero+1.1%−0.65% to +2.8%Not distinguishable from zero
Oil and energyIn weeks when the price of oil rose 10%−1.4%−2.2% to −0.66%Clear+0.22%−0.69% to +1.1%Not distinguishable from zero
Credit spreadsIn weeks when corporate credit spreads widened 0.25 percentage points−1.7%−4.4% to +0.90%Not distinguishable from zero−1.3%−4.8% to +2.2%Not distinguishable from zero
Short-term ratesIn weeks when the 2-year Treasury yield rose 0.25 percentage pointsClear difference+2.7%+1.1% to +4.4%Tentative−1.1%−3.0% to +0.88%Not distinguishable from zero
Market volatilityIn weeks when market volatility (the VIX) rose 5 points+0.24%−1.0% to +1.5%Not distinguishable from zero−0.86%−2.2% to +0.50%Not distinguishable from zero
Mortgage ratesIn weeks when the 30-year mortgage rate rose 0.25 percentage points−0.42%−1.6% to +0.74%Not distinguishable from zero−0.05%−1.4% to +1.3%Not distinguishable from zero
GoldIn weeks when the price of gold rose 5%+0.15%−0.70% to +1.0%Not distinguishable from zero−1.4%−2.5% to −0.31%Tentative
CopperIn weeks when the price of copper rose 5%−0.28%−0.88% to +0.32%Not distinguishable from zero−0.37%−1.3% to +0.58%Not distinguishable from zero
Natural gasIn weeks when the U.S. natural gas price (Henry Hub) rose 10%Clear difference+0.06%+0.02% to +0.09%Tentative−0.04%−0.05% to −0.02%Clear
BitcoinIn weeks when the price of bitcoin rose 10%+1.3%+0.61% to +2.0%Clear−0.09%−0.91% to +0.73%Not distinguishable from zero
Small vs large companiesIn weeks when small companies beat large ones by 1 percentage point+0.14%−0.17% to +0.44%Not distinguishable from zero+0.45%+0.20% to +0.71%Tentative
Value vs growthIn weeks when value stocks beat growth stocks by 1 percentage point+0.03%−0.27% to +0.33%Not distinguishable from zero+0.30%+0.03% to +0.57%Tentative
MomentumIn weeks when recent winners beat the stock market by 1 percentage point+0.59%+0.22% to +1.0%Tentative+0.21%−0.22% to +0.64%Not distinguishable from zero
EuroIn weeks when the euro rose 2% against the U.S. dollar−2.8%−4.8% to −0.83%Tentative−0.22%−2.4% to +2.0%Not distinguishable from zero
Japanese yenIn weeks when the yen rose 2% against the U.S. dollar+0.21%−0.92% to +1.3%Not distinguishable from zero−0.34%−1.4% to +0.69%Not distinguishable from zero
Emerging marketsIn weeks when emerging-market stocks beat the S&P 500 by 1 percentage point+0.27%−0.09% to +0.62%Not distinguishable from zero−0.18%−0.62% to +0.25%Not distinguishable from zero
ChinaIn weeks when Chinese stocks beat other emerging markets by 1 percentage point−0.02%−0.22% to +0.18%Not distinguishable from zero+0.17%−0.03% to +0.38%Not distinguishable from zero
Each figure is the stock's typical move in a week when the force moved by the stated amount, after accounting for the stock market, with its 90% range beneath. Grey figures could not be told apart from zero. A row is marked a clear difference only when the two 90% ranges do not overlap.

This describes the past, and it is not a forecast. Relationships change, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

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