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HST vs FISV · data through Oct 2, 2026

HST and FISV clearly differ on 2 of 19 forces. The widest gap is emerging markets: in weeks when emerging-market stocks beat the S&P 500 by 1 percentage point, HST typically moved +0.01% and FISV −0.62%.

HSTFISVBars: 90% ranges. Hollow: could not be told apart from zero.Same figures in the table below.
Economic forceHSTHost Hotels & ResortsFISVFiserv
Interest ratesIn weeks when the 10-year Treasury yield rose 0.25 percentage points−0.83%−1.8% to +0.12%Not distinguishable from zero−1.3%−3.7% to +1.1%Not distinguishable from zero
Inflation expectationsIn weeks when 10-year inflation expectations rose 0.25 percentage points+2.8%+0.19% to +5.4%Tentative+2.7%−0.82% to +6.1%Not distinguishable from zero
U.S. dollarIn weeks when the trade-weighted U.S. dollar rose 2%−1.2%−2.4% to +0.06%Not distinguishable from zero−1.1%−3.5% to +1.2%Not distinguishable from zero
Oil and energyIn weeks when the price of oil rose 10%−0.16%−0.80% to +0.48%Not distinguishable from zero−0.02%−0.81% to +0.78%Not distinguishable from zero
Credit spreadsIn weeks when corporate credit spreads widened 0.25 percentage points−1.7%−4.3% to +0.87%Not distinguishable from zero−1.6%−7.3% to +4.2%Not distinguishable from zero
Short-term ratesIn weeks when the 2-year Treasury yield rose 0.25 percentage points+0.05%−1.5% to +1.6%Not distinguishable from zero−2.7%−6.8% to +1.4%Not distinguishable from zero
Market volatilityIn weeks when market volatility (the VIX) rose 5 points+0.17%−0.72% to +1.1%Not distinguishable from zero−1.1%−2.7% to +0.47%Not distinguishable from zero
Mortgage ratesIn weeks when the 30-year mortgage rate rose 0.25 percentage points−0.30%−1.3% to +0.71%Not distinguishable from zero−0.09%−1.6% to +1.4%Not distinguishable from zero
GoldIn weeks when the price of gold rose 5%−1.1%−2.0% to −0.18%Tentative+0.94%−0.45% to +2.3%Not distinguishable from zero
CopperIn weeks when the price of copper rose 5%−0.43%−1.2% to +0.35%Not distinguishable from zero−0.14%−0.72% to +0.44%Not distinguishable from zero
Natural gasIn weeks when the U.S. natural gas price (Henry Hub) rose 10%Clear difference−0.01%−0.04% to +0.01%Not distinguishable from zero+0.03%+0.01% to +0.06%Tentative
BitcoinIn weeks when the price of bitcoin rose 10%−0.42%−1.1% to +0.23%Not distinguishable from zero+0.04%−0.88% to +1.0%Not distinguishable from zero
Small vs large companiesIn weeks when small companies beat large ones by 1 percentage point+0.68%+0.50% to +0.86%Clear+0.52%+0.14% to +0.89%Tentative
Value vs growthIn weeks when value stocks beat growth stocks by 1 percentage point+0.62%+0.36% to +0.89%Clear+0.73%+0.25% to +1.2%Tentative
MomentumIn weeks when recent winners beat the stock market by 1 percentage point+0.07%−0.18% to +0.33%Not distinguishable from zero−0.23%−0.91% to +0.45%Not distinguishable from zero
EuroIn weeks when the euro rose 2% against the U.S. dollar−0.07%−2.0% to +1.9%Not distinguishable from zero+0.06%−3.4% to +3.6%Not distinguishable from zero
Japanese yenIn weeks when the yen rose 2% against the U.S. dollar−0.08%−0.86% to +0.70%Not distinguishable from zero+0.39%−0.60% to +1.4%Not distinguishable from zero
Emerging marketsIn weeks when emerging-market stocks beat the S&P 500 by 1 percentage pointClear difference+0.01%−0.19% to +0.22%Not distinguishable from zero−0.62%−1.0% to −0.27%Tentative
ChinaIn weeks when Chinese stocks beat other emerging markets by 1 percentage point−0.06%−0.20% to +0.08%Not distinguishable from zero+0.26%+0.02% to +0.50%Tentative
Each figure is the stock's typical move in a week when the force moved by the stated amount, after accounting for the stock market, with its 90% range beneath. Grey figures could not be told apart from zero. A row is marked a clear difference only when the two 90% ranges do not overlap.

This describes the past, and it is not a forecast. Relationships change, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

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